Tennis · resolved market
Zug: Alexander Donski vs Max Hans Rehberg
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3275631440a2826a902be6f010f701b4db1bac496d8d765bb40515cfb86a55ea
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Max Hans Rehbergof Alexander Donski, Max Hans Rehberg
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,589
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,332
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,589 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Alexander Donski | 8c | 6,597$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.38 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Max Hans Rehberg | 79c | 3,279$2,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.04 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0f…4633backed Alexander Donski | 25c | 2,756$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$683.2 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -22%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea32…8870backed Max Hans Rehberg | 76c | 1,830$1,391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.28 | 101 | 59.4%60 W · 41 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9807…157bbacked Alexander Donski | 24c | 1,608$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.32 | 334 | 38.6%129 W · 205 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Alexander Donski | 9c | 1,444$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.1 | 2,065 | 35.2%727 W · 1,338 L | -52.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf12f…b30fbacked Alexander Donski | 26c | 924$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 700 | 41.1%288 W · 412 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Alexander Donski | 24c | 874.08$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.62 | 2,462 | 38.5%948 W · 1,514 L | +93.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Alexander Donski | 9c | 589.56$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.55 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef9f…8924backed Alexander Donski | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 78 | 29.5%23 W · 55 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3171…b991backed Max Hans Rehberg | 77c | 259.58$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.58 | 335 | 51.9%174 W · 161 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…2fb6backed Alexander Donski | 22c | 240$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.8 | 1,556 | 42.4%660 W · 896 L | +20.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Alexander Donski | 23c | 237$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.51 | 1,031 | 50.3%519 W · 512 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Alexander Donski | 21c | 212.65$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.66 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Alexander Donski | 21c | 186.14$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Max Hans Rehberg | 75c | 155.99$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.65 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Max Hans Rehberg | 76c | 150.72$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.33 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcba…2398backed Max Hans Rehberg | 77c | 143$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.17 | 111 | 45.9%51 W · 60 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Alexander Donski | 13c | 117.15$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.23 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x035b…c6ddbacked Alexander Donski | 24c | 104.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 140 | 36.4%51 W · 89 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Alexander Donski | 23c | 88.53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.93 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x186a…559dbacked Alexander Donski | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 449 | 52.8%237 W · 212 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4126…e68bbacked Max Hans Rehberg | 77c | 81.5$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.76 | 1,159 | 69%800 W · 359 L | +56.8wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Alexander Donski | 16c | 70.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.46 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6847…f1eabacked Max Hans Rehberg | 76c | 65$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 137 | 70.1%96 W · 41 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Alexander Donski | 26c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x147c…2540backed Alexander Donski | 23c | 59.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.9 | 281 | 64.4%181 W · 100 L | +10.3wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a9a…3333backed Max Hans Rehberg | 74c | 55.72$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.49 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Max Hans Rehberg | 73c | 55$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.85 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb29…1b48backed Alexander Donski | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Max Hans Rehberg | 78c | 47.43$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.53 | 1,021 | 57.8%590 W · 431 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa415…6fb9backed Alexander Donski | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 584 | 53.1%310 W · 274 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Max Hans Rehberg | 77c | 38.96$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Alexander Donski | 29c | 35$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11a2…0532backed Max Hans Rehberg | 78c | 25.92$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.7 | 205 | 70.7%145 W · 60 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56c4…fce5backed Max Hans Rehberg | 78c | 25.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.77 | 814 | 57%464 W · 350 L | +19.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Max Hans Rehberg | 78c | 25.54$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.62 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe01…b45dbacked Max Hans Rehberg | 77c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.75 | 223 | 77.6%173 W · 50 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 77cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00c5…b5e9backed Max Hans Rehberg | 77c | 23.71$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.45 | 231 | 62.8%145 W · 86 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Max Hans Rehberg | 77c | 21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.88 | 1,276 | 61%778 W · 498 L | +27.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0c…c0cdbacked Max Hans Rehberg | 73c | 20.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 587 | 50.4%296 W · 291 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed Max Hans Rehberg | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.71 | 1,853 | 57.7%1,069 W · 784 L | +106.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4daa…9f01backed Max Hans Rehberg | 76c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.63 | 74 | 63.5%47 W · 27 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.