MLB · resolved market
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x79b56bddf0494c36a69a46c92a15d9ecf7c1556dc26fca0822401a3cabce3c3c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $281,543
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $280,475
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $281,543 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5e94…5ba1backed Over | 45c | 111,062$49,978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49,978.11 | 469 | 49%230 W · 239 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 55c | 96,978$53,338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43,640.12 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Over | 45c | 73,463$33,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,058.48 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Over | 45c | 64,673$28,956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,956.32 | 436 | 47%205 W · 231 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 55c | 45,430$25,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,372.62 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 55c | 30,348$16,670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,678.24 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Under | 55c | 13,556$7,456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,100.42 | 776 | 47.4%368 W · 408 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 55c | 11,000$6,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,950 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe55a…ecf7backed Under | 53c | 8,318$4,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,942.62 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Under | 56c | 6,546$3,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,880.3 | 716 | 50.7%363 W · 353 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 55c | 5,130$2,821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,308.3 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 55c | 5,000$2,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,249.98 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7f…7b8abacked Over | 47c | 4,750$2,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,232.46 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2792…c4f6backed Under | 56c | 3,286$1,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,445.64 | 739 | 49.8%368 W · 371 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae82…faf0backed Under | 55c | 3,000$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350 | 246 | 51.6%127 W · 119 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Under | 55c | 2,749$1,512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,237.05 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…9486backed Under | 56c | 2,550$1,428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,121.91 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 56c | 2,384$1,342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,042.39 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb267…5f55backed Over | 44c | 2,270$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998.8 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Under | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 444 | 51.1%227 W · 217 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 55c | 1,910$1,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$859.5 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Under | 55c | 1,818$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.18 | 491 | 58.9%289 W · 202 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 55c | 1,676$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$755.9 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 45c | 1,234$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.17 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Under | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 167 | 53.9%90 W · 77 L | +10.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 55c | 750$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.26 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Under | 55c | 599.99$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Under | 56c | 521.64$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.52 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7677…37c0backed Over | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 328 | 50%164 W · 164 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Over | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Under | 55c | 500$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 129 | 39.5%51 W · 78 L | -11.1wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Over | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 1,206 | 53.7%648 W · 558 L | +29.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Under | 55c | 492.5$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.21 | 614 | 50.8%312 W · 302 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Over | 45c | 389.99$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.55 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Under | 55c | 376$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.2 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 55c | 317.85$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.03 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 44c | 308.46$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.5 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Over | 45c | 298$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.08 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed Over | 45c | 291.97$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.39 | 281 | 54.4%153 W · 128 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff19…3ebebacked Under | 56c | 252.13$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.94 | 404 | 47.8%193 W · 211 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Under | 56c | 241.07$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.07 | 812 | 57.3%465 W · 347 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 35c | 236.7$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.84 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 48c | 229.18$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.01 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcba…2398backed Over | 46c | 200.99$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.45 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 47c | 200$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 994 | 47.3%470 W · 524 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Under | 51c | 196.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.23 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 31c | 182.25$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.8 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52a0…ec9dbacked Under | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 382 | 52.1%199 W · 183 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6717…d6ebbacked Under | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 372 | 56.5%210 W · 162 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0daf…17a9backed Under | 56c | 178.55$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.56 | 145 | 59.3%86 W · 59 L | +13.4wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc4bb…22a9backed Over | 45c | 177.78$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57cc…0fa7backed Over | 48c | 175$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 224 | 48.7%109 W · 115 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Under | 57c | 159.96$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.14 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd9…932fbacked Under | 56c | 149.7$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.87 | 133 | 57.9%77 W · 56 L | +9.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb428…74c8backed Under | 54c | 148.15$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.15 | 442 | 45.5%201 W · 241 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 55c | 122$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.9 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x392a…a334backed Under | 56c | 116.05$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.15 | 38 | 71.1%27 W · 11 L | +7.5wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba4…6de0backed Over | 45c | 111.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.97 | 209 | 45%94 W · 115 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Over | 47c | 111.02$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.18 | 170 | 47.1%80 W · 90 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5016…ada1backed Over | 46c | 110$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.33 | 356 | 50.6%180 W · 176 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb3…b370backed Over | 45c | 105.06$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.28 | 195 | 55.9%109 W · 86 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4193…4853backed Over | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 846 | 51.5%436 W · 410 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…683ebacked Over | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3b…07c9backed Over | 43c | 98.41$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.11 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Over | 40c | 91.53$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.61 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Under | 55c | 89.87$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.17 | 1,245 | 56.9%708 W · 537 L | +31.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 47c | 81.06$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.69 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab5…95fabacked Under | 56c | 80.37$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.36 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +5.4wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x87f8…7de3backed Over | 40c | 80$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 381 | 42%160 W · 221 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Over | 47c | 66$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.96 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 57c | 64.73$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.83 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Over | 46c | 62$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.65 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Over | 46c | 60.72$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.93 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…7f1abacked Under | 55c | 60$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 412 | 36.7%151 W · 261 L | -16.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x237f…e76ebacked Over | 45c | 58.79$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.19 | 172 | 55.8%96 W · 76 L | +8.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 55c | 58.39$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.49 | 1,172 | 49.1%575 W · 597 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8efa…894cbacked Over | 45c | 56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.14 | 454 | 45.2%205 W · 249 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8d…4baebacked Over | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7aa…abe3backed Under | 56c | 51.5$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.66 | 351 | 49.3%173 W · 178 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13c8…ed6cbacked Over | 46c | 50.76$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Under | 55c | 50.27$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.62 | 403 | 41.4%167 W · 236 L | -20.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Under | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 1,279 | 51.2%655 W · 624 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Under | 55c | 48$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 952 | 52.9%504 W · 448 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x851a…0415backed Under | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x250f…4fc6backed Over | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 130 | 25.4%33 W · 97 L | -17.3wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x927c…a79abacked Over | 46c | 36.87$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.96 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a0e…cdedbacked Over | 46c | 34.46$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.79 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 45c | 32$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.48 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x74d5…1ca9backed Over | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 45c | 31.73$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 979 | 44.4%435 W · 544 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc96b…decebacked Under | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19b7…9ee6backed Under | 56c | 25.2$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.09 | 1,038 | 51.7%537 W · 501 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0977…53ccbacked Under | 72c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 292 | 50.7%148 W · 144 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 8.5this page
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-2.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-2.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue JaysTampa Bay Rays won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jays: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Under won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 6.5Under won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5Under won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 9.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.