TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Knicks (-5.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Spursof Knicks, Spurs
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$25,336
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$25,780

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,336 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x032e…2a9ebacked Knicks24c4,466$1,053 inLost-$1,053.4325352.6%133 W · 120 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Knicks18c4,090$722 inLost-$722.498,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbe8…1141backed Spurs77c1,582$1,212 inWon+$369.44751.1%24 W · 23 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-3.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1543…baafbacked Knicks24c1,500$360 inLost-$36012741.7%53 W · 74 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Spurs77c1,034$795 inWon+$239.2652150.9%265 W · 256 L+18.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xea4b…5885backed Spurs78c964.04$752 inWon+$212.094100%4 W · 0 L+2.4wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+240.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2eac…6c20backed Spurs76c958.19$732 inWon+$226.19560%3 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick72cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7fb0…34ecbacked Spurs76c878.14$670 inWon+$208.141546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-16.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Knicks23c865.76$201 inLost-$200.5213161.8%81 W · 50 L+13.4wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+16.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xbd31…abc0backed Spurs76c824.63$628 inWon+$196.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5fd6…81f6backed Spurs78c764.18$596 inWon+$168.121782.4%14 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick73cpaid+15.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xef9f…8924backed Knicks22c499.96$110 inLost-$109.996619.7%13 W · 53 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick17cpaid-10.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbdd6…e47fbacked Knicks24c426.67$102 inLost-$102.1510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb8d…c822backed Spurs77c404.6$312 inWon+$93.062475%18 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b6d…8b43backed Knicks25c400$100 inLost-$100475%3 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.34per pick41cpaid+69.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x772d…1846backed Knicks26c368.73$95 inLost-$94.65250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b4d…51a0backed Spurs76c351.32$267 inWon+$84.321145.5%5 W · 6 L-2.8wins-0.25per pick71cpaid-39%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Knicks17c293.71$51 inLost-$51.1418140.3%73 W · 108 L+24.4wins+0.13per pick27cpaid+60.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Spurs74c246.77$183 inWon+$64.1625954.4%141 W · 118 L+34.1wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+68.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xf268…ab74backed Spurs78c217.95$170 inWon+$47.953151.6%16 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Spurs76c137.34$105 inWon+$32.730448.4%147 W · 157 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0e0…4d8fbacked Knicks25c136.48$34 inLost-$34.1265950.8%335 W · 324 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb12…f8f5backed Spurs76c131.58$100 inWon+$31.582025%5 W · 15 L-3.9wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-45.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xca78…fe5dbacked Knicks25c100$25 inLost-$256624.2%16 W · 50 L-5.6wins-0.09per pick33cpaid-34.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x58ff…025fbacked Knicks25c97.32$24 inLost-$24.21580%4 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.41per pick39cpaid+95.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3308…f04bbacked Knicks15c95$15 inLost-$14.5525944%114 W · 145 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc7b…8fb6backed Spurs76c82.39$63 inWon+$19.77475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+37.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4cfd…3d84backed Knicks25c80$20 inLost-$20333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35c7…6021backed Knicks25c79.46$20 inLost-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Spurs75c74.05$56 inWon+$18.5118653.2%99 W · 87 L+9.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+16.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Spurs78c64.26$50 inWon+$14.1425554.5%139 W · 116 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Knicks24c61.22$15 inLost-$14.6941038%156 W · 254 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-20.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed Knicks23c47.48$11 inLost-$10.9215759.2%93 W · 64 L+9.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+18.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x90bb…531fbacked Spurs67c43$29 inWon+$14.191643.8%7 W · 9 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick34cpaid+16.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0615…5c47backed Knicks25c40$10 inLost-$1013823.2%32 W · 106 L-6.3wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc22c…43d3backed Knicks25c40$10 inLost-$1030%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x77de…e67abacked Spurs74c25.46$19 inWon+$6.741464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.3wins+0.16per pick48cpaid+31.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Spurs77c21.11$16 inWon+$4.8633356.2%187 W · 146 L+9.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Spurs76c16.3$12 inWon+$3.8610757%61 W · 46 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Spurs75c15$11 inWon+$3.751,17050.3%588 W · 582 L+46.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 106. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.