TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc22c…43d3

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
45
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 52 out of 100; worst Europa Conference League at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT2356.5%13 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.8
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$63.64
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$25.98
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$49.99
Portugal vs. Spain: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will England reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$46.15
Mexico vs. England: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+100%+$50
Brazil vs. Norway: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$31.07
Belgium vs. IR Iran: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.99
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.01
Canada vs. Qatar: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+124.2%+$24.84
Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$51.32
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Ghana vs. Panama: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will England win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$53.59
Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.34
Argentina vs. Algeria: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.14
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$34.27
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$53.29
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5)backed Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.31
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$58.36
Spread: Mexico (-1.5)backed Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$45.07
All 23 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-20.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
National Bank Open: Gabriel Diallo vs Kyrian Jacquetbacked Gabriel Diallo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+100%+$21
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Zverevbacked Jannik Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$15.63
Bogota: Lorenzo Claverie vs Nick Hardtbacked Nick Hardt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
HSBC Championships: Rinky Hijikata vs Jiri Leheckabacked Jiri Lehecka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.51
HSBC Championships: Corentin Moutet vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokinabacked Alejandro Davidovich Fokina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$11.75
HSBC Championships: Adrian Mannarino vs Arthur Ferybacked Adrian Mannarino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.35
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritzbacked Taylor Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+39.1%+$4.69
Birmingham: Nikola Bartunkova vs Mika Stojsavljevicbacked Nikola Bartunkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+72.1%+$8.34
Set 1 Winner: Auger-Aliassime vs Nakashimabacked Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Roland Garros ATP: Arthur Rinderknech vs Matteo Berrettinibacked Arthur Rinderknech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.67
All 10 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Knicks (-5.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Spread: Spurs (-6.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.9
Spread: Thunder (-3.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.05
All 3 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+25%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Los Angeles Angels vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+150%+$30
Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.87
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Arsenal FC (-2.5)backed Burnley FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$21.14
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$50
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FK Dynamo Kyiv win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.5
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-05-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.62
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$43.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Canadiensbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$38.42
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Ligalast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-08-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.