TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Games Total: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$26,449
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$26,894

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,449 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6918…782bbacked Under49c6,500$3,205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,294.721,50154.5%818 W · 683 L+34.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f03…b1bebacked Under39c6,000$2,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,659.991,13252.5%594 W · 538 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda3a…381fbacked Under41c3,027$1,246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,780.931,48550.1%744 W · 741 L+67.0wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+5.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd055…28d0backed Over61c2,955$1,802 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,802.2812840.6%52 W · 76 L-0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec54…e8c1backed Over61c2,572$1,569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5691,30838.6%505 W · 803 L-64.8wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7a3f…6712backed Over49c2,335$1,144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,144.1550145.7%229 W · 272 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd02a…4771backed Over61c1,456$893 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$892.9719232.8%63 W · 129 L-17.2wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-23.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6e32…ab65backed Under36c1,136$411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$725.522,15653.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L+57.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f41…5ffcbacked Over49c1,074$526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$526.0223948.1%115 W · 124 L+0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf20b…e27dbacked Over49c1,024$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504.3134849.1%171 W · 177 L+11.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+13.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed Over49c900$441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44182836.4%301 W · 527 L-41.3wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-23.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Over66c811$538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$537.971,06154.7%580 W · 481 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x206c…2b8dbacked Over61c654.36$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.161838.9%7 W · 11 L-2.1wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2a25…8055backed Over61c621.84$379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.0111446.5%53 W · 61 L-7.1wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-19.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Under39c595.98$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363.551,15645.1%521 W · 635 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a3f…4333backed Under38c472.5$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.9516048.1%77 W · 83 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5556…2759backed Over62c432.73$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.2662451.4%321 W · 303 L-10.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x57e1…c97fbacked Over61c395.08$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2417353.4%39 W · 34 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Over61c384.64$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.9638640.4%156 W · 230 L-17.7wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x40fc…498dbacked Over61c377.05$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23019735%69 W · 128 L-12.4wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-3.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under38c357.5$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.242,49547.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L-32.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over57c316$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.372,20233.3%733 W · 1,469 L-72.4wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-21.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Over60c300$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.3424832.3%80 W · 168 L-11.7wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-24.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x03c5…5f61backed Over61c283.77$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17216933.1%56 W · 113 L+0.1wins0.00per pick33cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ddc…9c0fbacked Over62c278.62$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.7421844%96 W · 122 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09b2…a017backed Over46c251.65$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.9447047.4%223 W · 247 L+24.2wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+20%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over56c249.99$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.331,97130.5%601 W · 1,370 L-170.0wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-43.4%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed Under73c225.5$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.281,17066.2%774 W · 396 L+69.6wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+5.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed Under56c212.29$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.5497854.4%532 W · 446 L+48.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdb68…9aa2backed Over61c204.1$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.51872.2%13 W · 5 L+2.8wins+0.15per pick57cpaid+40%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb57f…0c96backed Over63c196.46$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.7743839.7%174 W · 264 L-24.3wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-14.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x623d…3aeebacked Over61c181.97$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1115042%21 W · 29 L+0.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid+10%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Over60c170$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.692,93844.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L-92.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Over59c160$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9434834.2%119 W · 229 L-39.9wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-42.2%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over27c148.44$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.22,67935.7%957 W · 1,722 L-153.5wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Under49c146.16$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.183,13133.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L-150.7wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-34.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over27c144$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.882,31139.4%910 W · 1,401 L-83.4wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-20.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x292b…23cebacked Over61c137$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.57944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-24.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d72…a791backed Over61c129.45$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.9614850.7%75 W · 73 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb155…ca84backed Over51c118$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.88045%36 W · 44 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf95e…1816backed Over59c115.25$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6819752.8%104 W · 93 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+16.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Over58c102.07$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.9315748.4%76 W · 81 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f43…3a74backed Under40c100$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6058437.2%217 W · 367 L-7.9wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under47c90$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.72,82541.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L-14.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-4.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa3d7…4084backed Over61c89.54$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.7wins-0.30per pick41cpaid-81.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Over26c84.7$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.11,35731.2%423 W · 934 L-129.6wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-43.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x43f3…293cbacked Over67c78.39$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.524334.9%15 W · 28 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-21.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed Over27c75$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.2530731.6%97 W · 210 L-19.2wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-37.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8e34…4480backed Over60c73.33$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4441343.8%181 W · 232 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x294b…22d2backed Under41c73.2$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.256949.4%281 W · 288 L-0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc7b…8fb6backed Over61c62.62$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.2616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.36per pick52cpaid-67.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Under74c60$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.646452.4%243 W · 221 L+18.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6fd3…3d7abacked Over61c60$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.64643.5%20 W · 26 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe092…359fbacked Under40c56.55$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.937866.7%52 W · 26 L+9.3wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+23%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc987…123abacked Over49c53.67$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.31020%2 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.23per pick43cpaid-43.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x349e…867bbacked Under40c53.14$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.8332053.8%172 W · 148 L+21.9wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+11.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xffbf…1184backed Under38c52.63$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.6328759.9%172 W · 115 L+7.8wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf5f…2184backed Over59c50$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.53560%21 W · 14 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f87…f04ebacked Under70c40.71$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.0622265.3%145 W · 77 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+52.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Over53c40$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.21,59946.8%748 W · 851 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd4ee…e425backed Over59c40$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.675142.1%316 W · 435 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a9a…72e7backed Under43c36.47$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.6823946%110 W · 129 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9209…b4d5backed Under38c35.26$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.8641156.7%233 W · 178 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb603…c701backed Under40c34.48$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.616148.4%78 W · 83 L+7.8wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+14.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over38c34$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.921,60617.5%281 W · 1,325 L-245.0wins-0.15per pick33cpaid-63.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x8649…ba57backed Under46c30$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.26450%32 W · 32 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+20.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1436…0121backed Over67c29.85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2066058.8%388 W · 272 L-36.9wins-0.06per pick64cpaid-9.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc846…c413backed Over58c25$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.513242.4%56 W · 76 L+5.2wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+20.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Over60c25$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1524544.5%109 W · 136 L-12.6wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Under72c23$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.371,46443.4%636 W · 828 L-32.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d60…6df2backed Over67c22.39$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157856.4%44 W · 34 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa19d…3909backed Under73c14$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.781,52150.6%769 W · 752 L+3.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.