Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: GAL (-2.5) vs Eintracht Spandau (+2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe76e6b31fb5499f663481406d6aadd6d196dd3d41d9ba277cb8af9973f47000b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Galionsof Galions, Eintracht Spandau
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,480
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,532
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,480 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked Galions | 35c | 2,471$858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,612.93 | 1,485 | 50.1%744 W · 741 L | +67.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Eintracht Spandau | 64c | 1,523$981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$981.07 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Eintracht Spandau | 62c | 1,160$719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.34 | 277 | 35.7%99 W · 178 L | -12.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b96…4389backed Galions | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620 | 660 | 59.8%395 W · 265 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7787backed Galions | 35c | 887.99$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.19 | 644 | 43%277 W · 367 L | -27.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Eintracht Spandau | 66c | 830.98$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.45 | 1,308 | 38.6%505 W · 803 L | -64.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24d4…4e1dbacked Eintracht Spandau | 67c | 746.34$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 271 | 42.4%115 W · 156 L | -15.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb4…0060backed Eintracht Spandau | 65c | 200$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 217 | 47%102 W · 115 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed Galions | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 584 | 37.2%217 W · 367 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Eintracht Spandau | 63c | 90.54$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.04 | 639 | 44.6%285 W · 354 L | -18.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Eintracht Spandau | 65c | 88.24$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.35 | 1,207 | 43.5%525 W · 682 L | -14.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x294b…22d2backed Galions | 36c | 83.33$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.33 | 569 | 49.4%281 W · 288 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Eintracht Spandau | 34c | 59.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.47 | 978 | 54.4%532 W · 446 L | +48.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a9a…72e7backed Galions | 36c | 39.45$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.39 | 239 | 46%110 W · 129 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Galions | 36c | 31.64$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.18 | 320 | 53.8%172 W · 148 L | +21.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Galions | 71c | 29$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.41 | 464 | 52.4%243 W · 221 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Galions | 71c | 21.97$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.37 | 1,170 | 66.2%774 W · 396 L | +69.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f87…f04ebacked Galions | 71c | 19.02$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.52 | 222 | 65.3%145 W · 77 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x599b…4114backed Eintracht Spandau | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: GAL (-2.5) vs Eintracht Spandau (+2.5)this page
- Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?No won
- Game 1: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?No won
- Game Handicap: GAL (-1.5) vs Eintracht Spandau (+1.5)Galions won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Under won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- LoL: Galions vs Eintracht Spandau (BO5) - EMEA Masters PlayoffsGalions won
- LoL: Galions vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 1 WinnerGalions won
- LoL: Galions vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 2 WinnerGalions won
- LoL: Galions vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 3 WinnerGalions won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.