Tennis · resolved market
Halle Open (Doubles): Cash/Tracy vs Arribage/Olivetti
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x622da4ba40eab11569d1492cf4fd08afee2cce83646fe123c1c7a57a1b9c206f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Arribage/Olivettiof Cash/Tracy, Arribage/Olivetti
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,188
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,964
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,188 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked Arribage/Olivetti | 56c | 3,420$1,915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,504.68 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +7.2wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xac75…1319backed Arribage/Olivetti | 55c | 1,889$1,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$850 | 111 | 49.5%55 W · 56 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Cash/Tracy | 44c | 1,136$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1,125 | 51.1%575 W · 550 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Cash/Tracy | 41c | 773.46$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.27 | 1,510 | 37.7%569 W · 941 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7940…47e7backed Cash/Tracy | 44c | 757.19$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.21 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Cash/Tracy | 44c | 600$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Cash/Tracy | 45c | 511.11$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 391 | 35.8%140 W · 251 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef20…8f64backed Cash/Tracy | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Cash/Tracy | 45c | 452.24$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.25 | 1,337 | 46%615 W · 722 L | +23.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed Cash/Tracy | 44c | 300$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.97 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82aa…fe2fbacked Cash/Tracy | 10c | 226.41$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.62 | 627 | 27.3%171 W · 456 L | -15.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Cash/Tracy | 43c | 216.91$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.27 | 1,880 | 48.5%912 W · 968 L | +8.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7a…0f82backed Cash/Tracy | 44c | 212$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.28 | 232 | 47%109 W · 123 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04c7…c7a7backed Cash/Tracy | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 185 | 51.4%95 W · 90 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Cash/Tracy | 42c | 192.86$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 878 | 54.7%480 W · 398 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…af12backed Cash/Tracy | 43c | 156.29$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.2 | 2,032 | 46.9%952 W · 1,080 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7b…8fb6backed Cash/Tracy | 44c | 131.07$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.6 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e48…828fbacked Cash/Tracy | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Cash/Tracy | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 942 | 55.8%526 W · 416 L | +19.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Cash/Tracy | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 923 | 55.8%515 W · 408 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Cash/Tracy | 43c | 88.37$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Cash/Tracy | 43c | 88.37$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Cash/Tracy | 43c | 74.42$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 2,151 | 37.3%802 W · 1,349 L | -27.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8649…ba57backed Cash/Tracy | 43c | 69.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 796 | 46%366 W · 430 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a9a…72e7backed Arribage/Olivetti | 57c | 69.25$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.78 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 48cpaid | +64.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Cash/Tracy | 43c | 49.38$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.23 | 1,148 | 53%608 W · 540 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Arribage/Olivetti | 57c | 34.38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 678 | 48.4%328 W · 350 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.