TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: eSuba vs ex-MANA eSports (BO3) - United21 Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
ex-MANA eSportsof eSuba, ex-MANA eSports
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$20,696
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$23,538

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,696 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdbdd…a5debacked eSuba49c2,758$1,342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,342.217,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7460…de6ebacked ex-MANA eSports48c2,503$1,212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,291.1443951.7%227 W · 212 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x36f9…4df8backed ex-MANA eSports54c1,400$756 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64418356.3%103 W · 80 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed eSuba51c800$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40857641.5%239 W · 337 L-8.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xddf1…d4aebacked ex-MANA eSports48c770.79$367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403.475966.1%39 W · 20 L+7.5wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+31.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2957…b26abacked ex-MANA eSports48c588.69$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.6923038.3%88 W · 142 L-15.3wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-24.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4ff7…4176backed eSuba52c430$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.54944.9%22 W · 27 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b39…3234backed ex-MANA eSports60c412.54$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.2631345%141 W · 172 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0b5a…1457backed eSuba48c299.99$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.4221143.1%91 W · 120 L-0.6wins0.00per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb55b…c5b4backed ex-MANA eSports47c290$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.6735153.8%189 W · 162 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf66e…14b7backed eSuba49c286.52$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.3645754.5%249 W · 208 L+18.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf9a7…374abacked eSuba73c277.32$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.5227848.6%135 W · 143 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed ex-MANA eSports64c267.82$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.0475438.9%293 W · 461 L-38.9wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-24.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc169…8677backed ex-MANA eSports41c243.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.861861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+21.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed eSuba48c236$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.725,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8811…627cbacked eSuba43c232.61$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.939772.5%288 W · 109 L+38.5wins+0.10per pick63cpaid+10.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed ex-MANA eSports78c226$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.222,36246.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L-53.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a3d…13dabacked eSuba51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1029732%31 W · 66 L-11.7wins-0.12per pick44cpaid-36%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x6334…6fa3backed eSuba42c199.98$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.992544%11 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b28…ff4fbacked ex-MANA eSports37c194.95$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.51,35252%703 W · 649 L+29.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x91d5…8a03backed eSuba52c193.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012157.9%70 W · 51 L+7.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked eSuba52c172.02$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.913,20245.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L-79.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c6c…5e36backed ex-MANA eSports45c159.18$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.223956.5%135 W · 104 L+15.6wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+14.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked eSuba52c150$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.252,62247.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L-33.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed eSuba48c136.06$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.942,46824.6%607 W · 1,861 L-317.8wins-0.13per pick37cpaid-51.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x7055…49bbbacked ex-MANA eSports69c131.54$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.9414549.7%72 W · 73 L+5.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c9e…fbfdbacked ex-MANA eSports58c129.31$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.3154543.5%237 W · 308 L-8.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x596a…7a0fbacked ex-MANA eSports46c128$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.121,28137.8%484 W · 797 L+5.5wins0.00per pick37cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed eSuba44c123.54$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.022,62630.9%812 W · 1,814 L-105.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5de7…5417backed eSuba44c120$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.81,14643.5%499 W · 647 L-17.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed ex-MANA eSports48c113.93$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.074,06450.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L+69.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6bc0…af1abacked eSuba66c113.72$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$753432.4%11 W · 23 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked eSuba32c111.79$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.211,30241.2%536 W · 766 L-50.1wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-24.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x34af…3bbfbacked ex-MANA eSports46c108.11$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.112630.8%8 W · 18 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-23.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked eSuba44c105.49$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.892,34942.5%998 W · 1,351 L-72.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x180c…cd04backed eSuba53c104$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.9744939.2%176 W · 273 L-0.4wins0.00per pick39cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad89…e006backed ex-MANA eSports43c103.51$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5939440.4%159 W · 235 L+30.0wins+0.08per pick33cpaid+20.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked eSuba40c102.11$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.245,51147%2,590 W · 2,921 L+42.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x08e0…194bbacked ex-MANA eSports60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5135…df38backed eSuba45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.54257.1%24 W · 18 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed eSuba38c95.64$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.272,77424.5%681 W · 2,093 L-295.8wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-50.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x9051…32d2backed ex-MANA eSports68c88.31$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.3130859.1%182 W · 126 L+12.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed ex-MANA eSports45c87.77$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.361,57929.7%469 W · 1,110 L-86.9wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-39.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6d28…ad7cbacked ex-MANA eSports36c82.3$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.37138%27 W · 44 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked eSuba35c78.31$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.233,45929.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L-279.9wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-43.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed eSuba54c74$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.9648851.8%253 W · 235 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8649…ba57backed ex-MANA eSports48c72.92$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.9212654.8%69 W · 57 L+11.3wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+19.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x09da…50bcbacked ex-MANA eSports53c71.88$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.5342255.7%235 W · 187 L+13.5wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed eSuba59c70.43$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.432,32645.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe83a…8355backed eSuba63c66.75$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.1936856.8%209 W · 159 L+13.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked eSuba35c60.65$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.012,13642.9%916 W · 1,220 L-68.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed eSuba40c59.11$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.842,50841%1,029 W · 1,479 L-115.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-22.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x91aa…c94abacked ex-MANA eSports49c51.33$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.335345.3%24 W · 29 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8da3…7c12backed eSuba72c50$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.7752369.4%363 W · 160 L-7.4wins-0.01per pick71cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked eSuba47c49.37$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.411,59146.6%741 W · 850 L+30.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x07b1…b027backed eSuba44c49$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.5625643.4%111 W · 145 L+0.6wins0.00per pick43cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9318…22b8backed ex-MANA eSports51c45.39$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.3916451.2%84 W · 80 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x349e…867bbacked eSuba47c44.98$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.1474653.5%399 W · 347 L+9.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc7b…8fb6backed eSuba53c42.55$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.41225%3 W · 9 L-3.5wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-51.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x94d2…cfbdbacked ex-MANA eSports48c42.16$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.752,11047.2%995 W · 1,115 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked eSuba39c40.66$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.872,47334.6%855 W · 1,618 L-188.5wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x99d6…9fcabacked eSuba39c40$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.62552%13 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked eSuba32c39.83$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.873,91036.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L-197.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xaf76…ffeabacked eSuba47c39$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.3222837.3%85 W · 143 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x15d1…2f08backed eSuba44c38.45$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.9215846.8%74 W · 84 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b4c…d6a2backed eSuba30c36.52$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.07944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4787…db20backed eSuba58c35.81$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.7716361.3%100 W · 63 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked ex-MANA eSports53c34.54$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.324,93337.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L-249.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked eSuba44c32.45$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.155973%18 W · 579 L-221.0wins-0.37per pick40cpaid-90.7%equal weight11-0.36 edge/pick
0x476e…cfb9backed ex-MANA eSports62c32$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.1619762.9%124 W · 73 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60c2…d504backed eSuba79c31.65$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2520%0 W · 2 L-1.5wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x69fa…e259backed ex-MANA eSports48c31.13$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.1960954%329 W · 280 L+12.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed ex-MANA eSports42c31$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.988330.7%271 W · 612 L-63.8wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-35.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x18d8…400bbacked eSuba39c27.93$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112015%3 W · 17 L-6.3wins-0.31per pick46cpaid-72.6%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked eSuba39c27$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.492,77637.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L-140.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfbac…ecc4backed ex-MANA eSports60c26.61$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.6118841.5%78 W · 110 L-19.4wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-21.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd154…9c74backed ex-MANA eSports61c25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.7464046.3%296 W · 344 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0eba…cb3dbacked eSuba52c23.1$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.9617067.6%115 W · 55 L+14.0wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+12.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbc5f…d654backed ex-MANA eSports50c21.82$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.833100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+68.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5968…3fc4backed ex-MANA eSports64c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.1616461.6%101 W · 63 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9a1d…8986backed ex-MANA eSports74c18.22$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.819451.5%100 W · 94 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f56…348abacked ex-MANA eSports63c16.7$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.1260032.3%194 W · 406 L-49.7wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-38.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.