Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: HMBLE (-2.5) vs GMBLERS ESPORTS (+2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc06457f777535b780d9a0c174902fc4cc0fe00d3cd518eafd5833cc583d21e8b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- HMBLEof HMBLE, GMBLERS ESPORTS
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,454
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,628
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,454 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8d9f…787abacked HMBLE | 61c | 1,743$1,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$686.61 | 610 | 45.2%276 W · 334 L | +35.4wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x54ea…f74abacked GMBLERS ESPORTS | 38c | 1,597$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615 | 102 | 43.1%44 W · 58 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7787backed HMBLE | 64c | 1,310$838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.64 | 644 | 43%277 W · 367 L | -27.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd9…bfe8backed HMBLE | 63c | 699.49$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.81 | 644 | 53.9%347 W · 297 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58f8…dc70backed HMBLE | 60c | 643.89$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.89 | 403 | 70.2%283 W · 120 L | +31.3wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x41bb…6302backed GMBLERS ESPORTS | 36c | 427.78$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4f…e6ffbacked GMBLERS ESPORTS | 37c | 377$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.49 | 159 | 50.9%81 W · 78 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcef…fd7fbacked GMBLERS ESPORTS | 41c | 328.46$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.07 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f17…7035backed HMBLE | 65c | 325.42$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.29 | 115 | 67.8%78 W · 37 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9e…fbfdbacked GMBLERS ESPORTS | 36c | 322.22$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 256 | 40.6%104 W · 152 L | -10.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc754…4b1dbacked GMBLERS ESPORTS | 36c | 300$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 245 | 35.9%88 W · 157 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x623d…3aeebacked GMBLERS ESPORTS | 36c | 294.44$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddc…9c0fbacked GMBLERS ESPORTS | 38c | 272.17$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.32 | 218 | 44%96 W · 122 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed GMBLERS ESPORTS | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 413 | 43.8%181 W · 232 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41ff…b842backed GMBLERS ESPORTS | 36c | 170.45$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea2…370cbacked GMBLERS ESPORTS | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 474 | 34.8%165 W · 309 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed GMBLERS ESPORTS | 34c | 121.13$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.06 | 246 | 50%123 W · 123 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f83…3af9backed GMBLERS ESPORTS | 36c | 115.97$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.55 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdfc…22b8backed GMBLERS ESPORTS | 38c | 105.37$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.16per pick | 39cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed HMBLE | 65c | 99.99$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 285 | 59.6%170 W · 115 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c6…d14dbacked HMBLE | 64c | 80.01$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.51 | 72 | 63.9%46 W · 26 L | +7.1wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb55b…c5b4backed HMBLE | 67c | 75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b5f…3397backed GMBLERS ESPORTS | 38c | 73$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.74 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8c8b…7a07backed HMBLE | 65c | 65$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.75 | 40 | 67.5%27 W · 13 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed GMBLERS ESPORTS | 35c | 45$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 797 | 45.8%365 W · 432 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0336…4bb0backed GMBLERS ESPORTS | 38c | 38.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked GMBLERS ESPORTS | 35c | 33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.69 | 447 | 43.6%195 W · 252 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed HMBLE | 64c | 31.23$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.24 | 124 | 58.1%72 W · 52 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7b…8fb6backed GMBLERS ESPORTS | 37c | 28.38$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.36per pick | 52cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: HMBLE (-2.5) vs GMBLERS ESPORTS (+2.5)this page
- Game Handicap: HMBLE (-1.5) vs GMBLERS ESPORTS (+1.5)HMBLE won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Under won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- LoL: HMBLE vs GMBLERS ESPORTS (BO5) - LIT PlayoffsHMBLE won
- LoL: HMBLE vs GMBLERS ESPORTS - Game 1 WinnerHMBLE won
- LoL: HMBLE vs GMBLERS ESPORTS - Game 2 WinnerHMBLE won
- LoL: HMBLE vs GMBLERS ESPORTS - Game 3 WinnerHMBLE won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.