Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x37853a6258a18f9491576bd71a6a235954bb2a031ec2d6153348b759fb667578
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,831
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,124
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,831 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x58f8…dc70backed Under | 66c | 4,499$2,954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,545.74 | 403 | 70.2%283 W · 120 L | +31.3wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6918…782bbacked Over | 33c | 3,333$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.89 | 1,501 | 54.5%818 W · 683 L | +34.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…f8d8backed Over | 32c | 843.28$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.58 | 129 | 41.1%53 W · 76 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c6…d14dbacked Under | 68c | 710.99$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.52 | 72 | 63.9%46 W · 26 L | +7.1wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7787backed Under | 64c | 622.64$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.15 | 644 | 43%277 W · 367 L | -27.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Under | 63c | 439$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.43 | 197 | 58.9%116 W · 81 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed Over | 42c | 399.99$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166 | 413 | 43.8%181 W · 232 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Over | 35c | 384.02$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.4 | 246 | 50%123 W · 123 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Over | 37c | 370$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.83 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x623d…3aeebacked Over | 36c | 305.56$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddc…9c0fbacked Over | 36c | 291.7$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.01 | 218 | 44%96 W · 122 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cff…3984backed Over | 32c | 240.85$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85ae…5399backed Over | 37c | 240$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.8 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.26per pick | 34cpaid | -71.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed Under | 63c | 240$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.8 | 527 | 50.5%266 W · 261 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f17…7035backed Under | 66c | 208.11$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.53 | 115 | 67.8%78 W · 37 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 38c | 98.36$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.14 | 1,971 | 30.5%601 W · 1,370 L | -170.0wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed Over | 39c | 96.51$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.81 | 200 | 36.5%73 W · 127 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 36c | 87.87$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.39 | 227 | 48%109 W · 118 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c8b…7a07backed Under | 64c | 70$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 40 | 67.5%27 W · 13 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Over | 38c | 51.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.65 | 402 | 31.3%126 W · 276 L | -28.2wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc011…0a62backed Over | 37c | 40.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 443 | 50.8%225 W · 218 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Under | 65c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 285 | 59.6%170 W · 115 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d28…87b5backed Under | 63c | 39.68$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.68 | 65 | 69.2%45 W · 20 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe092…359fbacked Over | 34c | 38.65$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.99 | 78 | 66.7%52 W · 26 L | +9.3wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +23%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd689…ffe0backed Over | 37c | 31.79$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.82 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Over | 41c | 29.06$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.79 | 1,310 | 49.2%644 W · 666 L | -23.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Under | 63c | 20.54$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 751 | 50.7%381 W · 370 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa004…e6e6backed Under | 67c | 14.93$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.93 | 29 | 89.7%26 W · 3 L | +6.1wins | +0.21per pick | 69cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 3.5this page
- Game Handicap: HMBLE (-1.5) vs GMBLERS ESPORTS (+1.5)HMBLE won
- Game Handicap: HMBLE (-2.5) vs GMBLERS ESPORTS (+2.5)HMBLE won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- LoL: HMBLE vs GMBLERS ESPORTS (BO5) - LIT PlayoffsHMBLE won
- LoL: HMBLE vs GMBLERS ESPORTS - Game 1 WinnerHMBLE won
- LoL: HMBLE vs GMBLERS ESPORTS - Game 2 WinnerHMBLE won
- LoL: HMBLE vs GMBLERS ESPORTS - Game 3 WinnerHMBLE won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.