Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Ilbirs eSports vs Nemiga Gaming (BO3) - European Pro League Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x645644eca79aa3eaf0ac70a8179b9c991e2b3fce7cffe4327f9a5a19b1adc305
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nemiga Gamingof Ilbirs eSports, Nemiga Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,498
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,400
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,498 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3413…8ff2backed Ilbirs eSports | 40c | 5,186$2,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,069.88 | 476 | 46.4%221 W · 255 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…e409backed Ilbirs eSports | 43c | 2,141$914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$913.91 | 109 | 61.5%67 W · 42 L | +11.6wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x048f…9992backed Ilbirs eSports | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 211 | 0.5%1 W · 210 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -99.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x787f…d40cbacked Nemiga Gaming | 60c | 1,903$1,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$761.2 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54ea…f74abacked Nemiga Gaming | 59c | 1,132$668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.99 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40ce…bf90backed Ilbirs eSports | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 185 | 50.8%94 W · 91 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Nemiga Gaming | 61c | 999.57$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.5 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c72…7e7ebacked Nemiga Gaming | 60c | 896$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.95 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | -5.4wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -31%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd02a…4771backed Nemiga Gaming | 60c | 763.33$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.33 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf1…3018backed Nemiga Gaming | 58c | 721.98$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.23 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Ilbirs eSports | 11c | 701.57$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.93 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d3…bab9backed Nemiga Gaming | 57c | 695.46$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.05 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…4601backed Nemiga Gaming | 75c | 648$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.99 | 414 | 55.6%230 W · 184 L | +41.4wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x955c…a075backed Ilbirs eSports | 43c | 589.06$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.3 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -30%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba01…1a89backed Ilbirs eSports | 46c | 574.94$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.4 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Nemiga Gaming | 65c | 439.74$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.62 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Ilbirs eSports | 41c | 422.14$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.95 | 139 | 41.7%58 W · 81 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked Nemiga Gaming | 56c | 399.98$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.99 | 117 | 33.3%39 W · 78 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d3…b8debacked Ilbirs eSports | 33c | 349.99$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.5 | 700 | 52.3%366 W · 334 L | +47.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd747…076cbacked Nemiga Gaming | 60c | 323.54$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Ilbirs eSports | 22c | 301.51$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.12 | 1,154 | 47.7%550 W · 604 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Nemiga Gaming | 60c | 299.99$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 264 | 45.1%119 W · 145 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Nemiga Gaming | 58c | 295.58$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.65 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe8…bb28backed Nemiga Gaming | 57c | 273.82$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.52 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -4.8wins | -0.18per pick | 59cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9714…5152backed Ilbirs eSports | 44c | 255$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.2 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Nemiga Gaming | 79c | 242$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.04 | 165 | 39.4%65 W · 100 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -21%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50e8…0105backed Nemiga Gaming | 57c | 241.03$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.57 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.30per pick | 57cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Ilbirs eSports | 20c | 208.18$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.29 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafeb…6da8backed Nemiga Gaming | 60c | 207$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbc…d6a4backed Nemiga Gaming | 58c | 200.08$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.83 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Ilbirs eSports | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 253 | 48.6%123 W · 130 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b80…e5dfbacked Nemiga Gaming | 58c | 196.95$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.72 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Nemiga Gaming | 79c | 194$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.66 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6983…88c3backed Nemiga Gaming | 57c | 183$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.69 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe803…b60ebacked Ilbirs eSports | 41c | 182.93$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 86 | 55.8%48 W · 38 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Nemiga Gaming | 62c | 177.24$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.01 | 713 | 42.5%303 W · 410 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed Nemiga Gaming | 57c | 177$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.11 | 126 | 46%58 W · 68 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93d7…c7a6backed Nemiga Gaming | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Ilbirs eSports | 39c | 164.53$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.09 | 294 | 32.3%95 W · 199 L | -19.2wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Nemiga Gaming | 56c | 138.32$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.86 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Nemiga Gaming | 55c | 135.68$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.72 | 892 | 38.1%340 W · 552 L | -42.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Ilbirs eSports | 44c | 134.82$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.32 | 85 | 36.5%31 W · 54 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Ilbirs eSports | 17c | 127.25$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.07 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76bb…4548backed Nemiga Gaming | 79c | 126.81$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.81 | 86 | 60.5%52 W · 34 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Nemiga Gaming | 60c | 123.45$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.38 | 325 | 48.9%159 W · 166 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde30…3159backed Ilbirs eSports | 44c | 116.6$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.29 | 195 | 47.2%92 W · 103 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x710c…78eabacked Ilbirs eSports | 31c | 114$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.34 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f16…553dbacked Nemiga Gaming | 60c | 108.33$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.33 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Nemiga Gaming | 57c | 106$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.74 | 683 | 45.8%313 W · 370 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc19…31c4backed Ilbirs eSports | 43c | 100.08$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.32 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c8b…7a07backed Ilbirs eSports | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae8e…08f9backed Nemiga Gaming | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 90 | 55.6%50 W · 40 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdde…0b07backed Nemiga Gaming | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e50…4b22backed Nemiga Gaming | 63c | 99.99$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1791…3e87backed Nemiga Gaming | 60c | 97.54$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.34 | 146 | 52.1%76 W · 70 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0593…9712backed Nemiga Gaming | 64c | 93.44$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.28 | 217 | 69.1%150 W · 67 L | +16.9wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf95e…1816backed Nemiga Gaming | 60c | 89.17$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.67 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5149…3336backed Nemiga Gaming | 60c | 76.72$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.69 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Nemiga Gaming | 57c | 70$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.41 | 535 | 38.5%206 W · 329 L | -26.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Nemiga Gaming | 57c | 69.59$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.92 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Nemiga Gaming | 79c | 68.8$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.72 | 192 | 49%94 W · 98 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7b…8fb6backed Nemiga Gaming | 60c | 61.67$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.67 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1298…97b6backed Ilbirs eSports | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x08fa…f1e0backed Ilbirs eSports | 31c | 52.31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.39 | 813 | 45.1%367 W · 446 L | -26.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Ilbirs eSports | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 250 | 47.6%119 W · 131 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd93d…27a0backed Ilbirs eSports | 41c | 49.59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.33 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -31%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Nemiga Gaming | 79c | 49.27$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.47 | 587 | 46.5%273 W · 314 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed Nemiga Gaming | 79c | 49$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.1 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f0b…8202backed Ilbirs eSports | 25c | 47$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd83…d102backed Nemiga Gaming | 60c | 42.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3202…6a46backed Nemiga Gaming | 68c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8c…2d81backed Nemiga Gaming | 57c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21dd…e4f5backed Ilbirs eSports | 43c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 80 | 53.8%43 W · 37 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8812…c41abacked Nemiga Gaming | 56c | 39.98$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.69 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaae…ec88backed Nemiga Gaming | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 171 | 46.8%80 W · 91 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc95e…102abacked Nemiga Gaming | 60c | 32.88$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.15 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Nemiga Gaming | 79c | 31$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.53 | 440 | 49.3%217 W · 223 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Nemiga Gaming | 79c | 31$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.42 | 569 | 45.2%257 W · 312 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b0…b4d1backed Nemiga Gaming | 57c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…1164backed Ilbirs eSports | 43c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Nemiga Gaming | 80c | 29.46$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.98 | 589 | 43%253 W · 336 L | -25.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28f6…79c0backed Nemiga Gaming | 66c | 28$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.66 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8369…1ec0backed Nemiga Gaming | 57c | 26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.18 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56fb…3a1bbacked Nemiga Gaming | 75c | 25.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.62 | 89 | 61.8%55 W · 34 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Nemiga Gaming | 78c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.39 | 301 | 46.2%139 W · 162 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Nemiga Gaming | 62c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.55 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Ilbirs eSports | 41c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 125 | 56.8%71 W · 54 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe419…f6c4backed Nemiga Gaming | 60c | 24.7$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.88 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad2c…4eecbacked Nemiga Gaming | 56c | 21.02$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 134 | 35.8%48 W · 86 L | -9.5wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x58cc…6415backed Nemiga Gaming | 60c | 20.5$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d10…b3d0backed Nemiga Gaming | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f2d…ece2backed Nemiga Gaming | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +74.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c6…61fbbacked Nemiga Gaming | 77c | 19.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 60cpaid | -28%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Nemiga Gaming | 59c | 18.51$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.66 | 438 | 60.5%265 W · 173 L | +44.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Ilbirs eSports vs Nemiga Gaming (BO3) - European Pro League Playoffsthis page
- Dota 2: Ilbirs eSports vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 1 WinnerNemiga Gaming won
- Dota 2: Ilbirs eSports vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 2 WinnerNemiga Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.