MLB · resolved market
KBO: Lotte Giants vs. Kiwoom Heroes
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6d39743537c57da8fe76ed5e0675c8b050201eb9d032bd5c6f77828c033543d4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lotte Giantsof Lotte Giants, Kiwoom Heroes
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,824
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,982
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,824 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x835c…a5eebacked Lotte Giants | 50c | 1,113$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.3 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Kiwoom Heroes | 50c | 639.38$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.69 | 614 | 50.8%312 W · 302 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x287d…38febacked Kiwoom Heroes | 22c | 553.05$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.67 | 71 | 26.8%19 W · 52 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Kiwoom Heroes | 48c | 270.46$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.9 | 199 | 34.2%68 W · 131 L | -9.1wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Lotte Giants | 78c | 229.06$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.98 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed4e…916fbacked Lotte Giants | 53c | 214.4$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.4 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Lotte Giants | 80c | 208.13$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.41 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Kiwoom Heroes | 47c | 180.13$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.79 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01ae…55f8backed Lotte Giants | 49c | 163.27$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.27 | 97 | 51.5%50 W · 47 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Kiwoom Heroes | 49c | 131.98$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.67 | 718 | 50.1%360 W · 358 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Kiwoom Heroes | 12c | 129.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.19 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Kiwoom Heroes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 89 | 47.2%42 W · 47 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 37c | 92$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.3 | 401 | 46.1%185 W · 216 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 37c | 92$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 289 | 52.6%152 W · 137 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Lotte Giants | 53c | 91.25$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.61 | 1,001 | 57.3%574 W · 427 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Kiwoom Heroes | 50c | 85$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.5 | 256 | 48%123 W · 133 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc0…7bf6backed Lotte Giants | 53c | 85$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.95 | 205 | 48.8%100 W · 105 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2465…5d84backed Lotte Giants | 80c | 62$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.59 | 1,100 | 79.6%876 W · 224 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775b…d38abacked Lotte Giants | 51c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.7 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Kiwoom Heroes | 48c | 59.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.7 | 827 | 41.1%340 W · 487 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88fb…db3abacked Lotte Giants | 52c | 57.33$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.33 | 732 | 43.4%318 W · 414 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa402…d14bbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 47c | 54.94$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.03 | 221 | 51.6%114 W · 107 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Lotte Giants | 43c | 44.92$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.6 | 539 | 50.6%273 W · 266 L | +16.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbae0…7b62backed Lotte Giants | 59c | 41.46$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Kiwoom Heroes | 57c | 40$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 136 | 49.3%67 W · 69 L | +10.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +68.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…85e2backed Lotte Giants | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd93d…27a0backed Lotte Giants | 53c | 30.11$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.25 | 373 | 49.6%185 W · 188 L | +11.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Kiwoom Heroes | 49c | 28.92$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.17 | 776 | 47.4%368 W · 408 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Kiwoom Heroes | 47c | 25.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 590 | 38.8%229 W · 361 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2638…8e2dbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 48c | 23.6$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.33 | 132 | 52.3%69 W · 63 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba85…584fbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 50c | 23.4$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -60%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8cd3…377dbacked Lotte Giants | 50c | 23.4$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c3…de7ebacked Lotte Giants | 50c | 21.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa94f…43c3backed Kiwoom Heroes | 50c | 21.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a60…cd53backed Lotte Giants | 50c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3dc…1318backed Kiwoom Heroes | 50c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x170a…c8a9backed Lotte Giants | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 106 | 61.3%65 W · 41 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7701…6ea2backed Lotte Giants | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 170 | 51.8%88 W · 82 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.