WNBA · resolved market
Atlanta Dream vs. PortlandFire: O/U 164.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x22749deb57bf8ef5fe3819fe5a6354e3e33cae939e91db2f27dc6f256aca8e0c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,232
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,269
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,232 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8cbf…0eb4backed Under | 54c | 5,000$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,299.99 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Under | 51c | 3,904$1,991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,912.87 | 296 | 54.4%161 W · 135 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc920…7914backed Over | 46c | 3,341$1,537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,536.7 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 46c | 3,007$1,398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,397.83 | 232 | 45.7%106 W · 126 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Over | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 101 | 51.5%52 W · 49 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81e…e3d0backed Over | 49c | 1,481$726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725.76 | 144 | 52.8%76 W · 68 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dad…4855backed Under | 53c | 1,100$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.99 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 54c | 672$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.12 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed Over | 4c | 566.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.85 | 449 | 15.6%70 W · 379 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27ee…b517backed Over | 46c | 431.59$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Over | 45c | 417.49$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.99 | 157 | 48.4%76 W · 81 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeea8…0412backed Under | 53c | 400$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.74 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5b…5d3abacked Under | 57c | 351.82$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.82 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Over | 24c | 220.61$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.17 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca4…aa92backed Under | 53c | 220.14$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.47 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 52c | 210.26$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.97 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb2e…cc6bbacked Under | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +4.6wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Over | 50c | 199.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 34c | 194$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.1 | 376 | 50.3%189 W · 187 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Over | 49c | 177.71$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.08 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6687…7183backed Over | 60c | 167.66$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.59 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Over | 49c | 155.22$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.74 | 270 | 49.6%134 W · 136 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 50c | 146$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Over | 47c | 141.43$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.47 | 90 | 44.4%40 W · 50 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Over | 46c | 140$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.4 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | -7.1wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xba58…28c2backed Over | 50c | 132.42$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 38c | 119.99$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.8 | 411 | 47%193 W · 218 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61e8…b283backed Over | 45c | 115$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.75 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -4.1wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 49c | 105.09$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.74 | 610 | 42.5%259 W · 351 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a15…e238backed Over | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 85 | 50.6%43 W · 42 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Over | 47c | 95.74$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +3.4wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 54c | 87.35$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.03 | 509 | 52.5%267 W · 242 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 70c | 75$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.61 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc348…9f08backed Over | 71c | 70.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3af…6da8backed Under | 56c | 62.5$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe05…c67cbacked Under | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +3.3wins | +0.19per pick | 57cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc322…a836backed Over | 63c | 47.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -3.2wins | -0.32per pick | 62cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 47c | 46$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.62 | 320 | 49.4%158 W · 162 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Over | 47c | 44.68$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 329 | 48.6%160 W · 169 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07fc…b574backed Under | 55c | 44.18$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.67 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03c5…5f61backed Over | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under | 49c | 36.27$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3c…fc78backed Under | 52c | 30.71$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.59 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Over | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e23…94b2backed Over | 46c | 29.07$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.37 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed Over | 47c | 28.51$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a9…87e2backed Over | 49c | 21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 77 | 59.7%46 W · 31 L | +9.0wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Atlanta Dream vs. PortlandFire: O/U 164.5this page
- Atlanta Dream vs. PortlandFireAtlanta Dream won
- Atlanta Dream vs. PortlandFire: O/U 162.5Under won
- Atlanta Dream vs. PortlandFire: O/U 163.5Under won
- Atlanta Dream vs. PortlandFire: O/U 165.5Under won
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-10.5)Atlanta Dream won
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-8.5)Atlanta Dream won
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-9.5)Atlanta Dream won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.