WNBA · resolved market
Atlanta Dream vs. PortlandFire: O/U 162.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd39dd5c8acf3a125e5b5faa26c8f1d89bfa8469578bde18c22413f54338721c3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $64,003
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $84,310
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,003 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe5ef…9e7abacked Under | 51c | 21,488$10,924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,564.1 | 115 | 45.2%52 W · 63 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 49c | 8,116$3,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,995.25 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 12c | 7,400$869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$869.08 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed Over | 6c | 6,800$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.32 | 449 | 15.6%70 W · 379 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Over | 49c | 3,023$1,481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,481.38 | 53 | 60.4%32 W · 21 L | +6.2wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd81e…e3d0backed Over | 49c | 2,484$1,217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,217.23 | 144 | 52.8%76 W · 68 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Over | 49c | 1,872$917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$917.28 | 361 | 54%195 W · 166 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61e8…b283backed Over | 49c | 1,194$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.1 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -4.1wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaf…d959backed Over | 50c | 1,064$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.88 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 49c | 824.01$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.77 | 462 | 47%217 W · 245 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 50c | 655.45$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.17 | 641 | 52%333 W · 308 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c0…24eebacked Over | 53c | 499.99$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.99 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21db…2a42backed Over | 11c | 455.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +4.9wins | +0.20per pick | 48cpaid | +38%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xae6d…468dbacked Over | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9034…f7dfbacked Over | 11c | 400$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 118 | 40.7%48 W · 70 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3673…2d13backed Over | 49c | 371$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.79 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Over | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Over | 49c | 301.84$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.9 | 344 | 48%165 W · 179 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Over | 49c | 240$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.6 | 167 | 45.5%76 W · 91 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a12…cba0backed Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +61.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Under | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcb…95afbacked Over | 12c | 167.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Over | 49c | 146$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.54 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…68a0backed Over | 15c | 120$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Over | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 67c | 116$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.73 | 509 | 52.5%267 W · 242 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 10c | 106.01$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.76 | 103 | 49.5%51 W · 52 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc322…a836backed Over | 49c | 67.04$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.85 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -3.2wins | -0.32per pick | 62cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x94b4…7d38backed Over | 17c | 63.19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x843e…e477backed Over | 49c | 51.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.02 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -43%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28ba…d4fbbacked Under | 51c | 38.29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.76 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.6wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe840…733cbacked Over | 49c | 33.94$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.63 | 88 | 50%44 W · 44 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18e6…b54abacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Atlanta Dream vs. PortlandFire: O/U 162.5this page
- Atlanta Dream vs. PortlandFireAtlanta Dream won
- Atlanta Dream vs. PortlandFire: O/U 163.5Under won
- Atlanta Dream vs. PortlandFire: O/U 164.5Under won
- Atlanta Dream vs. PortlandFire: O/U 165.5Under won
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-10.5)Atlanta Dream won
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-8.5)Atlanta Dream won
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-9.5)Atlanta Dream won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.