WNBA · resolved market
Spread: Atlanta Dream (-8.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaa139144f90f24e67b14420a8675d59d780607dc772e66d4776de50dbb2d270e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Atlanta Dreamof Atlanta Dream, PortlandFire
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,523
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,373
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,523 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed PortlandFire | 51c | 8,827$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,500 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Atlanta Dream | 48c | 8,512$4,118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,393.35 | 1,787 | 51.7%924 W · 863 L | +54.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed PortlandFire | 36c | 5,003$1,816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,815.85 | 1,632 | 50.2%819 W · 813 L | +37.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked PortlandFire | 56c | 4,008$2,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,244.39 | 161 | 52.2%84 W · 77 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c8…d8a4backed PortlandFire | 49c | 2,650$1,298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,298.48 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | +6.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Atlanta Dream | 58c | 2,277$1,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$967.05 | 231 | 49.4%114 W · 117 L | -14.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Atlanta Dream | 47c | 1,835$863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$972.71 | 227 | 48.5%110 W · 117 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Atlanta Dream | 46c | 1,480$685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$794.73 | 1,012 | 47.9%485 W · 527 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed PortlandFire | 51c | 1,466$744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$743.91 | 135 | 38.5%52 W · 83 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Atlanta Dream | 50c | 1,265$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$632.36 | 472 | 46.8%221 W · 251 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cdc…b83fbacked Atlanta Dream | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed PortlandFire | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 101 | 44.6%45 W · 56 L | -13.5wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -25%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Atlanta Dream | 48c | 500$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c0…24eebacked Atlanta Dream | 52c | 455.88$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.92 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc392…595dbacked PortlandFire | 51c | 410.29$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209 | 119 | 41.2%49 W · 70 L | -12.0wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x88ba…b99abacked Atlanta Dream | 64c | 395.42$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.92 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…dbc6backed Atlanta Dream | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe592…74adbacked PortlandFire | 55c | 300$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked PortlandFire | 36c | 289.79$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.2 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x987b…3d00backed Atlanta Dream | 53c | 284.23$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.23 | 134 | 48.5%65 W · 69 L | -9.7wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Atlanta Dream | 54c | 277.78$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.78 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Atlanta Dream | 51c | 251.53$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.25 | 132 | 49.2%65 W · 67 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Atlanta Dream | 51c | 235.29$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.29 | 120 | 45%54 W · 66 L | -9.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -15%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed PortlandFire | 56c | 214.29$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d46…b09bbacked Atlanta Dream | 61c | 214.14$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.92 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +22%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed PortlandFire | 47c | 208$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.68 | 214 | 47.7%102 W · 112 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Atlanta Dream | 55c | 197$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.7 | 511 | 47.2%241 W · 270 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Atlanta Dream | 51c | 196.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.06 | 612 | 42.3%259 W · 353 L | -31.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Atlanta Dream | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x041b…d3ebbacked PortlandFire | 53c | 188.91$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3673…2d13backed PortlandFire | 47c | 178.79$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.88 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed PortlandFire | 49c | 176.71$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.59 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ad…795cbacked Atlanta Dream | 63c | 174.37$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.07 | 234 | 67.5%158 W · 76 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Atlanta Dream | 52c | 144.99$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.59 | 276 | 49.6%137 W · 139 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…40d5backed Atlanta Dream | 53c | 140.6$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.08 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe21e…f216backed Atlanta Dream | 75c | 117.36$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.34 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -42%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x64e7…50d1backed PortlandFire | 41c | 100.58$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.16 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8849…9a83backed PortlandFire | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 113 | 53.1%60 W · 53 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9034…f7dfbacked Atlanta Dream | 68c | 99.99$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 118 | 40.7%48 W · 70 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1980…3340backed PortlandFire | 49c | 98.16$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.1 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x052f…5ef8backed PortlandFire | 46c | 82.78$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.88 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed Atlanta Dream | 51c | 82.75$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.3 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Atlanta Dream | 48c | 78$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.31 | 211 | 50.2%106 W · 105 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc064…6fa8backed PortlandFire | 46c | 65.02$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.91 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Atlanta Dream | 58c | 64.93$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.27 | 106 | 57.5%61 W · 45 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacff…3872backed PortlandFire | 54c | 64.74$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.83 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x508d…3961backed PortlandFire | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Atlanta Dream | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 99 | 55.6%55 W · 44 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8e4…53bbbacked PortlandFire | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3e…986cbacked Atlanta Dream | 51c | 33.04$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.19 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd37…e117backed Atlanta Dream | 53c | 30.2$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.2 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | +8.1wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Atlanta Dream | 50c | 22.61$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.31 | 932 | 48.8%455 W · 477 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Atlanta Dream | 50c | 21.13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.67 | 627 | 46.9%294 W · 333 L | -19.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Atlanta Dream | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 149 | 44.3%66 W · 83 L | -10.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-8.5)this page
- Atlanta Dream vs. PortlandFireAtlanta Dream won
- Atlanta Dream vs. PortlandFire: O/U 162.5Under won
- Atlanta Dream vs. PortlandFire: O/U 163.5Under won
- Atlanta Dream vs. PortlandFire: O/U 164.5Under won
- Atlanta Dream vs. PortlandFire: O/U 165.5Under won
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-10.5)Atlanta Dream won
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-9.5)Atlanta Dream won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.