WNBA · resolved market
Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa61b6f562da0d5ca23177dd59c861bd93099a9869af16edb2534b9d1daf6cec2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Golden State Valkyriesof Golden State Valkyries, Dallas Wings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,446
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,562
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,446 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed Dallas Wings | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,900 | 143 | 53.8%77 W · 66 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Golden State Valkyries | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,900 | 139 | 50.4%70 W · 69 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x021c…232fbacked Golden State Valkyries | 54c | 7,103$3,829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,274.11 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Dallas Wings | 47c | 2,923$1,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,364.61 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Dallas Wings | 46c | 2,848$1,312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,311.9 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f2…b422backed Golden State Valkyries | 53c | 2,314$1,229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,084.37 | 69 | 56.5%39 W · 30 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Dallas Wings | 46c | 1,265$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.14 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dad…4855backed Golden State Valkyries | 52c | 1,100$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.99 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd60…396cbacked Dallas Wings | 46c | 566.67$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.67 | 76 | 38.2%29 W · 47 L | -7.7wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -22%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x51da…a701backed Golden State Valkyries | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.56 | 161 | 53.4%86 W · 75 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66ea…6791backed Dallas Wings | 47c | 478.72$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.21per pick | 52cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Dallas Wings | 46c | 405.25$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.07 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9eab…7e13backed Golden State Valkyries | 53c | 299.99$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca4…aa92backed Golden State Valkyries | 53c | 299.99$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.99 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27ee…b517backed Dallas Wings | 37c | 270.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Dallas Wings | 46c | 237$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.09 | 411 | 45.7%188 W · 223 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x789f…3e7dbacked Dallas Wings | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Dallas Wings | 46c | 195.87$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.1 | 399 | 47.1%188 W · 211 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbf…0eb4backed Golden State Valkyries | 51c | 162.18$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.47 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5016…ada1backed Golden State Valkyries | 52c | 103.98$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.91 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Golden State Valkyries | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35c9…bc74backed Golden State Valkyries | 54c | 92.69$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.69 | 126 | 51.6%65 W · 61 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Dallas Wings | 47c | 80.11$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.65 | 329 | 48.6%160 W · 169 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Golden State Valkyries | 52c | 70$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 270 | 49.6%134 W · 136 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Dallas Wings | 46c | 66.83$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.74 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfee8…9197backed Dallas Wings | 47c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Golden State Valkyries | 54c | 58.52$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 281 | 40.6%114 W · 167 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c8d…4f5cbacked Dallas Wings | 49c | 57.05$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.95 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf9…3a59backed Golden State Valkyries | 53c | 55$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.85 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x097c…630abacked Dallas Wings | 48c | 52.01$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Dallas Wings | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.18 | 284 | 47.9%136 W · 148 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Dallas Wings | 46c | 38.09$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.66 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x186a…559dbacked Golden State Valkyries | 54c | 32.03$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.73 | 155 | 53.5%83 W · 72 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Dallas Wings | 47c | 29.25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7497…18cebacked Golden State Valkyries | 55c | 23.21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.44 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | -6.1wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3d60…6df2backed Dallas Wings | 47c | 21.94$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.31 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -5.1wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e94…776bbacked Golden State Valkyries | 52c | 19.6$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-2.5)this page
- Dallas Wings vs. Golden State ValkyriesGolden State Valkyries won
- Dallas Wings vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 164.5Over won
- Dallas Wings vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 165.5Over won
- Dallas Wings vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 166.5Over won
- Dallas Wings vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 167.5Over won
- Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-3.5)Golden State Valkyries won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.