WNBA · resolved market
Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x064fbe4c0b81aa4c0ee92b53e5a09544919c231ece06971dfd2cfa0a7e88c683
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Golden State Valkyriesof Golden State Valkyries, Dallas Wings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,237
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,036
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,237 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Golden State Valkyries | 47c | 2,645$1,237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,407.91 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Golden State Valkyries | 48c | 2,169$1,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,123.74 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Dallas Wings | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 161 | 52.2%84 W · 77 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Dallas Wings | 53c | 1,879$996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$995.72 | 386 | 45.9%177 W · 209 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c0…24eebacked Dallas Wings | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Golden State Valkyries | 56c | 917.22$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.34 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Golden State Valkyries | 49c | 778.37$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.68 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Golden State Valkyries | 50c | 665.8$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.9 | 150 | 48%72 W · 78 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Dallas Wings | 54c | 462.96$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3105…2e7ebacked Dallas Wings | 52c | 458.13$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.23 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Dallas Wings | 51c | 420$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.2 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd420…df90backed Golden State Valkyries | 49c | 203.98$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.03 | 115 | 52.2%60 W · 55 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc392…595dbacked Dallas Wings | 55c | 182.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 119 | 41.2%49 W · 70 L | -12.0wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Dallas Wings | 55c | 175.37$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.08 | 610 | 42.5%259 W · 351 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…fbebbacked Golden State Valkyries | 50c | 159.92$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.96 | 133 | 46.6%62 W · 71 L | -9.0wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Dallas Wings | 27c | 158.56$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.07 | 349 | 18.3%64 W · 285 L | -49.5wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Dallas Wings | 35c | 131$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.85 | 506 | 46.8%237 W · 269 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Dallas Wings | 57c | 110$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.2 | 173 | 50.3%87 W · 86 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32f1…c96ebacked Dallas Wings | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 113 | 49.6%56 W · 57 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8537…b98bbacked Dallas Wings | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Golden State Valkyries | 47c | 97$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.41 | 552 | 55.1%304 W · 248 L | +25.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Dallas Wings | 51c | 74.51$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Golden State Valkyries | 50c | 72.24$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.12 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Dallas Wings | 51c | 54.9$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca2b…3489backed Golden State Valkyries | 50c | 52$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Dallas Wings | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 284 | 47.9%136 W · 148 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Golden State Valkyries | 47c | 46.86$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.85 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11ac…4326backed Dallas Wings | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb1…6c8fbacked Dallas Wings | 36c | 38.2$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -4.0wins | -0.18per pick | 50cpaid | -45%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Dallas Wings | 36c | 38.2$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 109 | 35.8%39 W · 70 L | -13.8wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Dallas Wings | 51c | 35.35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.03 | 134 | 40.3%54 W · 80 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Golden State Valkyries | 50c | 24.08$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.04 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf5e…95e3backed Golden State Valkyries | 50c | 24.08$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.04 | 81 | 54.3%44 W · 37 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c2…5509backed Golden State Valkyries | 50c | 24.08$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.04 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f12…effbbacked Golden State Valkyries | 50c | 24.08$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.04 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-3.5)this page
- Dallas Wings vs. Golden State ValkyriesGolden State Valkyries won
- Dallas Wings vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 164.5Over won
- Dallas Wings vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 165.5Over won
- Dallas Wings vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 166.5Over won
- Dallas Wings vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 167.5Over won
- Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-2.5)Golden State Valkyries won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.