WNBA · resolved market
Dallas Wings vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 164.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb1777c350cf41df3207687cb835b91cbc3dc9b5e3f11dc9311c9c08779231219
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,352
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,897
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,352 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaf9f…f6a3backed Over | 51c | 6,759$3,447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,311.89 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 49c | 1,735$845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$844.64 | 1,787 | 51.7%924 W · 863 L | +54.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e71…e570backed Under | 50c | 1,464$729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$728.64 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 49c | 1,298$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$636.02 | 420 | 46.7%196 W · 224 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c74…4ef0backed Under | 49c | 1,188$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.36 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 49c | 1,024$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.44 | 1,012 | 47.9%485 W · 527 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c0…24eebacked Over | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 48c | 948.18$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.13 | 859 | 48.4%416 W · 443 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 45c | 910.73$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.39 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 27c | 880.5$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.81 | 1,632 | 50.2%819 W · 813 L | +37.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 51c | 829$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.79 | 564 | 55.1%311 W · 253 L | +27.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 50c | 823.3$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.97 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 49c | 823.14$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.34 | 472 | 46.8%221 W · 251 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 50c | 784.24$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.85 | 796 | 48.7%388 W · 408 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Under | 49c | 765.02$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.86 | 327 | 43.7%143 W · 184 L | -23.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 50c | 727.96$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.23 | 761 | 42.7%325 W · 436 L | -19.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 52c | 576.9$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.91 | 657 | 51.4%338 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x435f…2de6backed Over | 47c | 523.25$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.32 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb84…5fb5backed Under | 50c | 292$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 55c | 245.88$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.32 | 612 | 42.3%259 W · 353 L | -31.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc392…595dbacked Over | 55c | 182.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.25 | 119 | 41.2%49 W · 70 L | -12.0wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f6…bab8backed Over | 51c | 162.75$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.75 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…fbebbacked Under | 51c | 156.78$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.96 | 133 | 46.6%62 W · 71 L | -9.0wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Over | 54c | 148.15$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.15 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 26c | 109.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.83 | 351 | 18.5%65 W · 286 L | -49.3wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 402 | 47.3%190 W · 212 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Over | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 173 | 50.3%87 W · 86 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Under | 21c | 75.72$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 122 | 16.4%20 W · 102 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07ac…ba1dbacked Under | 51c | 58.52$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0b…4db0backed Over | 51c | 47.55$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.14 | 92 | 60.9%56 W · 36 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7497…18cebacked Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | -6.1wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Under | 61c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 196 | 50.5%99 W · 97 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe840…733cbacked Under | 49c | 25.78$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.63 | 88 | 50%44 W · 44 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9991…36b8backed Over | 55c | 22.8$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.26 | 52 | 69.2%36 W · 16 L | +4.6wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 48c | 21.17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.16 | 236 | 44.9%106 W · 130 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb4…4551backed Under | 49c | 21.1$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa402…d14bbacked Under | 50c | 20.24$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 149 | 44.3%66 W · 83 L | -10.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dallas Wings vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 164.5this page
- Dallas Wings vs. Golden State ValkyriesGolden State Valkyries won
- Dallas Wings vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 165.5Over won
- Dallas Wings vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 166.5Over won
- Dallas Wings vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 167.5Over won
- Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-2.5)Golden State Valkyries won
- Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-3.5)Golden State Valkyries won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.