Asian League · resolved market
Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Henan FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x87fcd331a8083b6c23d14489850e28ab8f39d5cb87ebc5082510dbabb790d9e3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,002
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,637
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,002 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Under | 54c | 6,428$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 182 | 57.1%104 W · 78 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 47c | 2,117$991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,125.9 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Over | 43c | 563.83$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.57 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed Under | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 46c | 451.54$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.92 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27ee…b517backed Over | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.78 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 46cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 45c | 420.05$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.45 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed Over | 43c | 400$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Over | 42c | 399.99$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232 | 150 | 36.7%55 W · 95 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 48c | 310$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.2 | 117 | 42.7%50 W · 67 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 46c | 303.63$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.65 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6eb…bc82backed Under | 11c | 299.98$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2fb…610cbacked Under | 55c | 289.09$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 57c | 288.6$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.67 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 53c | 279$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.13 | 404 | 48%194 W · 210 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0979…fc8abacked Under | 11c | 264.97$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Over | 48c | 253.82$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.96 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over | 47c | 252$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134 | 103 | 35%36 W · 67 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Under | 49c | 247.24$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.2 | 340 | 50.9%173 W · 167 L | +19.3wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 47c | 239$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.67 | 139 | 49.6%69 W · 70 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 69c | 238.61$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.23 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…40d5backed Under | 50c | 233.63$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5099…6d94backed Under | 49c | 219$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe39…407fbacked Over | 51c | 215.06$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Over | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 137 | 46.7%64 W · 73 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65fc…22c3backed Over | 51c | 212.65$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe48…ce72backed Over | 51c | 209.83$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcad8…15c4backed Under | 49c | 209$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…f098backed Under | 49c | 207$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3578…d623backed Over | 51c | 205.33$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb24c…a1a0backed Under | 49c | 205$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f03…45debacked Under | 48c | 204$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x793a…ad7abacked Under | 49c | 201$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe390…06fbbacked Over | 51c | 200.67$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56ed…8eacbacked Over | 52c | 200.09$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce0…6599backed Under | 12c | 200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.2 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35c9…e459backed Over | 51c | 199.35$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0d6…e37cbacked Under | 49c | 198$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7444…d793backed Under | 49c | 198$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc38…e1d1backed Over | 52c | 196.91$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa013…e10bbacked Over | 51c | 195.17$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7738…b975backed Under | 48c | 193$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b5b…4daabacked Under | 49c | 193$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25ea…4f96backed Over | 51c | 191.94$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 46c | 166.87$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.11 | 1,117 | 46.2%516 W · 601 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked Over | 46c | 153.65$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.97 | 94 | 58.5%55 W · 39 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 54c | 141.47$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.39 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02ea…220cbacked Over | 26c | 137.22$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.22 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 61c | 125.5$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.63 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 102 | 45.1%46 W · 56 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 297 | 45.1%134 W · 163 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2c…9d16backed Over | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | -4.2wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Over | 52c | 99.99$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.5 | 186 | 47.3%88 W · 98 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae9f…4967backed Under | 66c | 90.91$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.34per pick | 59cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed Over | 53c | 84.89$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.9 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d5…2b9cbacked Over | 43c | 80$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.93 | 56 | 26.8%15 W · 41 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a80…f05abacked Over | 23c | 77.83$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.77per pick | 23cpaid | +334.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed Over | 46c | 77.12$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.76 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 55cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…fd6ebacked Over | 48c | 62.49$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.49 | 91 | 41.8%38 W · 53 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Over | 46c | 60.43$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.71 | 117 | 64.1%75 W · 42 L | +11.7wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Under | 51c | 55.33$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.22 | 155 | 49%76 W · 79 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Over | 48c | 54.21$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.06 | 325 | 60.3%196 W · 129 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 47c | 54.05$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.35 | 934 | 46.1%431 W · 503 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 67c | 50$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.5 | 693 | 52.2%362 W · 331 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46d2…6805backed Over | 48c | 42.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.28 | 80 | 68.8%55 W · 25 L | +8.0wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 88 | 34.1%30 W · 58 L | -8.2wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…a78fbacked Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65af…df77backed Under | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 112 | 43.8%49 W · 63 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 53c | 37.02$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.35 | 390 | 58.2%227 W · 163 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Under | 49c | 36.68$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.95 | 98 | 60.2%59 W · 39 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3e…7857backed Over | 53c | 34.06$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.01 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +3.2wins | +0.32per pick | 58cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Under | 53c | 31.84$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.88 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Over | 47c | 29.9$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.85 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 53c | 29.67$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.91 | 226 | 56.6%128 W · 98 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Over | 43c | 29.63$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.89 | 202 | 56.4%114 W · 88 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Over | 53c | 25.02$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.71 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bfe…0741backed Under | 48c | 23.73$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Over | 47c | 22.87$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.06 | 241 | 62.2%150 W · 91 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58a1…0cd3backed Over | 50c | 22.2$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2413…2442backed Under | 59c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47cc…6aa7backed Over | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 71cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Henan FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Henan FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Henan FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Henan FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Henan FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Dalian Yingbo FC (-1.5)Henan FC won
- Spread: Dalian Yingbo FC (-2.5)Henan FC won
- Spread: Henan FC (-1.5)Dalian Yingbo FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.