TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Henan FC: O/U 4.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$5,322
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$5,527

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,322 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1f3f…5878backed Over15c472.15$71 inLost-$70.82210%0 W · 21 L-3.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Over14c308.37$43 inLost-$42.9715036.7%55 W · 95 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c77…b3d1backed Under50c202.07$101 inWon+$101.04250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1155…86f5backed Under50c197.04$99 inWon+$98.52580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+60%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9c0a…cb1dbacked Under50c195.96$98 inWon+$97.982100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x73de…ea44backed Under50c193.69$97 inWon+$96.85250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x638e…5138backed Under50c189.61$95 inWon+$94.812100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe7c1…6b73backed Under50c189.1$95 inWon+$94.55250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ca5…9931backed Under50c189.03$95 inWon+$94.52250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe2d3…0be7backed Under50c186.33$93 inWon+$93.173100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x741a…ae6bbacked Under50c184.82$92 inWon+$92.41250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a32…fee5backed Under50c184.82$92 inWon+$92.412100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1485…f7e2backed Under50c179.12$90 inWon+$89.561100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f76…373ebacked Under50c175.11$88 inWon+$87.562100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x20f5…7baabacked Under50c174.73$87 inWon+$87.37250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19d3…3661backed Under50c174.05$87 inWon+$87.03250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b03…5846backed Under50c169.69$85 inWon+$84.851100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.