Asian League · resolved market
Spread: Dalian Yingbo FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x379bea62a561f6cd9a9310845246e6ac8a1f9dc615aec4442f036750870209bb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Henan FCof Dalian Yingbo FC, Henan FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,134
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,311
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,134 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6a4d…dd23backed Henan FC | 78c | 2,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Dalian Yingbo FC | 25c | 1,265$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.37 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Henan FC | 75c | 376$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.12 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Henan FC | 73c | 199.78$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.94 | 345 | 58.6%202 W · 143 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa135…d3debacked Henan FC | 50c | 199.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1155…86f5backed Henan FC | 50c | 199.46$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.73 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +60%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac1…6baebacked Henan FC | 50c | 186.68$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7e7…0cebbacked Henan FC | 50c | 184.42$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x612e…d36ebacked Henan FC | 50c | 183.51$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaed…7efbbacked Henan FC | 50c | 183$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x743b…ada6backed Henan FC | 50c | 182.87$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.44 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4448…90dabacked Henan FC | 50c | 182.25$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.13 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…6ebfbacked Henan FC | 50c | 181.98$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.99 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Henan FC | 70c | 180$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 184 | 46.2%85 W · 99 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafa7…dcc8backed Henan FC | 50c | 178.36$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5ba…5b8fbacked Henan FC | 50c | 177.86$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.93 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6234…00a8backed Henan FC | 50c | 176.74$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8823…4eeabacked Henan FC | 50c | 175.84$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.92 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…b297backed Henan FC | 50c | 174.63$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8613…82f0backed Henan FC | 50c | 173.74$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Henan FC | 74c | 154$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.4 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Henan FC | 72c | 152.29$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.64 | 137 | 46.7%64 W · 73 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…976abacked Henan FC | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Dalian Yingbo FC | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 241 | 62.2%150 W · 91 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Dalian Yingbo FC | 23c | 87.13$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 464 | 22.6%105 W · 359 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…eeb8backed Henan FC | 80c | 84$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 74cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Dalian Yingbo FC | 20c | 84$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 39 | 10.3%4 W · 35 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 19cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Henan FC | 73c | 68$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.7 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Henan FC | 74c | 47.67$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.44 | 202 | 56.4%114 W · 88 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Dalian Yingbo FC | 28c | 44.78$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 300 | 49.7%149 W · 151 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Henan FC | 75c | 31.63$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.79 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46d2…6805backed Henan FC | 74c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.52 | 80 | 68.8%55 W · 25 L | +8.0wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbffb…a60ebacked Henan FC | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -7.9wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…7f72backed Henan FC | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Dalian Yingbo FC (-1.5)this page
- Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Henan FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Henan FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Henan FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Henan FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Henan FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Dalian Yingbo FC (-2.5)Henan FC won
- Spread: Henan FC (-1.5)Dalian Yingbo FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.