Asian League · resolved market
Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Henan FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1d63dbdccf01ba595360957b7d33d30cc374c1160afe9d8ae937b909c8a329e1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,491
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,662
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,491 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 39c | 1,084$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.42 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Over | 44c | 489$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.04 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 62c | 279.56$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.5 | 2,499 | 42.3%1,057 W · 1,442 L | +52.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6964…5bb4backed Under | 50c | 270.65$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…e3e1backed Under | 50c | 260.67$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.34 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c74…b314backed Under | 50c | 257.67$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.84 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa96…d733backed Under | 50c | 257.64$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.82 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcefc…347dbacked Under | 50c | 256.49$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d1…553dbacked Under | 50c | 253.39$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.7 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e84…0004backed Under | 50c | 252.75$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.38 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb953…9f58backed Under | 50c | 250.27$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.14 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe29f…b2f0backed Under | 28c | 250$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x426d…2962backed Under | 50c | 249.93$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.97 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0aef…de78backed Under | 50c | 249.72$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.86 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8409…546ebacked Under | 50c | 248.94$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.47 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ff…7898backed Under | 50c | 248.67$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.34 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70c8…6582backed Under | 50c | 244.12$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.06 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +34%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0836…3057backed Under | 50c | 235.35$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.68 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22f3…504fbacked Under | 50c | 227.37$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.69 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked Under | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 97 | 56.7%55 W · 42 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05ea…367ebacked Under | 51c | 195.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 65c | 162.92$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.72 | 213 | 67.6%144 W · 69 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab8…e32fbacked Over | 49c | 160.27$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.74 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 25c | 135.27$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.27 | 1,760 | 50.3%885 W · 875 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Over | 51c | 113.73$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.73 | 257 | 42%108 W · 149 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Over | 72c | 106$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.68 | 183 | 53.6%98 W · 85 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 297 | 45.1%134 W · 163 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9006…385abacked Over | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 56 | 71.4%40 W · 16 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…a040backed Over | 54c | 91.89$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.89 | 65 | 67.7%44 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Over | 65c | 80$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 126 | 59.5%75 W · 51 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1eb…e9a0backed Over | 50c | 56.74$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.37 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff2a…bfefbacked Over | 62c | 56.45$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.45 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 28c | 46.66$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.06 | 300 | 49.7%149 W · 151 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6de…95e8backed Over | 48c | 45.56$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.69 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9be6…b8b2backed Over | 60c | 33.06$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.06 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 46c | 31.05$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.15 | 692 | 52.3%362 W · 330 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf9…1646backed Over | 64c | 29.69$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.69 | 36 | 80.6%29 W · 7 L | +4.9wins | +0.14per pick | 67cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 49c | 28.12$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 363 | 52.9%192 W · 171 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 47c | 26.41$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.33 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed Over | 77c | 25.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.98 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 74c | 22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.72 | 1,959 | 54.6%1,069 W · 890 L | +36.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9817…28bcbacked Over | 46c | 21.8$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.77 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2463…f5b5backed Over | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 83 | 59%49 W · 34 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc18…9b6ebacked Over | 68c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.75 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Henan FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Henan FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Henan FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Henan FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Henan FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Dalian Yingbo FC (-1.5)Henan FC won
- Spread: Dalian Yingbo FC (-2.5)Henan FC won
- Spread: Henan FC (-1.5)Dalian Yingbo FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.