Asian League · resolved market
Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Henan FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0139906e9ccc19430dd3b345dc01b5a9d9118b9b849c455f34aa264739c55f40
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,203
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,560
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,203 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc367…a0b4backed Over | 12c | 1,658$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 95 | 42.1%40 W · 55 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed Under | 70c | 479.38$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.81 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Over | 32c | 467.76$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.68 | 186 | 44.6%83 W · 103 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 73c | 443.51$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.88 | 5,963 | 46%2,744 W · 3,219 L | +46.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Over | 25c | 297.03$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.11 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d3…0be7backed Under | 50c | 208.18$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.09 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23e8…58ecbacked Under | 50c | 202.12$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c0a…cb1dbacked Under | 50c | 199.32$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.66 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…915abacked Under | 50c | 198.19$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac97…57e2backed Under | 50c | 195.77$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.89 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80ef…42dcbacked Under | 50c | 195.49$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x668f…5303backed Under | 50c | 195.11$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.56 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33a2…085cbacked Under | 50c | 194.79$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a23…0eb8backed Under | 50c | 194.34$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2d…4af9backed Under | 50c | 192.41$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd61…cd69backed Under | 50c | 191.85$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8635…03a8backed Under | 50c | 188.44$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf337…980dbacked Under | 50c | 187.5$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27c3…aa04backed Under | 50c | 184.09$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b6a…f65ebacked Under | 50c | 176.64$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 20c | 123.74$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.33 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 103 | 35%36 W · 67 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed Over | 29c | 68.95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf16…b409backed Over | 26c | 67.73$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dca…a234backed Over | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3e…8b7cbacked Over | 32c | 54.7$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed Under | 73c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 233 | 47.6%111 W · 122 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed Over | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 219 | 41.6%91 W · 128 L | -17.3wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed Under | 77c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 191 | 58.6%112 W · 79 L | +19.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Over | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 235 | 46.8%110 W · 125 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Under | 70c | 46.07$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.82 | 98 | 60.2%59 W · 39 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2413…2442backed Under | 70c | 36.27$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.91 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 28c | 36$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 1,991 | 54.1%1,078 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Under | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 158 | 50%79 W · 79 L | -14.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdca9…0898backed Under | 71c | 27.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.05 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Henan FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Henan FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Henan FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Henan FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Henan FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Dalian Yingbo FC (-1.5)Henan FC won
- Spread: Dalian Yingbo FC (-2.5)Henan FC won
- Spread: Henan FC (-1.5)Dalian Yingbo FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.