Asian League · resolved market
Will Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC win on 2026-04-21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc47a4370fc1c4481dae5ca43b7b4707eaabb80c48bcee40ec3399d62cef3e2b6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,941
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,531
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,941 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd3b5…a2a7backed Yes | 16c | 2,968$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.8 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x799c…bcefbacked No | 80c | 1,235$988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 42c | 872.5$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.07 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 73c | 677.74$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.01 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 55c | 602$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271 | 490 | 44.3%217 W · 273 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 61c | 494.42$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.55 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 20c | 288.36$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.26 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06c2…184fbacked Yes | 53c | 275.88$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.75 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d55…f50cbacked Yes | 47c | 274.82$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.17 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Yes | 29c | 223.67$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.57 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa4…3409backed Yes | 50c | 194$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Yes | 28c | 191.26$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.42 | 189 | 52.9%100 W · 89 L | +10.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6945…729cbacked No | 46c | 183.59$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.14 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x101d…c861backed Yes | 7c | 162.9$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Yes | 24c | 156.04$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.03 | 152 | 40.1%61 W · 91 L | -9.1wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 60c | 152.84$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.84 | 361 | 42.4%153 W · 208 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 27c | 135.81$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.67 | 87 | 35.6%31 W · 56 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked Yes | 20c | 127.09$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.42 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | -5.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9006…385abacked No | 78c | 97.41$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 56 | 71.4%40 W · 16 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Yes | 29c | 81.13$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.44 | 141 | 49.6%70 W · 71 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…fd6ebacked Yes | 24c | 79.53$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.09 | 91 | 41.8%38 W · 53 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 72c | 79$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.79 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 27c | 76.13$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.48 | 928 | 35%325 W · 603 L | -22.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Yes | 23c | 74.39$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.08 | 149 | 49%73 W · 76 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 14c | 72.57$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 464 | 22.6%105 W · 359 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed Yes | 51c | 71.58$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.39 | 66 | 63.6%42 W · 24 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked No | 60c | 58.56$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.42 | 157 | 72%113 W · 44 L | +33.9wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Yes | 36c | 56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf133…4811backed Yes | 22c | 53.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.63 | 87 | 29.9%26 W · 61 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 33c | 51.24$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.77 | 294 | 25.2%74 W · 220 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02ea…220cbacked No | 58c | 50.46$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.21 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 399 | 54.6%218 W · 181 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3731…4bfabacked No | 74c | 49.42$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.85 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Yes | 54c | 41.6$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.46 | 167 | 59.9%100 W · 67 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Yes | 53c | 40.81$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.51 | 215 | 74.4%160 W · 55 L | +45.1wins | +0.21per pick | 53cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 74c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 423 | 51.3%217 W · 206 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7747…7cf2backed Yes | 54c | 39.85$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.52 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 63cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 55c | 36.18$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.45 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked No | 64c | 34.19$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 241 | 62.2%150 W · 91 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked No | 77c | 32.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.42 | 325 | 60.3%196 W · 129 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x69b5…f7ebbacked Yes | 54c | 30.37$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 79c | 30.31$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.37 | 305 | 48.5%148 W · 157 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked No | 77c | 28.96$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.66 | 345 | 58.6%202 W · 143 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 40c | 26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 721 | 44.1%318 W · 403 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae74…e429backed No | 76c | 25.94$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.22 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 76c | 25.21$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.05 | 934 | 46.1%431 W · 503 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a1…3a92backed No | 79c | 25.06$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.31 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 76c | 24.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 1,110 | 49.5%549 W · 561 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 54c | 23.34$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.73 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed No | 71c | 20.69$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 202 | 56.4%114 W · 88 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…9d28backed No | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 75c | 19.32$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.83 | 165 | 61.2%101 W · 64 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1521…ae21backed No | 78c | 19.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.23 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…7f72backed No | 71c | 17.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.22 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 77c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.91 | 531 | 48.8%259 W · 272 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb5…a518backed No | 76c | 14.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.6 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC win on 2026-04-21?this page
- Will Shandong Taishan FC win on 2026-04-21?Yes won
- Will Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.