TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Will Shandong Taishan FC win on 2026-04-21?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$47,847
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$52,899

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,847 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfd29…77aebacked No54c23,686$12,690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,689.652934.5%10 W · 19 L-4.8wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-33.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes46c8,171$3,753 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,418.185,94646.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L+50.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Yes46c3,352$1,529 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,823.2839058.2%227 W · 163 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes48c2,792$1,328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,463.481,76450.2%886 W · 878 L+31.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3102…187cbacked No55c2,642$1,459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,458.862035%7 W · 13 L-4.1wins-0.21per pick56cpaid-37.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes47c2,005$933 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,071.561,11049.5%549 W · 561 L+1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3b5…a2a7backed Yes35c1,373$481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$892.36944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick35cpaid-0.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes46c1,309$603 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$706.0489245%401 W · 491 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes44c1,302$574 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$728.051,25451.4%644 W · 610 L+9.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No53c1,162$619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$619.222,52242.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L+54.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No65c1,128$730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$730.321,09843.8%481 W · 617 L-14.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x28dc…a1f2backed Yes48c968.8$465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$503.7812552.8%66 W · 59 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid+0.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed No2c738.8$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.8520132.3%65 W · 136 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-40.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No71c663.07$469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$468.6249044.3%217 W · 273 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6407…d360backed Yes48c625$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3254136.6%15 W · 26 L-3.6wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-23.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdfe8…3684backed Yes43c519.23$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.511266.7%8 W · 4 L+3.1wins+0.26per pick41cpaid+60.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes48c507.09$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.7840156.4%226 W · 175 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Yes48c507.09$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.7822656.6%128 W · 98 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Yes48c507.09$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.7819055.3%105 W · 85 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Yes47c500$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2653348.5%16 W · 17 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc775…6b22backed No8c499.99$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401030%3 W · 7 L+1.9wins+0.19per pick11cpaid+151.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x08c4…e6a5backed Yes21c453.62$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$358.363652.8%19 W · 17 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeaa4…3409backed Yes21c453.62$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$358.366636.4%24 W · 42 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-3.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Yes47c383.39$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.5634558.6%202 W · 143 L+0.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdfce…b388backed Yes45c377.13$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.42540%2 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked Yes45c300$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16510626.4%28 W · 78 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-18.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x21f5…c161backed Yes34c282.47$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.438834.1%30 W · 58 L+0.3wins0.00per pick34cpaid+10.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f60…026abacked Yes47c279.97$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.659444.7%42 W · 52 L-5.9wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-14.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Yes46c273.75$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.1414247.2%67 W · 75 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9531…18ffbacked Yes42c234.41$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.966738.8%26 W · 41 L-0.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Yes45c225.76$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.1715358.8%90 W · 63 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5016…ada1backed Yes45c215.64$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.63100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+78.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x02ea…220cbacked Yes31c213.65$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.282548%12 W · 13 L+2.2wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+36.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd121…50c8backed Yes48c201.83$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.95540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-28.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes52c187.99$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.340448%194 W · 210 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Yes45c182.9$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.7547860.3%288 W · 190 L+15.2wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked No54c180.07$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.2417440.2%70 W · 104 L-12.3wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-16.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb503…7552backed Yes44c164.73$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.25250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x46d2…6805backed Yes48c159.9$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.358068.8%55 W · 25 L+8.0wins+0.10per pick59cpaid+17.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xf0ca…117abacked Yes32c149.88$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.9222642.5%96 W · 130 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Yes26c147.21$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.3621854.1%118 W · 100 L+9.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+14%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No54c140.63$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.5773850.3%371 W · 367 L-2.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe196…0ab5backed Yes45c137.56$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.668735.6%31 W · 56 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked No51c129.84$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.2223755.3%131 W · 106 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Yes49c123.87$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.1718644.6%83 W · 103 L-0.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed No47c119.99$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.417151.5%88 W · 83 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1d2…2be9backed Yes21c113.4$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.59922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-27.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Yes47c104.83$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.451,97054.4%1,071 W · 899 L+32.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7409…65a6backed No54c97.57$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.983666.7%24 W · 12 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+23.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x94a5…4eb8backed Yes45c96.7$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.197557.3%43 W · 32 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+12.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1bfe…9408backed Yes46c89.99$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.59933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-16.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x33af…288abacked Yes37c89.52$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.7738737.5%145 W · 242 L-1.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8217…4936backed Yes63c75.04$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.455162.7%32 W · 19 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed No49c75$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.7517545.7%80 W · 95 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb2fe…7558backed Yes51c72.8$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.671957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xff2a…bfefbacked Yes55c70.76$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.842650%13 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Yes19c66.42$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.823347.6%111 W · 122 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9318…22b8backed Yes48c61.74$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.111442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed Yes58c61.29$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.93542.9%15 W · 20 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xae45…96b9backed Yes47c60.61$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.122556%14 W · 11 L+2.5wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+35.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x981b…b8eabacked No50c58.59$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.0918445.7%84 W · 100 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3008…ca48backed Yes40c57.12$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.27944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe253…b9c7backed Yes33c55.81$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.46038.3%23 W · 37 L-0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbaa8…a410backed Yes46c52.59$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.4837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-23.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed Yes46c50.81$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.2211764.1%75 W · 42 L+11.7wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+17.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1c6d…8cc4backed Yes41c49.87$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.621618.8%3 W · 13 L-2.9wins-0.18per pick37cpaid-55.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcd2d…d7f8backed No53c48.6$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.761656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+13.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked No38c44.37$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.9930548.5%148 W · 157 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-26.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x354f…95f8backed Yes45c42.98$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.64875%6 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+48.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0823…8803backed Yes45c42.97$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.64333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-25.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe824…65b4backed Yes47c41.43$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.965635.7%20 W · 36 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f57…f8c5backed No47c41.2$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.364946.9%23 W · 26 L+3.6wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+15%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Yes60c40.74$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.1582053.8%441 W · 379 L+25.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd5bb…0fe1backed Yes48c40.37$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.9924656.9%140 W · 106 L-1.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed No27c39.03$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4225653.5%137 W · 119 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-17.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes48c37.34$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.4253148.8%259 W · 272 L+2.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x234b…f36dbacked Yes45c36.81$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.259458.5%55 W · 39 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf133…4811backed Yes47c36.18$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.158729.9%26 W · 61 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6479…7558backed No54c35.72$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.4510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb3cb…3bbebacked Yes48c33.91$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.63742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.18per pick61cpaid-29.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No67c33.74$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.481,52254.9%835 W · 687 L+5.9wins0.00per pick54cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x81b0…5159backed Yes49c30.99$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.813363.6%21 W · 12 L+7.8wins+0.23per pick40cpaid+60.2%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0xd7f9…29a9backed Yes42c29.88$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.315470.8%109 W · 45 L+16.1wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+13.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3aa7…303dbacked No49c28.28$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.866759.7%40 W · 27 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x18c6…18f1backed No53c26.4$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.99540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-30.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4e8…ff03backed Yes48c26.16$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.66467.2%43 W · 21 L+6.8wins+0.11per pick57cpaid+29.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xe697…708fbacked Yes54c23.68$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.9724162.2%150 W · 91 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x234b…348ebacked Yes45c22.82$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.55966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+26.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2806…5feebacked Yes46c22.68$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.33955.6%5 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked No76c22$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.6114149.6%70 W · 71 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x115e…194cbacked No66c15.25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.110%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed No80c15$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1231960.2%192 W · 127 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick60cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.