Asian League · resolved market
Will Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdeab7b73f40171b47d37acf21139943928562d0204e92f112dbb43cfb0c34d6a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,991
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,407
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,991 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd3b5…a2a7backed Yes | 32c | 2,998$959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.2 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 58c | 2,172$1,259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$913.01 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 71c | 2,100$1,495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$604.92 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 42c | 1,550$649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648.75 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 26c | 1,099$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.78 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x527c…5f6cbacked Yes | 54c | 972.4$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f5…c161backed Yes | 34c | 846.53$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.18 | 88 | 34.1%30 W · 58 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed No | 74c | 648$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.48 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -7.4wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 38c | 515.1$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.2 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed No | 45c | 499.98$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.99 | 163 | 50.9%83 W · 80 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 62c | 298.51$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.13 | 1,028 | 41.7%429 W · 599 L | -31.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 75c | 295.49$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.01 | 487 | 68%331 W · 156 L | +69.2wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 26c | 276.22$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.82 | 39 | 10.3%4 W · 35 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 19cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Yes | 25c | 258.8$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.4 | 106 | 26.4%28 W · 78 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 61c | 205$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.95 | 721 | 44.1%318 W · 403 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 42c | 202.14$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.1 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa4…3409backed Yes | 39c | 195.15$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.11 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0832…9182backed Yes | 54c | 180.07$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.24 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 63c | 160.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.03 | 361 | 42.4%153 W · 208 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 58c | 157.67$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.69 | 233 | 47.6%111 W · 122 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed No | 51c | 140.04$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.04 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 79c | 136.85$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.06 | 256 | 53.5%137 W · 119 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 27c | 135.81$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.67 | 87 | 35.6%31 W · 56 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1105…09d0backed No | 75c | 120.6$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.15 | 135 | 63.7%86 W · 49 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Yes | 25c | 99.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 340 | 50.9%173 W · 167 L | +19.3wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x65af…df77backed Yes | 29c | 97.61$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.75 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…4b24backed Yes | 62c | 94.57$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.63 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Yes | 35c | 94.51$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.48 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x033a…586dbacked No | 63c | 93.12$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.46 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6353…777fbacked Yes | 32c | 84.64$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked No | 75c | 78.71$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.86 | 345 | 58.6%202 W · 143 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d2…2be9backed Yes | 32c | 74.94$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.98 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 74c | 71.92$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.7 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 57c | 65.06$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.83 | 928 | 35%325 W · 603 L | -22.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Yes | 30c | 63.87$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.16 | 246 | 54.1%133 W · 113 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes | 32c | 60.16$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.18 | 52 | 26.9%14 W · 38 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 73c | 58.2$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.89 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 71c | 55.13$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.03 | 305 | 48.5%148 W · 157 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc112…d1efbacked Yes | 28c | 51.26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.35 | 40 | 20%8 W · 32 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 28c | 51.17$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.17 | 294 | 25.2%74 W · 220 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed No | 75c | 49.25$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.31 | 66 | 63.6%42 W · 24 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Yes | 46c | 48.06$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.11 | 319 | 60.2%192 W · 127 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46d2…6805backed No | 72c | 46.15$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 80 | 68.8%55 W · 25 L | +8.0wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 73c | 43.71$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.91 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e0…a433backed Yes | 31c | 39.09$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.12 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945d…77aabacked Yes | 54c | 36.01$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7675…2049backed Yes | 55c | 35.38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -19%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c9…a454backed Yes | 47c | 32.52$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.29 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Yes | 36c | 30.41$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 152 | 40.1%61 W · 91 L | -9.1wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01fa…bf52backed Yes | 59c | 28.75$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a1…3a92backed No | 76c | 25.94$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.22 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe36…9413backed No | 53c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.81 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 36cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 74c | 20.18$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 892 | 45%401 W · 491 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa3b…8568backed No | 70c | 18.59$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.53 | 42 | 71.4%30 W · 12 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 74c | 15.39$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 165 | 61.2%101 W · 64 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb5…a518backed No | 75c | 14.93$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.73 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Shandong Taishan FC win on 2026-04-21?Yes won
- Will Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC win on 2026-04-21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.