Premier League · resolved market
Will Middlesbrough FC vs. Bristol City FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8d068ce0a7c10162cec810962f037e61bb5f2ec619097951f6dbf114ba9af835
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,059
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,059 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 14c | 4,973$687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,286.12 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc699…7961backed Yes | 10c | 3,150$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,835 | 125 | 32.8%41 W · 84 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 14c | 1,556$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,330.44 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 48c | 1,293$623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670.02 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x744e…3224backed No | 16c | 600$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee02…8132backed No | 16c | 600$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 13cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 9c | 521.79$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.53 | 1,662 | 34.9%580 W · 1,082 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcca9…af95backed No | 3c | 439.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.83 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0037…f757backed No | 74c | 304.05$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92b0…bbb6backed Yes | 26c | 304.05$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +159%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a6…7971backed Yes | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.71 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…7976backed Yes | 11c | 272.73$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.73 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +58.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 78c | 208.11$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.36 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4923…6866backed Yes | 33c | 200$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.18per pick | 47cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc490…6507backed No | 64c | 200$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -5.5wins | -0.18per pick | 44cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc94c…ba65backed No | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…bf20backed Yes | 32c | 187.39$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.39 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +3.7wins | +0.19per pick | 33cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Yes | 19c | 180$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.8 | 253 | 48.2%122 W · 131 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 14c | 155.17$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.86 | 451 | 42.6%192 W · 259 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 71c | 145.22$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.65 | 966 | 45.4%439 W · 527 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 10c | 113.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.15 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Yes | 21c | 113.09$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.34 | 365 | 54.5%199 W · 166 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7409…65a6backed Yes | 26c | 107.63$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.72 | 105 | 79%83 W · 22 L | +22.7wins | +0.22per pick | 57cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79 | 596 | 45.5%271 W · 325 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2a…3daebacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c09…dfb9backed Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 48 | 64.6%31 W · 17 L | +6.2wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yes | 20c | 80$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.4 | 270 | 51.5%139 W · 131 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed Yes | 19c | 53$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.93 | 410 | 40.5%166 W · 244 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Yes | 25c | 50.51$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.89 | 179 | 55.3%99 W · 80 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d2…090fbacked Yes | 66c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.9 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 80c | 43.65$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.76 | 1,007 | 51.5%519 W · 488 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No | 72c | 40$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9720…2c24backed No | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 28 | 7.1%2 W · 26 L | -6.1wins | -0.22per pick | 29cpaid | -75.2%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 52c | 39.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 891 | 52.9%471 W · 420 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4db3…c1eabacked Yes | 28c | 38.35$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.73 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 62c | 31.51$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.09 | 571 | 50.4%288 W · 283 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd06b…0e9ebacked No | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -3.2wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed No | 74c | 23$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.01 | 209 | 56%117 W · 92 L | +15.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 80c | 22$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 1,615 | 53%856 W · 759 L | +33.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 72c | 17.43$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.55 | 827 | 63%521 W · 306 L | +113.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 78c | 16.03$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 419 | 56.3%236 W · 183 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6d…3070backed No | 70c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 72c | 14.64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 773 | 36.4%281 W · 492 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Middlesbrough FC vs. Bristol City FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Bristol City FC win on 2026-03-14?No won
- Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2026-03-14?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.