Premier League · resolved market
Will Bristol City FC win on 2026-03-14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb8caa6ada17ff7bb980968fa2b556d2480883235e2a874d0ea60da570f23c16a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $70,494
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $70,494 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 1c | 18,734$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.41 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb116…ec17backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 1c | 8,358$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.49 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1640…0dc3backed Yes | 1c | 5,154$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 11c | 3,841$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.18 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60e8…50c2backed Yes | 10c | 3,342$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes | 13c | 1,059$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.84 | 155 | 34.2%53 W · 102 L | -9.7wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 13c | 1,000$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 531 | 34.5%183 W · 348 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41da…0b58backed Yes | 13c | 375.87$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 59 | 28.8%17 W · 42 L | +5.0wins | +0.09per pick | 20cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Yes | 10c | 330$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 71 | 16.9%12 W · 59 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Yes | 14c | 308.13$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.58 | 200 | 27%54 W · 146 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3b…a05cbacked No | 79c | 284.81$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a62…82b2backed Yes | 21c | 284.81$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.81 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9c…45aebacked No | 79c | 284.81$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f66…ae50backed Yes | 21c | 284.81$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc8…f45bbacked Yes | 14c | 250$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 181 | 24.9%45 W · 136 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Yes | 13c | 247.5$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.18 | 253 | 48.2%122 W · 131 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…7976backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +58.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6aa…8882backed Yes | 12c | 193.67$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.24 | 98 | 28.6%28 W · 70 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 16c | 178$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.48 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe3…949cbacked Yes | 11c | 172.73$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 15c | 150$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 331 | 24.2%80 W · 251 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yes | 13c | 120$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 270 | 51.5%139 W · 131 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea7…1be7backed Yes | 19c | 114.8$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.81 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…feaebacked Yes | 10c | 100.75$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.42 | 89 | 33.7%30 W · 59 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd257…d215backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 452 | 24.8%112 W · 340 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed Yes | 14c | 77.12$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 410 | 40.5%166 W · 244 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bristol City FC win on 2026-03-14?this page
- Will Middlesbrough FC vs. Bristol City FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2026-03-14?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.