Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Çaykur Rizespor vs. Kocaelispor end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7c45035fa15df66327c1dd03d8924ffafd28992a98bba3f6a3fe4e2bb85961d2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,797
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,237
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,797 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x54a2…1d43backed Yes | 6c | 3,672$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.32 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -58%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Yes | 7c | 1,429$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 188 | 48.4%91 W · 97 L | +13.4wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 79c | 1,360$1,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.26 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf44e…6e9ebacked Yes | 31c | 1,291$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed No | 70c | 857.14$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.14 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 70c | 788.21$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.5 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 30c | 762.09$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.62 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 72c | 762$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.36 | 869 | 60.4%525 W · 344 L | +91.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 69c | 760.99$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.91 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Yes | 28c | 757$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.96 | 70 | 24.3%17 W · 53 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked No | 70c | 750$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 96 | 53.1%51 W · 45 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc490…6507backed Yes | 17c | 715.25$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.46 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 30c | 569.93$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.95 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes | 22c | 500$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 141 | 37.6%53 W · 88 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Yes | 30c | 326$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.85 | 146 | 41.1%60 W · 86 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7646…b2a1backed Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 36cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ad…5692backed Yes | 18c | 132.98$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.71 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e0…d084backed No | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x267d…3852backed Yes | 31c | 113.35$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.14 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 351 | 54.7%192 W · 159 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 670 | 50.6%339 W · 331 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x026c…8d76backed Yes | 30c | 97.03$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.11 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfccd…02d6backed No | 70c | 96.12$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.84 | 81 | 59.3%48 W · 33 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52ca…54f0backed Yes | 14c | 92$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…90f8backed Yes | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 327 | 39.4%129 W · 198 L | -22.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 30c | 64$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Yes | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | +7.5wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d8…19c5backed No | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 48 | 72.9%35 W · 13 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 145 | 42.8%62 W · 83 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26c8…c50abacked No | 70c | 41.93$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.58 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +30%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73ed…06d5backed No | 70c | 39.71$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.91 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x239b…f8bfbacked No | 79c | 38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.05 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd5d…fbb3backed No | 70c | 37.09$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.13 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x795a…2befbacked No | 70c | 31.8$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.54 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 65cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a97…c1f9backed No | 70c | 31.67$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed No | 77c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 70 | 54.3%38 W · 32 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +17%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea72…d821backed No | 71c | 18.92$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.49 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Çaykur Rizespor vs. Kocaelispor end in a draw?this page
- Will Kocaelispor win on 2026-02-20?No won
- Will Çaykur Rizespor win on 2026-02-20?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.