Asian League · resolved market
Will NEOM SC win on 2026-01-10?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1ac590f9dd48c4e77dbeae8ed8a0ff92e63b80f52759f49a94b2d41c8311b004
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,276
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,775
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,276 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes | 57c | 5,000$2,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,849.89 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 52c | 3,951$2,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,914.47 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 46c | 1,959$909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050.22 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89e0…e058backed Yes | 53c | 1,800$949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$948.81 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x407d…8db6backed No | 52c | 1,534$798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 54c | 1,242$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$669.79 | 1,028 | 41.7%429 W · 599 L | -31.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc490…6507backed Yes | 25c | 1,100$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.52 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 50c | 991.22$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.65 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 47c | 927.42$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.03 | 623 | 49.1%306 W · 317 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…5176backed No | 43c | 695.35$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.35 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Yes | 50c | 500.12$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 84 | 45.2%38 W · 46 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Yes | 49c | 489.04$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.73 | 119 | 31.9%38 W · 81 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 15c | 406.06$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.91 | 487 | 68%331 W · 156 L | +69.2wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed No | 53c | 371.31$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.22 | 30 | 73.3%22 W · 8 L | +4.3wins | +0.14per pick | 59cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…a78cbacked Yes | 15c | 329.33$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.98 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Yes | 58c | 309.29$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.3 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 16c | 307.64$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.94 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No | 60c | 202.73$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.59 | 135 | 33.3%45 W · 90 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c1e…42fbbacked No | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x684d…64e3backed Yes | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc60f…74dabacked No | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 267 | 49.4%132 W · 135 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eed…2f6ebacked Yes | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c8…dd64backed Yes | 53c | 188.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…5950backed No | 53c | 188.49$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.85 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c3…7d73backed Yes | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes | 14c | 183$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.62 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x314c…67dabacked Yes | 30c | 181.92$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.21 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed No | 71c | 155.83$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.36 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 58c | 149.71$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.42 | 275 | 40.7%112 W · 163 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed No | 50c | 123.57$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.79 | 100 | 39%39 W · 61 L | -8.6wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed No | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.28 | 127 | 50.4%64 W · 63 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bec…6997backed No | 52c | 89$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.72 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1421…51d1backed Yes | 55c | 81.82$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 45c | 81.57$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.86 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed Yes | 49c | 79.6$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.96 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | -5.0wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed Yes | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 46c | 70$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 49c | 65$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.85 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked No | 51c | 59.99$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 186 | 47.3%88 W · 98 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 68c | 56.8$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.43 | 91 | 41.8%38 W · 53 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d66…0e16backed Yes | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 64c | 46.78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.84 | 770 | 56.2%433 W · 337 L | +40.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 36c | 44.17$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.09 | 294 | 25.2%74 W · 220 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 48c | 42.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.28 | 236 | 33.5%79 W · 157 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38dd…ffb3backed Yes | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9276…081ebacked No | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked No | 74c | 37.85$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.86 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x789b…4c08backed No | 55c | 36.49$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.33 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed No | 51c | 31.36$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.28 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ba…e793backed Yes | 34c | 30.58$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.31 | 168 | 58.3%98 W · 70 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Yes | 50c | 30.26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 190 | 48.4%92 W · 98 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcaad…b5a9backed Yes | 51c | 24.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.74 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a23…97a7backed No | 46c | 22.92$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.35 | 55 | 23.6%13 W · 42 L | -5.9wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe166…edcebacked Yes | 48c | 21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb70c…0af4backed No | 79c | 13.06$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.74 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will NEOM SC win on 2026-01-10?this page
- Will Al Fateh Saudi Club win on 2026-01-10?Yes won
- Will NEOM SC vs. Al Fateh Saudi Club end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.