Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Fateh Saudi Club win on 2026-01-10?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xedc81d6f71a7516a350bdbbd267092a97f131d75cc586ce43b0b89ca40e7a288
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,011
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,699
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,011 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7e14…2266backed Yes | 25c | 5,092$1,286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,806.31 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 67c | 2,723$1,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,820.47 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed Yes | 19c | 2,167$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,750.25 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | +13.5wins | +0.20per pick | 14cpaid | +156.5%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked Yes | 53c | 1,901$1,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$893.36 | 131 | 53.4%70 W · 61 L | +14.1wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 34c | 1,654$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,084.58 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 70c | 1,637$1,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,151.13 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 57c | 1,036$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.14 | 928 | 35%325 W · 603 L | -22.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes | 50c | 1,003$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.68 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 25c | 892.29$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.21 | 623 | 49.1%306 W · 317 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed No | 67c | 743.28$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498 | 141 | 53.2%75 W · 66 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed No | 76c | 738.04$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.91 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +6.9wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 48c | 707.34$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.06 | 1,028 | 41.7%429 W · 599 L | -31.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 29c | 689.72$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.88 | 626 | 52.6%329 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…5950backed No | 66c | 686.89$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.59 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed No | 74c | 675$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | -5.0wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d8…7032backed Yes | 32c | 632.43$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +214.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Yes | 42c | 396.87$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.31 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -23%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked No | 71c | 369.89$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.45 | 119 | 31.9%38 W · 81 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…a78cbacked Yes | 50c | 329.33$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.48 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Yes | 52c | 299.66$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.84 | 177 | 53.1%94 W · 83 L | +17.3wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 56c | 284.75$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.02 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a46…ba91backed Yes | 39c | 284.14$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.05 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | -7.9wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 60c | 242$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.71 | 135 | 33.3%45 W · 90 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x788d…99bbbacked Yes | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +91.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed No | 50c | 175.97$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.19 | 136 | 41.9%57 W · 79 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ba…e793backed No | 66c | 172.62$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.58 | 168 | 58.3%98 W · 70 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cff…3984backed Yes | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 33c | 143.28$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 487 | 68%331 W · 156 L | +69.2wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed No | 22c | 135.62$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.36 | 77 | 23.4%18 W · 59 L | -10.2wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc29b…6012backed Yes | 46c | 127.9$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.07 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…c867backed Yes | 56c | 120.81$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.74 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 45c | 115.15$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.33 | 396 | 55.8%221 W · 175 L | +31.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x92cd…279ebacked Yes | 69c | 105$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x558c…ca77backed Yes | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed No | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.51 | 267 | 49.4%132 W · 135 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 24c | 95.05$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.25 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 68c | 89.94$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.13 | 307 | 50.8%156 W · 151 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8643…85b2backed Yes | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 39c | 76.9$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.91 | 770 | 56.2%433 W · 337 L | +40.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 40c | 75.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.13 | 471 | 55.8%263 W · 208 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 58c | 73.05$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.54 | 294 | 25.2%74 W · 220 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Yes | 42c | 71.43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.43 | 138 | 46.4%64 W · 74 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Yes | 27c | 57.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.53 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfb…9f00backed No | 75c | 53.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89e0…e058backed No | 62c | 42.89$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.59 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa982…e2fcbacked Yes | 47c | 40.1$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +94.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1421…51d1backed No | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5699…418dbacked No | 74c | 40$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.45 | 19 | 84.2%16 W · 3 L | +3.2wins | +0.17per pick | 67cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed Yes | 45c | 35.42$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.48 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9033…c765backed Yes | 37c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 75c | 20.35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.18 | 275 | 40.7%112 W · 163 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…0404backed No | 76c | 15.93$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.11 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.20per pick | 58cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Fateh Saudi Club win on 2026-01-10?this page
- Will NEOM SC vs. Al Fateh Saudi Club end in a draw?No won
- Will NEOM SC win on 2026-01-10?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.