Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Alanyaspor vs. Gençlerbirliği SK end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4494fdbb4087cdc9cf95d018c59dae8ec4847efa702f1b783d04bad2f06aaf24
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $151,762
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $151,762 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb3a1…3529backed No | 67c | 96,596$64,928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64,927.92 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -3.0wins | -0.22per pick | 64cpaid | -40%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Yes | 38c | 29,128$10,927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,200.85 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 38c | 26,816$10,183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,633.37 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 28c | 23,126$6,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,651.03 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 36c | 10,586$3,771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,814.44 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ba…e793backed No | 1c | 5,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 142 | 62.7%89 W · 53 L | +15.1wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1038…fd48backed No | 64c | 1,778$1,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,137.72 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.31per pick | 59cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 71c | 1,675$1,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,189.33 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 71c | 1,481$1,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,051.36 | 660 | 47.6%314 W · 346 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c54…7e41backed Yes | 28c | 1,429$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,028.57 | 97 | 55.7%54 W · 43 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 3c | 1,427$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.67 | 648 | 42%272 W · 376 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Yes | 29c | 1,357$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$963.47 | 146 | 41.1%60 W · 86 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4408…1b6abacked Yes | 29c | 1,094$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$776.74 | 82 | 45.1%37 W · 45 L | +8.5wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2c54…efa4backed No | 60c | 833.33$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -3.3wins | -0.41per pick | 53cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 76c | 731.21$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.84 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfe7…820fbacked Yes | 33c | 701$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.71 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.19per pick | 64cpaid | +49.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a0…92dfbacked Yes | 29c | 551.72$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.72 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…8a6ebacked Yes | 37c | 540.54$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.54 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 71c | 495.66$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.92 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed No | 31c | 489.9$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.59 | 387 | 47.5%184 W · 203 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ae…afe9backed Yes | 33c | 454.55$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.55 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -45%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed No | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 269 | 49.8%134 W · 135 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked No | 63c | 396$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.48 | 108 | 27.8%30 W · 78 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8544…3d33backed Yes | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa61b…e7babacked Yes | 69c | 253.85$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.85 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed No | 37c | 217.23$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.5 | 212 | 54.7%116 W · 96 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Yes | 29c | 200$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142 | 96 | 53.1%51 W · 45 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc490…6507backed No | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6f4…e01abacked Yes | 38c | 191.55$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.76 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd40b…429abacked Yes | 52c | 186.54$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.54 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.22per pick | 40cpaid | +54.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 27c | 181.1$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.22 | 641 | 43.4%278 W · 363 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Yes | 36c | 175.86$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.94 | 341 | 58.9%201 W · 140 L | +25.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd5d…fbb3backed No | 72c | 161.64$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.38 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a6…7971backed Yes | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 54c | 143.21$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.33 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb53e…1aa3backed Yes | 38c | 141.6$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.82 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -3.0wins | -0.37per pick | 50cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6580…6fa8backed Yes | 29c | 135.49$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.57 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes | 38c | 131.84$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.84 | 81 | 25.9%21 W · 60 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa072…9e34backed No | 27c | 113.13$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.88 | 94 | 38.3%36 W · 58 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 33c | 105.9$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.91 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed Yes | 31c | 103.7$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.15 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69a6…7a2cbacked Yes | 49c | 101.9$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.97 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9952…ceb2backed Yes | 31c | 86.06$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.65 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 71c | 77.37$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.93 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 71c | 65.8$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.72 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6479…5e64backed Yes | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.22 | 79 | 67.1%53 W · 26 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 32c | 63.74$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.05 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad57…b8d3backed Yes | 28c | 60$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Yes | 28c | 59.24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.65 | 283 | 49.1%139 W · 144 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41ad…8dddbacked No | 22c | 57.67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.51 | 60 | 25%15 W · 45 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c77…8f06backed No | 72c | 55.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 52 | 71.2%37 W · 15 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 38c | 54.47$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.57 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 28c | 49.32$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.79 | 479 | 26.9%129 W · 350 L | -32.1wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1c1…1bebbacked No | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0828…5cfebacked Yes | 29c | 45.86$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.56 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb85e…e18dbacked No | 29c | 44.83$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 57c | 44.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.34 | 673 | 48.1%324 W · 349 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Yes | 30c | 42.24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.45 | 69 | 72.5%50 W · 19 L | +10.0wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 71c | 42$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.82 | 217 | 55.3%120 W · 97 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 30c | 41.44$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.57 | 583 | 20.1%117 W · 466 L | -37.7wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 71c | 36.83$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.15 | 773 | 50.2%388 W · 385 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2778…8547backed Yes | 28c | 36.75$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.28 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -3.1wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…af56backed Yes | 31c | 33.62$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.28 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8521…df10backed Yes | 78c | 32.05$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked No | 62c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.47 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked No | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39fd…849ebacked Yes | 40c | 29$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4178…8b48backed Yes | 73c | 27.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.41 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.18per pick | 61cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0466…b3a5backed No | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -27%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Alanyaspor vs. Gençlerbirliği SK end in a draw?this page
- Will Alanyaspor win on 2026-03-09?No won
- Will Gençlerbirliği SK win on 2026-03-09?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.