Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Antalyaspor vs. Gaziantep FK end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x08b0df36be45801b0c4afb52f0aeec4432c36c73ec277c2d635bfe69b5da076a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,022
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,022 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 72c | 4,143$2,991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,152.63 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Yes | 29c | 3,600$1,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,044 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 71c | 1,207$859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.02 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked No | 74c | 1,127$836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.3 | 191 | 65.4%125 W · 66 L | +18.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +29%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Yes | 26c | 961$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.86 | 113 | 26.5%30 W · 83 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x631c…7bfebacked Yes | 40c | 456.49$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.55 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 32c | 430.85$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.13 | 648 | 42%272 W · 376 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes | 26c | 429.44$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.98 | 223 | 33.2%74 W · 149 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Yes | 39c | 300$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 25c | 291.8$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.95 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes | 29c | 225$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.25 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 31c | 200$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd571…d24abacked Yes | 29c | 182.76$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 35cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc490…6507backed No | 62c | 160$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.8 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…90f8backed Yes | 39c | 143.59$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 60c | 127.5$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 381 | 47.5%181 W · 200 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 50 | 20%10 W · 40 L | -5.9wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 182 | 41.8%76 W · 106 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfccd…02d6backed No | 71c | 99.99$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 81 | 59.3%48 W · 33 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4796…79fcbacked No | 62c | 95.91$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.62 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Yes | 29c | 88.84$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.76 | 96 | 53.1%51 W · 45 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6479…5e64backed Yes | 40c | 75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 79 | 67.1%53 W · 26 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 71c | 72.69$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.08 | 408 | 50.7%207 W · 201 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x452f…b277backed Yes | 29c | 72.41$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba49…e8acbacked Yes | 33c | 67.51$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.61 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +107.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Yes | 29c | 58.2$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.87 | 283 | 49.1%139 W · 144 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b64…72eabacked Yes | 29c | 48.28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Yes | 35c | 48$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.68 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 67c | 42.76$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.04 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 27c | 42.01$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.32 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5037…a863backed Yes | 29c | 41.38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 28c | 39.28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…a9cabacked No | 72c | 26.01$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.28 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.33per pick | 73cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xacd2…8148backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 73c | 16.88$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.58 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Antalyaspor vs. Gaziantep FK end in a draw?this page
- Will Antalyaspor win on 2026-03-13?No won
- Will Gaziantep FK win on 2026-03-13?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.