Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Central Michigan Chippewas vs. Eastern Michigan Eagles: O/U 143.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2b363468013c5a5ab417c74e0c2d10271d60f9790ca162a78fb1ac73a0ec740b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $202,282
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $202,934
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $202,282 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Over | 46c | 151,246$69,867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69,866.7 | 896 | 45.9%411 W · 485 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Under | 54c | 77,548$41,682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,865.95 | 302 | 49.3%149 W · 153 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c2b…2575backed Under | 55c | 45,000$24,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,340.01 | 609 | 49.8%303 W · 306 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 54c | 19,553$10,559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,994.17 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc949…fa93backed Under | 54c | 10,000$5,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,600 | 185 | 48.6%90 W · 95 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Over | 45c | 5,887$2,669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,669.37 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 45c | 5,753$2,577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,577.01 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Under | 55c | 4,000$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800 | 422 | 46.2%195 W · 227 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Under | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920 | 146 | 47.9%70 W · 76 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Under | 54c | 2,760$1,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,269.67 | 351 | 47.6%167 W · 184 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 53c | 2,632$1,403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,229.46 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 45c | 2,575$1,159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,158.75 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Over | 15c | 1,611$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.6 | 709 | 36.1%256 W · 453 L | -27.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Under | 54c | 1,080$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.67 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9931…ea8cbacked Over | 44c | 991.18$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.12 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Under | 52c | 480$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.4 | 138 | 40.6%56 W · 82 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 45c | 440$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 780 | 52.2%407 W · 373 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b1a…68d8backed Under | 55c | 400$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 119 | 57.1%68 W · 51 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82f6…1848backed Under | 65c | 311.46$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.47 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed Over | 45c | 203$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.35 | 159 | 47.2%75 W · 84 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Over | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 852 | 48.8%416 W · 436 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7d…4b2fbacked Under | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c34…2d7dbacked Under | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 152 | 52.6%80 W · 72 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe379…377cbacked Under | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 30c | 171$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.39 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd96c…733cbacked Under | 56c | 108.36$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.68 | 134 | 48.5%65 W · 69 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce5…3e52backed Over | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 214 | 55.6%119 W · 95 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Over | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 388 | 37.6%146 W · 242 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 45c | 88.96$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.03 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Under | 78c | 83.32$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.52 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Over | 44c | 81.16$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.71 | 343 | 43.4%149 W · 194 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d94…e7f7backed Under | 48c | 62.01$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.01 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d72…c356backed Under | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 194 | 45.9%89 W · 105 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50a3…0a78backed Under | 56c | 44.88$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 120 | 54.2%65 W · 55 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…06c5backed Under | 51c | 42.27$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.71 | 427 | 51.8%221 W · 206 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71b1…ac2cbacked Under | 54c | 42$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.38 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb7…d529backed Over | 51c | 40.61$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.71 | 211 | 52.1%110 W · 101 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18ed…04cbbacked Under | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3be…4cd6backed Under | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05f9…f351backed Under | 56c | 34$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.96 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Over | 43c | 31.07$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.51 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae3…4dd4backed Under | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaae5…63a6backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -3.9wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 77c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.91 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Central Michigan Chippewas vs. Eastern Michigan Eagles: O/U 143.5this page
- Central Michigan Chippewas vs. Eastern Michigan EaglesEastern Michigan Eagles won
- Central Michigan Chippewas vs. Eastern Michigan Eagles: O/U 142.5Under won
- Spread: Eastern Michigan Eagles (-4.5)Eastern Michigan Eagles won
- Spread: Eastern Michigan Eagles (-5.5)Eastern Michigan Eagles won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.