Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Eastern Michigan Eagles (-4.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x358462cc6caddcef3a4d1e43382e5ae864f9e4dce366b223c97e60827cef872a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Eastern Michigan Eaglesof Eastern Michigan Eagles, Central Michigan Chippewas
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,979
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,009
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,979 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Eastern Michigan Eagles | 53c | 1,401$739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.35 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Central Michigan Chippewas | 48c | 966$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.64 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Central Michigan Chippewas | 45c | 900.02$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.28 | 138 | 40.6%56 W · 82 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Eastern Michigan Eagles | 58c | 728.3$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.89 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb98e…8823backed Central Michigan Chippewas | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 144 | 47.2%68 W · 76 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Central Michigan Chippewas | 45c | 438.3$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.52 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d9…df36backed Central Michigan Chippewas | 51c | 233.35$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.34 | 145 | 53.1%77 W · 68 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Eastern Michigan Eagles | 49c | 150$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.5 | 270 | 48.1%130 W · 140 L | +12.8wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Eastern Michigan Eagles | 55c | 146.1$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.3 | 852 | 48.8%416 W · 436 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…c9e4backed Central Michigan Chippewas | 47c | 138.3$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 229 | 54.1%124 W · 105 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Eastern Michigan Eagles | 58c | 137.93$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.93 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Eastern Michigan Eagles | 50c | 129.52$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.17 | 939 | 41.6%391 W · 548 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…fa73backed Eastern Michigan Eagles | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 383 | 51.7%198 W · 185 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54a2…1d43backed Eastern Michigan Eagles | 23c | 89.81$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.15 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +3.3wins | +0.24per pick | 12cpaid | +264.3%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8a97…c1f9backed Eastern Michigan Eagles | 51c | 77.35$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.9 | 219 | 55.3%121 W · 98 L | +13.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Eastern Michigan Eagles | 68c | 76.7$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.71 | 709 | 36.1%256 W · 453 L | -27.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed Central Michigan Chippewas | 49c | 74.63$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.44 | 159 | 47.2%75 W · 84 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Eastern Michigan Eagles | 49c | 67.1$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.09 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe624…2928backed Eastern Michigan Eagles | 51c | 49.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.49 | 408 | 49.8%203 W · 205 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd286…4c1bbacked Central Michigan Chippewas | 46c | 42.44$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 135 | 61.5%83 W · 52 L | +13.7wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Eastern Michigan Eagles | 49c | 31.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.96 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Central Michigan Chippewas | 42c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 307 | 46.3%142 W · 165 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Eastern Michigan Eagles | 55c | 21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Central Michigan Chippewas | 49c | 20.41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 828 | 46.1%382 W · 446 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Eastern Michigan Eagles (-4.5)this page
- Central Michigan Chippewas vs. Eastern Michigan EaglesEastern Michigan Eagles won
- Central Michigan Chippewas vs. Eastern Michigan Eagles: O/U 142.5Under won
- Central Michigan Chippewas vs. Eastern Michigan Eagles: O/U 143.5Under won
- Spread: Eastern Michigan Eagles (-5.5)Eastern Michigan Eagles won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.