Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Stony Brook Seawolves (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaa78c761626d4252a803601bffc583d8c9169d4cb336e1db29b557ca1a544db2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Drexel Dragonsof Stony Brook Seawolves, Drexel Dragons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,072
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,333
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,072 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Drexel Dragons | 49c | 1,603$784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$819.12 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda75…bbf9backed Stony Brook Seawolves | 51c | 1,020$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.2 | 237 | 54.9%130 W · 107 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68a9…e73abacked Stony Brook Seawolves | 49c | 918$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.01 | 267 | 49.1%131 W · 136 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Drexel Dragons | 51c | 905$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.69 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb98e…8823backed Stony Brook Seawolves | 52c | 755.96$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393 | 144 | 47.2%68 W · 76 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Drexel Dragons | 55c | 283.66$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.81 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Stony Brook Seawolves | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x240d…a928backed Drexel Dragons | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -5.3wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Stony Brook Seawolves | 46c | 194.72$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.12 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Stony Brook Seawolves | 47c | 135.83$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.84 | 922 | 46%424 W · 498 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83ea…c2efbacked Drexel Dragons | 53c | 132.08$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.08 | 230 | 54.3%125 W · 105 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Stony Brook Seawolves | 47c | 119.87$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.23 | 852 | 48.8%416 W · 436 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2deb…8e68backed Drexel Dragons | 57c | 112.72$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.72 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.20per pick | 58cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca3…0a58backed Drexel Dragons | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +3.6wins | +0.30per pick | 53cpaid | +54.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed Drexel Dragons | 53c | 94.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.53 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f2f…be86backed Stony Brook Seawolves | 48c | 91.98$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.15 | 134 | 53%71 W · 63 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00ed…0a9fbacked Drexel Dragons | 47c | 86.49$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.09 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Stony Brook Seawolves | 48c | 84$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.24 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7d…4b2fbacked Drexel Dragons | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.43 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Drexel Dragons | 60c | 70.39$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.19 | 307 | 46.3%142 W · 165 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8557…4e7abacked Stony Brook Seawolves | 45c | 60.33$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.25 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Stony Brook Seawolves | 49c | 43.48$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.31 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56d8…4218backed Stony Brook Seawolves | 48c | 41.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Stony Brook Seawolves | 45c | 34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.21 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Drexel Dragons | 52c | 32.84$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.82 | 716 | 55.3%396 W · 320 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9405…c071backed Stony Brook Seawolves | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 445 | 49.4%220 W · 225 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36aa…a683backed Drexel Dragons | 51c | 29.2$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.2 | 174 | 46.6%81 W · 93 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Drexel Dragons | 48c | 27.54$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.2 | 932 | 47.3%441 W · 491 L | -22.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Drexel Dragons | 51c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.31 | 202 | 48%97 W · 105 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3189…b449backed Stony Brook Seawolves | 53c | 21.28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Drexel Dragons | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Stony Brook Seawolves (-3.5)this page
- Drexel Dragons vs. Stony Brook SeawolvesStony Brook Seawolves won
- Drexel Dragons vs. Stony Brook Seawolves: O/U 132.5Over won
- Drexel Dragons vs. Stony Brook Seawolves: O/U 133.5Over won
- Drexel Dragons vs. Stony Brook Seawolves: O/U 134.5Over won
- Drexel Dragons vs. Stony Brook Seawolves: O/U 135.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.