MLB · resolved market
KBO: SSG Landers vs. Samsung Lions
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd49d4c08064e273c3a1be45936ac1096eb5d4ca8d417fa5bf37186528be42861
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- SSG Landersof SSG Landers, Samsung Lions
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,807
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,856
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,807 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed SSG Landers | 57c | 1,597$910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$686.45 | 116 | 38.8%45 W · 71 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdda3…b20cbacked SSG Landers | 54c | 1,305$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.39 | 184 | 49.5%91 W · 93 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed SSG Landers | 49c | 1,152$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.44 | 416 | 43.8%182 W · 234 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Samsung Lions | 45c | 1,034$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.93 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b0…a72abacked Samsung Lions | 51c | 943.48$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.17 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Samsung Lions | 55c | 897.38$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.11 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Samsung Lions | 53c | 643.15$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.2 | 591 | 50.3%297 W · 294 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafca…92b4backed Samsung Lions | 56c | 524.04$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.03 | 181 | 54.7%99 W · 82 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b3…4155backed Samsung Lions | 53c | 499.99$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.99 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Samsung Lions | 46c | 498.46$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.41 | 852 | 35.8%305 W · 547 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed SSG Landers | 44c | 436.31$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.64 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…45b2backed Samsung Lions | 56c | 423.31$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.41 | 181 | 49.2%89 W · 92 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed SSG Landers | 44c | 414.89$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.34 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8147…7f6cbacked Samsung Lions | 59c | 356.18$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.09 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Samsung Lions | 49c | 342.74$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.52 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbde3…4a49backed SSG Landers | 50c | 334.16$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.08 | 146 | 48.6%71 W · 75 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked SSG Landers | 47c | 274.49$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.48 | 208 | 48.1%100 W · 108 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed SSG Landers | 47c | 243.34$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.97 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked SSG Landers | 45c | 233.16$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.59 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55af…6a1bbacked SSG Landers | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 363 | 45.7%166 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Samsung Lions | 52c | 185.53$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.14 | 1,168 | 49%572 W · 596 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d16…4e1fbacked SSG Landers | 54c | 171.19$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.44 | 122 | 65.6%80 W · 42 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Samsung Lions | 43c | 168.48$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.17 | 1,269 | 47.4%602 W · 667 L | -31.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Samsung Lions | 59c | 163.28$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.66 | 351 | 37%130 W · 221 L | -17.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked Samsung Lions | 60c | 156.1$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.11 | 127 | 45.7%58 W · 69 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57e5…e51ebacked SSG Landers | 54c | 147.59$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.89 | 228 | 48.2%110 W · 118 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23e8…6eb7backed Samsung Lions | 54c | 126.05$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.07 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 31cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Samsung Lions | 47c | 119.29$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.49 | 477 | 43%205 W · 272 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ca…0d75backed SSG Landers | 44c | 109.85$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.53 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc46…a54bbacked Samsung Lions | 54c | 107.1$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.54 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed SSG Landers | 45c | 103.2$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.86 | 217 | 48.4%105 W · 112 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed SSG Landers | 48c | 96.88$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.38 | 126 | 51.6%65 W · 61 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed SSG Landers | 48c | 96.85$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.36 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b98…f553backed SSG Landers | 47c | 95.76$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.75 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775e…6541backed SSG Landers | 50c | 94.88$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.44 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54d0…8e20backed Samsung Lions | 57c | 85.46$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.71 | 321 | 57%183 W · 138 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed SSG Landers | 43c | 85.21$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.68 | 873 | 52.7%460 W · 413 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed SSG Landers | 50c | 81.76$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.17 | 555 | 41.4%230 W · 325 L | -26.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked SSG Landers | 50c | 80.6$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.3 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18f6…0650backed Samsung Lions | 49c | 79.13$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.78 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed SSG Landers | 46c | 75$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed SSG Landers | 52c | 70$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.95 | 950 | 41.5%394 W · 556 L | -48.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed SSG Landers | 48c | 63.88$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.3 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Samsung Lions | 31c | 63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.53 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x623a…5144backed SSG Landers | 47c | 62.4$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.36 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -7.2wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Samsung Lions | 39c | 57.59$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.54 | 753 | 44.1%332 W · 421 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Samsung Lions | 60c | 54.52$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.79 | 374 | 44.4%166 W · 208 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed Samsung Lions | 39c | 53.75$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.03 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked SSG Landers | 46c | 50.18$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.28 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66ec…5891backed Samsung Lions | 53c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 90 | 43.3%39 W · 51 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0e…b0babacked SSG Landers | 46c | 42.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.21 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | -6.1wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee8…7406backed Samsung Lions | 49c | 34.98$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.24 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -6.4wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0b97…fc45backed Samsung Lions | 52c | 34.96$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.18 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +95%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…5d95backed SSG Landers | 41c | 31.37$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.36 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11c9…9befbacked SSG Landers | 50c | 30.28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.29 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4214…1749backed SSG Landers | 47c | 30.22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.02 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Samsung Lions | 48c | 30.05$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.42 | 200 | 44.5%89 W · 111 L | -8.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Samsung Lions | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 455 | 50.3%229 W · 226 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4271…3f6dbacked Samsung Lions | 54c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 406 | 50.2%204 W · 202 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed SSG Landers | 46c | 29.03$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.68 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaebb…4c67backed Samsung Lions | 51c | 28.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -7.4wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -37%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb700…5a62backed Samsung Lions | 52c | 27.48$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.29 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed SSG Landers | 48c | 26.33$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.69 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed SSG Landers | 40c | 25.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.55 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c7…c6bdbacked SSG Landers | 46c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a2f…b4b4backed SSG Landers | 48c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.44 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Samsung Lions | 54c | 19.72$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 1,001 | 57.3%574 W · 427 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed SSG Landers | 68c | 17.55$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.