South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Club Santos Laguna win on 2026-03-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x228b2550e16f444e0c07a1564dcb871e74b02d2fed3d3689d78d8e5d6812292f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,787
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,787 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 61c | 1,243$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760.4 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd57d…80d0backed Yes | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 40cpaid | +95.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Yes | 36c | 910.32$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.88 | 113 | 23.9%27 W · 86 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed No | 7c | 670$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.95 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -37%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 12c | 504.29$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.7 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 10c | 452.35$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.68 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes | 39c | 386$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.46 | 85 | 30.6%26 W · 59 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9055…12cebacked Yes | 33c | 385.52$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.3 | 94 | 28.7%27 W · 67 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed No | 7c | 304$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.28 | 167 | 40.1%67 W · 100 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 46c | 266.89$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.73 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 21c | 233.82$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.86 | 495 | 35.4%175 W · 320 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 61c | 226.98$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.69 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e15…7531backed Yes | 37c | 205.63$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.55 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +173.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6c5e…7166backed Yes | 39c | 187.33$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.1 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.31per pick | 54cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes | 36c | 183.14$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.93 | 282 | 31.6%89 W · 193 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Yes | 43c | 157$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.18 | 175 | 42.3%74 W · 101 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Yes | 41c | 150$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.9 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | +8.9wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 39c | 149.69$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.27 | 137 | 39.4%54 W · 83 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Yes | 35c | 147.26$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.72 | 67 | 31.3%21 W · 46 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed No | 13c | 127$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.94 | 168 | 42.9%72 W · 96 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked No | 66c | 125$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.5 | 87 | 63.2%55 W · 32 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 62c | 121.6$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.01 | 3,407 | 51.3%1,749 W · 1,658 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf07…9c4fbacked No | 63c | 109.37$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.9 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 44cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3bfc…8eb3backed No | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Yes | 36c | 85$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.4 | 156 | 51.9%81 W · 75 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4705…fd08backed No | 63c | 80.73$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.86 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 60cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 38c | 58.02$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.3 | 3,755 | 38.2%1,435 W · 2,320 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53c5…cb95backed Yes | 74c | 51.8$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.47 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 61c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 2,614 | 54.2%1,416 W · 1,198 L | +25.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8911…5ffabacked Yes | 34c | 33$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.78 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9720…2c24backed No | 31c | 32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 65c | 29.07$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.99 | 477 | 56%267 W · 210 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 60c | 23.55$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.22 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 61c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…b635backed Yes | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.75 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.13per pick | 64cpaid | +22%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed No | 66c | 18.63$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 116 | 64.7%75 W · 41 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1508…5760backed No | 68c | 15.26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.38 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +30%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Club Santos Laguna win on 2026-03-22?this page
- Will Club Puebla win on 2026-03-22?No won
- Will Club Santos Laguna vs. Club Puebla end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.