NBA · resolved market

Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 218.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xacd5b63daf99b4350b29a7905542502710e0d243339efacc346030ff7564791b

Rebuilt 6 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Feb 27, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $9,507
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $9,758

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,507 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xc65c…ea39backed Over	53c	2,848$1,498 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,350.64	172	50.6%87 W · 85 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under	47c	1,601$746 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$746.03	4,682	49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L	+27.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a12…d3febacked Over	52c	1,061$552 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$509.43	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.48per pick	52cpaid	+92.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over	53c	838.19$444 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$393.95	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa61f…7993backed Under	48c	838$402 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$402.24	617	47.8%295 W · 322 L	+4.6wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Under	47c	500$235 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$235	841	50.3%423 W · 418 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under	47c	422$198 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$198.34	1,150	49.5%569 W · 581 L	-12.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x605d…cec3backed Over	62c	323.02$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$123.02	154	50.6%78 W · 76 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	48c	317.23$152 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$152.35	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Over	51c	300$154 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$146	911	48.1%438 W · 473 L	-11.6wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Over	51c	249.35$127 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$122.18	2,666	48%1,279 W · 1,387 L	-8.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under	47c	239.51$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111.39	1,425	47.7%680 W · 745 L	+13.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over	52c	222.52$116 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$106.68	3,902	47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L	-17.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under	49c	202.03$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.04	807	37.7%304 W · 503 L	-33.9wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa5dc…ec43backed Over	60c	166.25$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66.25	690	49.4%341 W · 349 L	-30.0wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under	48c	154.43$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.68	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under	47c	154.07$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.91	2,507	48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L	+19.8wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2cec…5326backed Under	46c	152.94$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.44	686	45.5%312 W · 374 L	-22.9wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Under	51c	151.43$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.23	1,390	26%361 W · 1,029 L	-5.6wins	0.00per pick	26cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Under	68c	147$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.96	658	72.8%479 W · 179 L	+46.1wins	+0.07per pick	66cpaid	+9.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Under	48c	140.83$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.6	874	53.3%466 W · 408 L	+19.7wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under	40c	125$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	2,602	50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L	-20.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Under	48c	107.45$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.47	2,902	38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L	-51.9wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under	47c	100$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47	1,475	51.3%756 W · 719 L	+35.2wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over	49c	98.37$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.17	1,758	48.7%856 W · 902 L	+28.3wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Under	49c	75$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.75	786	48.7%383 W · 403 L	+6.1wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x714d…ff78backed Over	54c	74.07$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.07	26	53.8%14 W · 12 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Under	60c	69.33$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.82	3,995	48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L	+101.9wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under	48c	64.7$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.91	5,053	50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L	+110.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e43…a3cdbacked Over	59c	55$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.55	435	42.8%186 W · 249 L	-7.6wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f49…fec0backed Under	53c	54.43$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.85	378	48.7%184 W · 194 L	+4.2wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over	53c	53$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.91	1,562	47.4%741 W · 821 L	-6.3wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over	49c	43.47$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.17	3,551	46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Under	41c	40$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.4	880	57.5%506 W · 374 L	+34.6wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x700a…58a5backed Under	47c	40$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.9	223	36.8%82 W · 141 L	-7.6wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c00…1c78backed Under	44c	38.11$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.77	21	52.4%11 W · 10 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc65…19a0backed Over	57c	36$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.48	260	44.6%116 W · 144 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa33c…1b33backed Over	52c	31.22$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.99	628	44.9%282 W · 346 L	-21.3wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x133a…f9d1backed Under	48c	30$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.4	952	60.2%573 W · 379 L	+37.0wins	+0.04per pick	56cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5337…222bbacked Under	43c	26.13$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.34	123	31.7%39 W · 84 L	-17.0wins	-0.14per pick	46cpaid	-39.5%equal weight	37-0.11 edge/pick
0x468d…cf23backed Under	43c	26$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.18	45	46.7%21 W · 24 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xef2e…8d89backed Under	49c	21.02$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.3	334	42.8%143 W · 191 L	-17.9wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-13%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Under	48c	21$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.08	620	49%304 W · 316 L	+4.3wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f61…ab6bbacked Under	58c	20$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.6	56	42.9%24 W · 32 L	-3.9wins	-0.07per pick	50cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 218.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event