Premier League · resolved market
Spread: Fulham (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8dee8c914e087a6b212f1dcd54c48e818e67167429651ba9cc5f7141a63396ca
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sunderland AFCof Fulham, Sunderland AFC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,719
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,330
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,719 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x78ad…45ccbacked Sunderland AFC | 79c | 9,999$7,899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,099.8 | 109 | 62.4%68 W · 41 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Fulham | 21c | 7,543$1,583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,582.66 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Fulham | 22c | 2,395$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.89 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Sunderland AFC | 79c | 1,017$801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.24 | 370 | 36.2%134 W · 236 L | -18.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Fulham | 23c | 877.94$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 96 | 36.5%35 W · 61 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Fulham | 22c | 500$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 294 | 27.9%82 W · 212 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Sunderland AFC | 79c | 416.96$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.79 | 171 | 53.8%92 W · 79 L | +10.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc755…d0c4backed Sunderland AFC | 78c | 384.62$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.62 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Fulham | 20c | 352.71$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.54 | 400 | 46%184 W · 216 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeff7…4bb3backed Sunderland AFC | 78c | 260$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Sunderland AFC | 78c | 168.4$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.52 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b10…5548backed Sunderland AFC | 80c | 110$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Sunderland AFC | 80c | 100.5$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.11 | 373 | 42.6%159 W · 214 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Fulham | 21c | 95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 541 | 28.3%153 W · 388 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84b2…f1dabacked Sunderland AFC | 80c | 75$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 101 | 39.6%40 W · 61 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Fulham | 22c | 70$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34da…367fbacked Sunderland AFC | 78c | 32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.04 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Sunderland AFC | 75c | 25.98$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae91…0f69backed Sunderland AFC | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | -5.5wins | -0.11per pick | 64cpaid | -20%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd99…0b60backed Sunderland AFC | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x553b…f71cbacked Sunderland AFC | 76c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb375…59d6backed Sunderland AFC | 78c | 20.2$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb5f…933ebacked Sunderland AFC | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa228…ec0ebacked Sunderland AFC | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ba…656abacked Sunderland AFC | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f88…4fdfbacked Sunderland AFC | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Fulham (-1.5)this page
- Fulham vs. Sunderland AFC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Fulham vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.