Premier League · resolved market
Fulham vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x625bd53bfe29dc7ebd24f09eafedccc9e9475b1b82e0c0ae0806f7c9b1259d90
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,194
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,193
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,194 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa6ee…697bbacked Under | 59c | 22,245$13,124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,121.67 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 41c | 9,717$3,989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,989.31 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked Over | 5c | 5,215$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.75 | 197 | 43.7%86 W · 111 L | +32.4wins | +0.16per pick | 27cpaid | +142.5%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 41c | 3,640$1,492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,492.4 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Under | 54c | 3,519$1,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,618.92 | 386 | 49%189 W · 197 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 46c | 2,174$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 157 | 57.3%90 W · 67 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Over | 19c | 1,656$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.76 | 370 | 36.2%134 W · 236 L | -18.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaea5…7985backed Over | 1c | 1,100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x792f…cb67backed Over | 46c | 869.57$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Under | 60c | 753.02$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.22 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed Over | 41c | 712.49$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.12 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…c6d8backed Over | 46c | 652.17$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba4…c08bbacked Under | 55c | 500$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 149 | 43%64 W · 85 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Under | 58c | 498.62$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.42 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 23c | 479$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.17 | 202 | 39.6%80 W · 122 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 54c | 332.98$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.17 | 215 | 48.8%105 W · 110 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dcf…146ebacked Over | 46c | 304.35$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Over | 35c | 282$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.7 | 239 | 26.4%63 W · 176 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8279…7edcbacked Over | 36c | 280.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc711…d3c6backed Over | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Over | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Under | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 105 | 45.7%48 W · 57 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 39c | 199.02$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.62 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 43c | 163$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.41 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x569f…f8a4backed Over | 42c | 155.33$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.24 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1166…a8e1backed Over | 45c | 150$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 97 | 36.1%35 W · 62 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Over | 42c | 143.55$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.29 | 495 | 44.2%219 W · 276 L | -20.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6cd…e027backed Over | 46c | 121.2$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c40…0c8fbacked Over | 37c | 108.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -5.8wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed Over | 42c | 106.59$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.52 | 259 | 49.4%128 W · 131 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ba…f30dbacked Over | 46c | 104.35$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 152 | 45.4%69 W · 83 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed Over | 42c | 95$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.9 | 292 | 59.2%173 W · 119 L | +14.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Under | 57c | 81.77$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.56 | 201 | 50.2%101 W · 100 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fab…ba37backed Over | 46c | 73.11$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75e1…1b07backed Under | 59c | 63.56$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.06 | 88 | 47.7%42 W · 46 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12dd…1aacbacked Over | 42c | 61.9$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb841…d81fbacked Over | 46c | 60.87$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed Over | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 428 | 62.4%267 W · 161 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7795…1db8backed Over | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x450e…c1dfbacked Over | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 63 | 61.9%39 W · 24 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb5e…82e7backed Over | 41c | 35.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71ca…6ed5backed Over | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5dc…48bbbacked Over | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -4.2wins | -0.30per pick | 52cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Under | 54c | 22.39$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 420 | 48.6%204 W · 216 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Fulham vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 2.5this page
- Fulham vs. Sunderland AFC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Spread: Fulham (-1.5)Sunderland AFC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.