Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Queens (NC) Royals vs. Bellarmine Knights
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1567326120ce435ce2d565796300f8ddf6308764f1d2b570e80d0055d2ba0645
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bellarmine Knightsof Queens (NC) Royals, Bellarmine Knights
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,663
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,120
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,663 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Queens (NC) Royals | 56c | 1,681$933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$933.31 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffb…e82abacked Bellarmine Knights | 62c | 823.77$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.08 | 434 | 50%217 W · 217 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Queens (NC) Royals | 68c | 764.24$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.94 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Bellarmine Knights | 40c | 756.29$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.59 | 940 | 36.9%347 W · 593 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ca…3748backed Bellarmine Knights | 22c | 447.45$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.45 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Bellarmine Knights | 24c | 368.89$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.51 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Queens (NC) Royals | 54c | 359$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.73 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Bellarmine Knights | 55c | 340.26$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.93 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Queens (NC) Royals | 51c | 339.64$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.76 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Queens (NC) Royals | 41c | 324.75$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.51 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked Bellarmine Knights | 32c | 318.25$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.52 | 814 | 53.1%432 W · 382 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Bellarmine Knights | 52c | 314.06$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.29 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Bellarmine Knights | 63c | 235$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.85 | 279 | 55.2%154 W · 125 L | +22.0wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Queens (NC) Royals | 59c | 210.17$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.18 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Bellarmine Knights | 32c | 187.48$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.49 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Queens (NC) Royals | 48c | 172.75$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.12 | 1,003 | 55.3%555 W · 448 L | +46.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Queens (NC) Royals | 38c | 165.39$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.04 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Queens (NC) Royals | 61c | 147.44$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.13 | 870 | 47.2%411 W · 459 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Bellarmine Knights | 30c | 115.89$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.91 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Queens (NC) Royals | 60c | 106$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.22 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd40b…429abacked Queens (NC) Royals | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Bellarmine Knights | 31c | 100$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 369 | 42.3%156 W · 213 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Bellarmine Knights | 32c | 90.59$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.6 | 583 | 45.5%265 W · 318 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x989a…afbcbacked Queens (NC) Royals | 68c | 60.49$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.32 | 703 | 49.6%349 W · 354 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Bellarmine Knights | 33c | 50$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.5 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Queens (NC) Royals | 70c | 45$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 934 | 47.9%447 W · 487 L | -19.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Queens (NC) Royals | 68c | 43.26$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.41 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcdea…c050backed Queens (NC) Royals | 64c | 31.23$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.39per pick | 64cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1853…68ffbacked Bellarmine Knights | 38c | 26.32$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.32 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Bellarmine Knights | 60c | 21.12$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.52 | 200 | 51.5%103 W · 97 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Queens (NC) Royals vs. Bellarmine Knightsthis page
- Queens (NC) Royals vs. Bellarmine Knights: O/U 162.5Under won
- Queens (NC) Royals vs. Bellarmine Knights: O/U 164.5Under won
- Spread: Queens (NC) Royals (-5.5)Bellarmine Knights won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.