South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Racing Club vs. CA Boca Juniors end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd68e4056ede7386d483cae0138a2cd3bc81a804ec838c744e92a53ebdb508382
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,325
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,614
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,325 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet's whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 44c | 16,491$7,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,199.16 | 2,376 | 34.7%824 W · 1,552 L | -27.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 56c | 10,584$5,946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,637.69 | 2,608 | 39.3%1,024 W · 1,584 L | -29.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 74c | 9,000$6,684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,683.56 | 1,339 | 56.9%762 W · 577 L | +55.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 53c | 7,714$4,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,620.27 | 8,175 | 48.7%3,980 W · 4,195 L | +27.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 26c | 2,572$677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,895.25 | 3,817 | 38.4%1,467 W · 2,350 L | -30.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3740…a935backed Yes | 68c | 1,500$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 110 | 64.5%71 W · 39 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 69cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 26c | 1,347$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$995.39 | 5,831 | 45.4%2,647 W · 3,184 L | +99.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 32c | 1,033$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$706.01 | 1,511 | 46.1%697 W · 814 L | -15.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed No | 16c | 975.06$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.55 | 595 | 39.7%236 W · 359 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6797…e0e5backed Yes | 65c | 384.62$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.62 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6f1…eb10backed Yes | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.37 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 36cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39f9…fcc3backed No | 55c | 331.28$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.23 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | -7.6wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 32c | 318$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.82 | 565 | 37.5%212 W · 353 L | -21.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 39c | 278.01$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.27 | 503 | 35.4%178 W · 325 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b89…23fbbacked No | 53c | 204.97$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.38 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5767…490ebacked Yes | 75c | 200.85$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.85 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49b2…4aeebacked Yes | 33c | 200$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134 | 102 | 53.9%55 W · 47 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 37c | 187.58$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.29 | 934 | 45.1%421 W · 513 L | -28.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 33c | 173.15$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.01 | 1,489 | 37.4%557 W · 932 L | +5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x579a…b0a7backed No | 59c | 169.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 229 | 33.6%77 W · 152 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1c…3347backed No | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 223 | 37.7%84 W · 139 L | +9.6wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5317…9a3bbacked Yes | 42c | 125.79$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.58 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 60c | 125.3$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 875 | 21.3%186 W · 689 L | -83.4wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Yes | 63c | 125$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.42 | 445 | 61.6%274 W · 171 L | +12.8wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdea…c050backed Yes | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.05 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No | 59c | 119$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.21 | 273 | 39.2%107 W · 166 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99f1…f02dbacked No | 74c | 112.89$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.54 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 26c | 109.44$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.47 | 1,393 | 52.6%733 W · 660 L | +53.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef32…7698backed Yes | 38c | 105.26$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa29…9ce5backed Yes | 33c | 93.39$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.57 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 67c | 92.98$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.3 | 3,449 | 51.4%1,773 W · 1,676 L | +22.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed No | 75c | 92.71$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.53 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe134…f6dabacked Yes | 43c | 90.19$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.18 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb77…fbeebacked No | 74c | 90$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.6 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed No | 75c | 90$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 192 | 51%98 W · 94 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed Yes | 57c | 80.27$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.74 | 450 | 46.2%208 W · 242 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 33c | 77.79$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.12 | 723 | 36.9%267 W · 456 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x544f…3ca1backed Yes | 33c | 75.76$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.76 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +6.6wins | +0.20per pick | 35cpaid | +61.4%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x81a7…7042backed No | 68c | 73.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.2 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Yes | 64c | 71.41$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.64 | 657 | 61.3%403 W · 254 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 33c | 70$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.2 | 273 | 48.7%133 W · 140 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x404c…5c87backed Yes | 30c | 60$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.3 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +3.2wins | +0.15per pick | 44cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Yes | 75c | 51.65$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.91 | 360 | 41.4%149 W · 211 L | -26.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f50…63a7backed Yes | 73c | 51.13$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.03 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x461d…5599backed Yes | 69c | 50.72$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.72 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb445…e4a3backed No | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed9d…444abacked Yes | 32c | 43.5$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.46 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed No | 74c | 40$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 133 | 51.1%68 W · 65 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked Yes | 65c | 36.57$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.83 | 271 | 65.7%178 W · 93 L | +13.6wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 32c | 35.97$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.46 | 2,655 | 54.2%1,440 W · 1,215 L | +27.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x962e…1d75backed Yes | 57c | 35.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.46 | 58 | 72.4%42 W · 16 L | +6.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked Yes | 55c | 27.36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.43 | 97 | 57.7%56 W · 41 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed Yes | 54c | 22.41$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 223 | 49.3%110 W · 113 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c14…0f12backed Yes | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66fc…2a1fbacked Yes | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.3 | 63 | 74.6%47 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 72cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a49…737abacked Yes | 73c | 19.18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.18 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Yes | 73c | 17.42$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.69 | 343 | 65.9%226 W · 117 L | +11.5wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3326…c63dbacked Yes | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Racing Club vs. CA Boca Juniors end in a draw?this page
- Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-08-23?No won
- Will Racing Club win on 2026-08-23?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.