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South American Leagues · resolved market

Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-08-23?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$36,678
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$36,881

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,678 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet's whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0346…52a5backed Yes25c14,493$3,662 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,662.022,37634.7%824 W · 1,552 L-27.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No74c6,715$4,972 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,742.32,60839.3%1,024 W · 1,584 L-29.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes39c3,381$1,314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,313.6851935.5%184 W · 335 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick36cpaid+5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No75c2,846$2,136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$710.348,17548.7%3,980 W · 4,195 L+27.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No71c2,462$1,738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$724.135,83145.4%2,647 W · 3,184 L+99.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No61c1,386$842 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$544.451,70352%886 W · 817 L+22.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed No61c1,336$815 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$521.0443162.2%268 W · 163 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e9f…6561backed Yes39c1,282$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001136.4%4 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.14per pick23cpaid+59%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No71c1,010$714 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.851,51146.1%697 W · 814 L-15.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No61c1,000$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3901,30853.7%702 W · 606 L+5.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No61c999.98$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$389.991,26153.6%676 W · 585 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x425d…86e1backed Yes30c808.22$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.36520%1 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick20cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6f1…eb10backed Yes27c738.85$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198560%3 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.24per pick36cpaid+50.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x70ff…9c02backed No75c571$431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.253100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+49.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked No61c546.75$334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.2320549.3%101 W · 104 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa76c…dc83backed Yes39c512.82$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007035.7%25 W · 45 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+3.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x49b2…4aeebacked Yes40c400$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16010253.9%55 W · 47 L+7.3wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+21.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8c35…78abbacked No61c325.22$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.227324.7%18 W · 55 L+6.7wins+0.09per pick15cpaid+281.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Yes36c308.33$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11178351%399 W · 384 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x81a8…9c69backed No61c302.6$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.027861.5%48 W · 30 L+6.4wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+17.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes39c299.19$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.3314770.1%103 W · 44 L+22.7wins+0.15per pick55cpaid+26.2%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No66c287.26$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.721,39352.6%733 W · 660 L+53.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Yes38c260.06$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.8235946.5%167 W · 192 L+0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No78c253.52$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.653,81738.4%1,467 W · 2,350 L-30.0wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2bb8…7017backed No62c241.93$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.935156.9%29 W · 22 L-0.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed Yes37c233.93$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.7411143.2%48 W · 63 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x519c…8ae9backed Yes39c206.58$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$802941.4%12 W · 17 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick37cpaid-9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf436…4591backed Yes15c200$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301560%9 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Yes34c196.21$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.3893445.1%421 W · 513 L-28.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-20.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a11…ef8ebacked No61c190.68$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.5810660.4%64 W · 42 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x24bf…b006backed No62c174.28$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.238957.3%51 W · 38 L+6.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+12.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed No68c173.29$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.4559539.7%236 W · 359 L+2.4wins0.00per pick39cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x68cb…0000backed Yes19c165.79$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.54042.5%17 W · 23 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8f6…4f7fbacked Yes39c163.33$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.77157.7%41 W · 30 L+5.3wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+29.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x853e…f16abacked Yes40c150$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602030%6 W · 14 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-30.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No61c140.27$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.343,44951.4%1,773 W · 1,676 L+22.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb2fe…a06abacked No62c129$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.022166.7%14 W · 7 L+3.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+31.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x40e9…494fbacked Yes35c124.55$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.618625.6%22 W · 64 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-32.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f0f…0e48backed No55c124.53$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.0413135.1%46 W · 85 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes39c119.28$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.521,48937.4%557 W · 932 L+5.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No61c115$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.851,44251.9%748 W · 694 L+23.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Yes40c111$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.239532.4%128 W · 267 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No61c105.49$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.412,65554.2%1,440 W · 1,215 L+27.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed No61c100$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3981356.5%459 W · 354 L+25.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x852e…e616backed Yes17c99.99$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1720%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed No62c94.9$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.0672336.9%267 W · 456 L+2.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcfd1…2647backed Yes30c90$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275534.5%19 W · 36 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed No64c80.73$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.7834341.1%141 W · 202 L-8.9wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No60c80.47$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.111,32550%663 W · 662 L-14.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b89…23fbbacked Yes28c79.47$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.051442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.13per pick56cpaid-34.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed No77c66$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.4744561.6%274 W · 171 L+12.8wins+0.03per pick59cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdcbb…07d9backed No72c56.92$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.9415565.8%102 W · 53 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick65cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x042d…0b81backed No60c55.75$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.314851.4%76 W · 72 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Yes39c53$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.6727348.7%133 W · 140 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9f4b…f9bfbacked Yes38c52.92$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203444.1%15 W · 19 L+5.5wins+0.16per pick28cpaid+101.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc036…30d4backed Yes39c51.28$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203951.3%20 W · 19 L-3.9wins-0.10per pick61cpaid-22.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa8eb…0acbbacked Yes39c51.28$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020742.5%88 W · 119 L-7.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e6b…8a98backed No61c50.1$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.3126455.3%146 W · 118 L+1.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Yes40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2041641.1%171 W · 245 L-16.9wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8195…3fedbacked Yes39c49.26$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.2110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No61c47.05$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.222,01551.4%1,036 W · 979 L+44.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39f9…fcc3backed Yes31c42.61$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.124934.7%17 W · 32 L-7.6wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-32.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x9409…5b36backed Yes36c40.28$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.52650%13 W · 13 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+20.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x724d…e4dabacked Yes39c38.55$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd3a…91fdbacked No78c37.94$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.256659.1%39 W · 27 L+4.5wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1950…1bf4backed No61c30.9$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.0512158.7%71 W · 50 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x64e9…eb4cbacked Yes35c30.8$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.784219%8 W · 34 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick25cpaid-20.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3d4b…4024backed No65c30.8$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.78333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-48.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked No61c29$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.3121043.8%92 W · 118 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No65c27.18$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.51,46656.8%833 W · 633 L+56.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-1.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x70b1…73b2backed No74c26.68$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.814643.5%20 W · 26 L-5.5wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-26.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdd28…374abacked No64c25.68$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.355350.9%27 W · 26 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-13.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a00…5906backed Yes40c25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed No78c24.68$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.4565761.3%403 W · 254 L+22.7wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe904…44e9backed No61c23.07$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$919048.9%93 W · 97 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df4…bbc4backed No62c22.5$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.55250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2481…878dbacked No65c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick62cpaid+25.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e90…4f65backed No62c19.02$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.2819154.5%104 W · 87 L+0.9wins0.00per pick54cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x147c…2540backed No60c18$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.27054.3%38 W · 32 L-5.2wins-0.07per pick62cpaid-8.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x946f…67c1backed No71c17.96$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.214161%25 W · 16 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+18.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed No78c16.21$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.6434365.9%226 W · 117 L+11.5wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x81a7…7042backed No76c15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.6310445.2%47 W · 57 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-10.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x962e…1d75backed No76c13.54$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.255872.4%42 W · 16 L+6.8wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+21.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
  • The position was at least $10.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.