South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA River Plate win on 2026-08-19?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5756f7c5b63ecee75626a0e303531ea11dc95a58955af0b89f2b4cbcd4a3f867
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $194,044
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $202,857
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $194,044 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 167 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1b15…77b1backed Yes | 0c | 83,417$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b62…5cc8backed No | 25c | 25,000$6,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,802.41 | 52 | 69.2%36 W · 16 L | +4.6wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +16%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x10d7…bbf6backed Yes | 0c | 15,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…cf16backed No | 33c | 7,888$2,633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,254.5 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 68c | 5,715$3,909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,908.75 | 323 | 35.9%116 W · 207 L | -11.9wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 60c | 5,137$3,093 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,093.26 | 5,831 | 45.4%2,647 W · 3,184 L | +99.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a4a…3da9backed No | 24c | 3,869$930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,939.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +108.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc73b…f046backed Yes | 39c | 3,710$1,447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,447.35 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 75c | 3,604$2,705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,705.46 | 1,261 | 53.6%676 W · 585 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 70c | 3,548$2,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,474.61 | 2,608 | 39.3%1,024 W · 1,584 L | -29.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 75c | 3,251$2,438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,438.27 | 1,308 | 53.7%702 W · 606 L | +5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 71c | 2,881$2,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,051.67 | 2,015 | 51.4%1,036 W · 979 L | +44.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Yes | 75c | 2,850$2,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,137.57 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 29c | 2,470$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705.05 | 519 | 35.5%184 W · 335 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed No | 77c | 2,367$1,833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.16 | 206 | 55.8%115 W · 91 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 64c | 2,357$1,497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,496.51 | 1,511 | 46.1%697 W · 814 L | -15.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Yes | 79c | 1,999$1,587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,586.55 | 286 | 34.6%99 W · 187 L | -16.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 74c | 1,964$1,459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,458.67 | 2,376 | 34.7%824 W · 1,552 L | -27.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bc5…e563backed Yes | 69c | 1,937$1,336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,336.35 | 114 | 37.7%43 W · 71 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes | 72c | 1,504$1,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,082.88 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -3.5wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x35c8…90cbbacked No | 33c | 1,502$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,001.84 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 76c | 1,259$963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$963.01 | 526 | 49.8%262 W · 264 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49b2…4aeebacked No | 25c | 1,200$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900.32 | 102 | 53.9%55 W · 47 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 71c | 1,165$833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$832.67 | 1,703 | 52%886 W · 817 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4348…f08abacked No | 78c | 1,154$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.79 | 117 | 44.4%52 W · 65 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Yes | 76c | 946.25$714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$714.42 | 205 | 49.3%101 W · 104 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 72c | 905.99$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.01 | 1,559 | 45.1%703 W · 856 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe23c…5ae7backed No | 57c | 898.23$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.53 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed No | 53c | 733.22$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.18 | 151 | 41.1%62 W · 89 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -26%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7161…fcb0backed Yes | 47c | 635.28$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Yes | 65c | 604$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.48 | 431 | 62.2%268 W · 163 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 30c | 600$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 216 | 47.2%102 W · 114 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Yes | 43c | 581.4$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 223 | 45.7%102 W · 121 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbff4…b609backed Yes | 68c | 570.59$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe6…4a1bbacked Yes | 43c | 551.31$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.05 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 75c | 523.56$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.75 | 1,688 | 50.8%857 W · 831 L | -4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae5…4f22backed Yes | 75c | 500$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 31 | 77.4%24 W · 7 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 66cpaid | +16%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb3a…d1ccbacked Yes | 30c | 461.66$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.71 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd62…4e9abacked Yes | 69c | 405.8$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -59%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 10c | 400$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 783 | 51%399 W · 384 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91c7…808fbacked Yes | 79c | 392$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.68 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbb…ad2ebacked No | 71c | 390$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.1 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 20c | 370.72$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.94 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce5…17f9backed Yes | 74c | 336.53$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7a5…38d8backed Yes | 72c | 304.25$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.06 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9510…2e7ebacked Yes | 71c | 280.21$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 45cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 75c | 259$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.99 | 1,442 | 51.9%748 W · 694 L | +23.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c2f…2586backed No | 25c | 247.88$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +100%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc8f…d0e4backed Yes | 23c | 237.05$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.52 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +3.6wins | +0.21per pick | 20cpaid | +113.5%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb8…7017backed Yes | 65c | 230.77$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.69 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc5b…3ddcbacked No | 40c | 223.99$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.05 | 80 | 30%24 W · 56 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b03…b127backed No | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.33 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 24cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f6…4f7fbacked Yes | 74c | 204.73$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.72 | 71 | 57.7%41 W · 30 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4be7…8e91backed Yes | 62c | 200$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.9 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7091…96f8backed No | 26c | 199.99$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.99 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 72c | 192.13$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.99 | 288 | 55.2%159 W · 129 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No | 68c | 183.52$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.87 | 273 | 39.2%107 W · 166 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa894…2830backed Yes | 75c | 164$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02b9…60c6backed Yes | 75c | 162.43$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.45 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6728…a070backed No | 25c | 160$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +51.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa29c…0a3dbacked Yes | 66c | 153.39$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.47 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffd4…b60fbacked Yes | 64c | 153.06$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.96 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 77c | 148.83$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.21 | 723 | 36.9%267 W · 456 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 416 | 41.1%171 W · 245 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Yes | 75c | 141.72$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.24 | 813 | 56.5%459 W · 354 L | +25.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb399…9435backed Yes | 45c | 141.44$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.12 | 145 | 48.3%70 W · 75 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd09b…8e44backed Yes | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddfc…cd9ebacked No | 24c | 134.36$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.11 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cac…10b3backed No | 23c | 132.41$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.41 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +41%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 57c | 129.99$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.64 | 441 | 61.7%272 W · 169 L | +23.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x634a…dddfbacked Yes | 69c | 127.54$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.22per pick | 35cpaid | -83.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02d7…f14fbacked Yes | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f39…e279backed Yes | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 177 | 50.3%89 W · 88 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8286…6aa5backed Yes | 69c | 118.38$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 66c | 117$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.31 | 278 | 42.4%118 W · 160 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe10e…72a6backed Yes | 75c | 116.95$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.25 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41ef…34cabacked No | 24c | 116.52$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +105.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb66f…2d2abacked Yes | 69c | 116.2$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ee…affdbacked Yes | 69c | 112.05$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.5 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4cc…09a3backed Yes | 43c | 111.11$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea2f…9dabbacked No | 28c | 110$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.2 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.21per pick | 39cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x90d4…2deebacked Yes | 23c | 109.29$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.14 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2285…2aeabacked Yes | 64c | 109.14$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.85 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5690…7a58backed Yes | 22c | 105.97$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.31 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 18cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x242f…6fa9backed No | 38c | 105$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 30cpaid | +131.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Yes | 72c | 105$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.6 | 86 | 53.5%46 W · 40 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Yes | 70c | 101.94$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.36 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdea…c050backed Yes | 74c | 100$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca08…08bdbacked Yes | 71c | 100$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -50%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8974…fc7cbacked No | 24c | 96.63$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.44 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +27%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf629…5343backed Yes | 77c | 94.97$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.13 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 74cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0b81backed No | 34c | 93.5$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.71 | 148 | 51.4%76 W · 72 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9271…a28abacked Yes | 63c | 92$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.96 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +23%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…dd26backed No | 32c | 89.59$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.76 | 90 | 52.2%47 W · 43 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed No | 60c | 87.94$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.45 | 511 | 56.2%287 W · 224 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c35…78abbacked Yes | 41c | 85.36$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 73 | 24.7%18 W · 55 L | +6.7wins | +0.09per pick | 15cpaid | +281.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf8…5e31backed Yes | 62c | 81.94$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89c1…6790backed No | 24c | 80.08$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.86 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.39per pick | 44cpaid | +105.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x78fb…56bcbacked Yes | 64c | 78.74$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 28c | 76.74$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.87 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | -5.5wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA River Plate win on 2026-08-19?this page
- Will CA River Plate vs. Independiente Santa Fe end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Independiente Santa Fe win on 2026-08-19?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.