South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Independiente Santa Fe win on 2026-08-19?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5596571a567d78247ce9dcd57bed416d7701e84724da44ebb9a5c415c8c22099
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $75,583
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $75,155
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $75,583 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x10d7…bbf6backed Yes | 0c | 15,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf49c…9786backed Yes | 10c | 15,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 8c | 6,937$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.92 | 519 | 35.5%184 W · 335 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27a0…b6cbbacked Yes | 7c | 5,439$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.73 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 3c | 3,313$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.67 | 5,831 | 45.4%2,647 W · 3,184 L | +99.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5a…87efbacked Yes | 8c | 2,583$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe92e…0a8dbacked Yes | 9c | 1,612$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.87 | 34 | 20.6%7 W · 27 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 7c | 1,400$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.78 | 323 | 35.9%116 W · 207 L | -11.9wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bc5…e563backed Yes | 3c | 666.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 114 | 37.7%43 W · 71 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2dab…55dabacked Yes | 5c | 519.04$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 3c | 440.32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 1,511 | 46.1%697 W · 814 L | -15.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67c0…00d7backed Yes | 7c | 428.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc73b…f046backed No | 69c | 406.86$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.41 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66ea…6791backed No | 67c | 400$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +3.4wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +45%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 6c | 380.53$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.83 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 7c | 353.71$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.76 | 1,489 | 37.4%557 W · 932 L | +5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacb3…c372backed Yes | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 13c | 245$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.85 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 10cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x673d…8623backed Yes | 7c | 217.86$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 25cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 7c | 204$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 723 | 36.9%267 W · 456 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9503…1fd2backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.14per pick | 28cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3101…e57fbacked No | 64c | 120.5$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.96 | 146 | 54.1%79 W · 67 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d38…cc4ebacked Yes | 25c | 102.21$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.55 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.21per pick | 63cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0dff…bb1ebacked Yes | 12c | 98.83$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.86 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb41e…11fdbacked Yes | 13c | 91.84$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.57 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Yes | 29c | 40.15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.74 | 441 | 61.7%272 W · 169 L | +23.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 70c | 27.68$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.43 | 288 | 55.2%159 W · 129 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Independiente Santa Fe win on 2026-08-19?this page
- Will CA River Plate vs. Independiente Santa Fe end in a draw?Yes won
- Will CA River Plate win on 2026-08-19?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.