TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Other European Leagues · resolved market

Will Molde FK win on 2026-07-26?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$150,164
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$161,712

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $150,164 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 163 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcdc1…bdd8backed Yes46c21,567$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,567.083956.4%22 W · 17 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No57c17,375$9,845 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,845.087,88945.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L+11.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No44c13,339$5,864 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,863.75,60442%2,356 W · 3,248 L+75.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes57c11,338$6,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,887.2363849.5%316 W · 322 L+26.8wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+2.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9f8a…01cdbacked No43c6,576$2,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,850.43330.3%10 W · 23 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick32cpaid+57%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba1d…d326backed Yes65c6,269$4,053 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,215.732944.8%13 W · 16 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes58c5,335$3,088 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,246.7771533.8%242 W · 473 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-28.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No54c4,076$2,181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,180.832,33446.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L+14.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad31…c93abacked No39c3,858$1,511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,510.712941.4%12 W · 17 L+4.7wins+0.16per pick25cpaid+352.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No55c3,715$2,048 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,047.6285250.4%429 W · 423 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2dd7…89aabacked No67c3,714$2,489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,488.58450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed No54c3,519$1,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9002330.4%7 W · 16 L-3.8wins-0.17per pick47cpaid-35.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa804…2a75backed No53c2,553$1,353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,353.198251.2%42 W · 40 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x946f…67c1backed No44c2,509$1,096 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,096.51741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-33.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c5c…00f7backed Yes38c2,500$950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,549.991145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+12%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xafd0…ebd0backed No36c2,116$767 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$767.374238.1%16 W · 26 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+18.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Yes57c1,910$1,088 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$822.4710049%49 W · 51 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9618…77e6backed No32c1,895$605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604.633737.8%14 W · 23 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick30cpaid+215.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked No58c1,786$1,035 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,035.177938%30 W · 49 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d19…2410backed No54c1,769$950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$949.9720%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes44c1,721$756 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$965.111,43437.7%540 W · 894 L-3.6wins0.00per pick38cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No56c1,521$853 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$852.7618743.9%82 W · 105 L-11.9wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-10.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1101…dfd5backed Yes37c1,320$484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$836.391442.9%6 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick34cpaid+22.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x435e…f153backed Yes52c1,320$687 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$632.621040%4 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick35cpaid-14%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes56c1,313$736 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$576.838147.5%181 W · 200 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No56c1,305$730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$730.577350.2%388 W · 385 L+2.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x76bc…fccabacked Yes49c1,170$571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$598.156142.6%26 W · 35 L+3.8wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+37.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8ce7…3150backed Yes44c1,136$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$636.363855.3%21 W · 17 L+5.6wins+0.15per pick40cpaid+32.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Yes50c1,136$573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.429954.5%54 W · 45 L+7.2wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+18.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes29c1,100$319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$781.1558229.2%170 W · 412 L-19.5wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked No53c1,084$575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$574.532744.4%12 W · 15 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked No56c1,064$596 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$595.8551842.1%218 W · 300 L-18.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked No5c1,050$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.411729.4%5 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick26cpaid-45%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No54c1,000$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5401,11351%568 W · 545 L+29.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked No54c1,000$535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53523346.8%109 W · 124 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf02…f87bbacked Yes50c998.16$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$498.161100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+99.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a93…c3eabacked Yes38c951.99$359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$592.991136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed No57c816.25$467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$466.8455954.9%307 W · 252 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8739…0fe4backed Yes45c780.69$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$429.381100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe121…30b9backed Yes41c725.68$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$427.541560%9 W · 6 L+2.2wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed No28c698.64$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.6123747.7%113 W · 124 L-7.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes64c680.11$436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.8946044.3%204 W · 256 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x09b0…a3b6backed No59c646$381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381.143158.1%18 W · 13 L+3.3wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+12.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No55c599.33$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.242,06848.1%995 W · 1,073 L+2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc56…8f28backed No63c555.55$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3506660.6%40 W · 26 L-0.1wins0.00per pick61cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked No55c426.44$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.1329754.5%162 W · 135 L+0.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes70c421.42$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.338549.4%42 W · 43 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed No55c415.02$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.7933959%200 W · 139 L+18.4wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+4.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1cd2…7f85backed No74c407.92$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300475%3 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick73cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Yes53c406.86$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.4613860.1%83 W · 55 L+8.5wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+33.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked No50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.5821247.2%100 W · 112 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed No62c342.01$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.91,24039.2%486 W · 754 L-35.3wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-14.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1985…51abbacked No59c314.49$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.482669.2%18 W · 8 L+4.1wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+41.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Yes48c309.87$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.9818848.4%91 W · 97 L+13.4wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+1.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes64c305.39$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.9498552.3%515 W · 470 L+4.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb6dd…7af9backed Yes45c300$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16511537.4%43 W · 72 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecae…c544backed Yes74c298.54$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.814748.9%23 W · 24 L+0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Yes30c296.22$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.2210817.6%19 W · 89 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick22cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8611…2c36backed Yes44c270.86$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.86475%3 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.32per pick43cpaid+72.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb476…6eacbacked Yes37c270.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.279341.9%39 W · 54 L-6.2wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-10.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x15ac…f3babacked Yes34c264.71$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.714454.5%24 W · 20 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8492…f17cbacked Yes38c260.32$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.323040%12 W · 18 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-26.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbb3e…b9c5backed Yes56c258.29$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.656100%6 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+54.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8558…8615backed Yes58c257.71$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.296100%6 W · 0 L+2.2wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+64.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4abd…5a5cbacked Yes55c257.69$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.46771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.23per pick48cpaid+26.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd2e8…c60ebacked Yes58c254.92$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.27580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.24per pick56cpaid+26.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9079…b19bbacked Yes63c239.13$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.467459.5%44 W · 30 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+13%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd5bf…f0ccbacked Yes44c229.43$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.537779.2%61 W · 16 L+18.2wins+0.24per pick56cpaid+55.4%equal weight70+0.18 edge/pick
0xbbc8…4f5bbacked Yes61c227.35$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.15785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.2wins+0.32per pick54cpaid+99.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe0ec…a9c4backed Yes44c227.05$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.153767.6%25 W · 12 L+5.0wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+32.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Yes55c225.16$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.039042.2%38 W · 52 L-4.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-18.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed No6c224.32$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.2943721.7%95 W · 342 L-49.3wins-0.11per pick33cpaid-50.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x34b8…81afbacked Yes46c217.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.391546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9c9…6686backed No50c201.84$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.851361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+13.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdda3…d55fbacked Yes28c200$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144757.1%4 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.28per pick29cpaid+46.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked No62c199.45$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.1933853.3%180 W · 158 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b6e…f544backed No55c198.1$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.8118740.1%75 W · 112 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+19.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Yes63c196.6$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.3732350.2%162 W · 161 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes77c193.66$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.7515371.9%110 W · 43 L+15.5wins+0.10per pick62cpaid+20.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe839…0a9dbacked Yes56c191.07$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.698100%8 W · 0 L+3.8wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+330.2%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x8e90…4f65backed No55c189.8$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.398956.2%50 W · 39 L+7.2wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+20.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6407…d360backed No53c188.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005149%25 W · 26 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb1c8…023abacked No55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005646.4%26 W · 30 L-5.1wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-17.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2d67…3667backed No37c180.03$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.3130550.8%155 W · 150 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes46c176.53$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.592,00136.5%730 W · 1,271 L-25.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x885f…8ed9backed No53c163$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.392045%9 W · 11 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-23.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed No53c162.66$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.53647.2%17 W · 19 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked No45c161.68$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.9911545.2%52 W · 63 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-23.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x66e0…b50ebacked Yes31c161.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.291136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-16.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbbdd…bd60backed Yes45c155.56$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.5614339.2%56 W · 87 L-10.3wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-19.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No52c150.01$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.6998653.2%525 W · 461 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No47c136.05$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.639237%34 W · 58 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-37.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Yes51c132.59$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.5923348.1%112 W · 121 L-7.1wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-25.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Yes54c128.55$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.4218659.7%111 W · 75 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick55cpaid-7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x46d4…ab12backed Yes39c128.32$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.324731.9%15 W · 32 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-14.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa0f1…5b7fbacked Yes39c128.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.211735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.5wins-0.15per pick50cpaid-28.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfd3e…5a7abacked Yes51c124.74$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.993871.1%27 W · 11 L+5.1wins+0.13per pick58cpaid+21.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7c10…30f1backed Yes48c113.08$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.8250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9d1…73edbacked Yes48c104.59$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.592100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+72.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd325…8c5fbacked No53c100$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$533844.7%17 W · 21 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.