Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will KFUM-Kameratene Oslo vs. Molde FK end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x37cb89a6e2414a1c3ae11df2ab9e650af3a421f16a3d7ce747bab25f7e4b0b94
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,084
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,151
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,084 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 43c | 3,586$1,551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,551.42 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked No | 49c | 3,445$1,671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,773.7 | 79 | 38%30 W · 49 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 61c | 1,763$1,073 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.22 | 518 | 42.1%218 W · 300 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 53c | 966.01$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.09 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 42c | 837.22$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.25 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 26c | 534.69$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.02 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa225…b903backed Yes | 64c | 485.47$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.7 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 74c | 389.24$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.2 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 29c | 345.86$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.89 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd75a…d264backed No | 73c | 332$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.64 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -3.3wins | -0.19per pick | 55cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 25c | 307.6$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.18 | 460 | 44.3%204 W · 256 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86a6…1b3ebacked Yes | 53c | 300$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3740…a935backed Yes | 60c | 300$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 60 | 63.3%38 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 76c | 255.36$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d5…2b9cbacked Yes | 27c | 200$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -3.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed No | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 269 | 49.8%134 W · 135 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Yes | 65c | 200$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 216 | 58.8%127 W · 89 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed No | 35c | 186.25$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.51 | 138 | 60.1%83 W · 55 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Yes | 44c | 172.31$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.38 | 559 | 54.9%307 W · 252 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 62c | 147.01$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.46 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Yes | 8c | 144.83$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.79 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 68c | 142$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.44 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 61c | 136$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.15 | 92 | 37%34 W · 58 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 47c | 125.9$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.21 | 212 | 47.2%100 W · 112 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 73c | 109.13$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.19 | 338 | 53.3%180 W · 158 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb7…0acebacked Yes | 63c | 103.25$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -5.9wins | -0.22per pick | 44cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2a49…737abacked Yes | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…e63cbacked No | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 102 | 47.1%48 W · 54 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10b8…4df0backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 351 | 54.7%192 W · 159 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4c6…f5c0backed Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.93 | 109 | 36.7%40 W · 69 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 68c | 94.6$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.26 | 233 | 48.1%112 W · 121 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Yes | 32c | 94.4$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.21 | 149 | 45.6%68 W · 81 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Yes | 39c | 94.32$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.88 | 339 | 59%200 W · 139 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed No | 38c | 87.83$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.53 | 305 | 50.8%155 W · 150 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 65c | 84.89$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.91 | 186 | 59.7%111 W · 75 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed No | 71c | 79.03$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.58 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 71c | 77.1$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.57 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed No | 72c | 69.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.66 | 187 | 40.1%75 W · 112 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed No | 77c | 64.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.85 | 214 | 54.2%116 W · 98 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Yes | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | +7.5wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa7…eccfbacked Yes | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Yes | 42c | 50.19$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.07 | 90 | 42.2%38 W · 52 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3fa…cdb2backed Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b80…8b39backed Yes | 33c | 45.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Yes | 29c | 40.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.08 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -3.5wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -47%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x46d4…ab12backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 75c | 39.83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.96 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Yes | 46c | 38.57$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.79 | 351 | 63.5%223 W · 128 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b91…fb9dbacked Yes | 33c | 38.18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4732…f40dbacked No | 38c | 36.19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.44 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e1…9bc1backed Yes | 53c | 32.03$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.85 | 62 | 67.7%42 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac64…866ebacked No | 57c | 30.33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.19 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 59c | 28.77$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.92 | 408 | 50.7%207 W · 201 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ac…f3babacked No | 59c | 22.19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed No | 75c | 21.14$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.19 | 68 | 66.2%45 W · 23 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will KFUM-Kameratene Oslo vs. Molde FK end in a draw?this page
- Will KFUM-Kameratene Oslo win on 2026-07-26?No won
- Will Molde FK win on 2026-07-26?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.