TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will Club Necaxa vs. CF Monterrey end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$111,994
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$111,923

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $111,994 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x84cf…2f63backed No56c28,277$15,947 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,330.0228940.1%116 W · 173 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Yes49c18,928$9,363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,363.4320036.5%73 W · 127 L-6.4wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-29.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Yes25c18,519$4,629 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,628.5323733.8%80 W · 157 L+0.2wins0.00per pick34cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes24c5,635$1,331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,331.011,94451.3%998 W · 946 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked No51c5,155$2,633 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,521.6975240.8%307 W · 445 L-17.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No76c4,705$3,573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,131.461,28253.7%689 W · 593 L+5.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes40c4,665$1,869 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,868.945,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No78c4,565$3,553 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,011.9182434.5%284 W · 540 L-17.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No76c3,798$2,894 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$904.361,23153.9%663 W · 568 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No55c3,287$1,821 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,466.112,28134.3%782 W · 1,499 L-30.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x532b…dd2dbacked Yes34c2,170$741 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$740.766144.3%27 W · 34 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x709d…f749backed Yes54c2,063$1,119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,119.261752.9%9 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.12per pick65cpaid-20.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x61d4…3593backed Yes1c1,501$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.0329037.9%110 W · 180 L+1.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid-17.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec57…0fa7backed Yes2c1,491$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.8214530.3%44 W · 101 L+8.2wins+0.06per pick25cpaid-4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes41c1,375$567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$567.148,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked No53c1,180$623 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$556.9530847.7%147 W · 161 L+13.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x767a…8ac5backed Yes47c1,118$524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$524.46825%2 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-52.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked Yes31c1,056$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.2210618.9%20 W · 86 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick23cpaid+1.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2dd7…89aabacked No23c1,034$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$794.58650%3 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.29per pick21cpaid+90.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa7c2…73bfbacked Yes45c1,000$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45012338.2%47 W · 76 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes48c881.39$423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$423.071,32857%757 W · 571 L+57.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf636…5465backed Yes24c767.33$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.164456.8%25 W · 19 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf5f9…fa68backed No54c628.02$337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.823016.7%5 W · 25 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick17cpaid-32.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked No44c607.54$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.2926835.1%94 W · 174 L-12.9wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-24.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x789c…0d10backed Yes43c602.82$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.1155250.2%277 W · 275 L+1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3740…a935backed Yes54c600$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32410364.1%66 W · 37 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick69cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b6e…f544backed Yes23c565.2$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.964633.1%214 W · 432 L-24.8wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-19.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d67…3667backed Yes44c479.95$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.1746449.6%230 W · 234 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No68c451$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.421,30250.2%653 W · 649 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1378…dbd2backed Yes51c392.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001060%6 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+11.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked Yes52c353.99$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.4418446.2%85 W · 99 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3cd9…8593backed Yes25c332.92$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.23450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…01e5backed Yes32c312.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003438.2%13 W · 21 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes24c282.82$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.651,43937.5%540 W · 899 L+4.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa3c…5607backed Yes26c261$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.861361.5%8 W · 5 L+2.7wins+0.21per pick41cpaid+52.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Yes23c250$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.555946%257 W · 302 L-19.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed No62c248.15$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.221,25356.2%704 W · 549 L+73.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc5d7…488cbacked Yes38c245.16$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.12633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8c6…7b39backed No55c244.86$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.1921044.3%93 W · 117 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d93…fdefbacked No60c242$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.9419053.2%101 W · 89 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1010…d793backed Yes24c240$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.425345.1%114 W · 139 L-6.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-1.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No57c237.76$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.211,44456.4%815 W · 629 L+51.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Yes24c218.3$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5215651.9%81 W · 75 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes75c216$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.8757540.2%231 W · 344 L+2.7wins0.00per pick40cpaid-2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes50c206.58$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.011,36652.4%716 W · 650 L+51.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2e64…9cb7backed No76c205$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.2580%4 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick71cpaid+13.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Yes77c184.88$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.3619437.1%72 W · 122 L-7.1wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-31.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed Yes48c184.15$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.616142.6%26 W · 35 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4e0…7387backed Yes78c179.87$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1401764.7%11 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked No75c178.4$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.489846.1%414 W · 484 L-11.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes38c164$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.621,53745.2%695 W · 842 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3272…e542backed No28c150$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108520%1 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1db6…fa76backed Yes28c149$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.162850%14 W · 14 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5cc8…a0e4backed No76c119.09$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.5117067.6%115 W · 55 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed No68c116.02$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.1323044.3%102 W · 128 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+18.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb1c8…023abacked Yes55c109.09$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604461.4%27 W · 17 L+3.7wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Yes23c105$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.642,61154.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Yes35c100.01$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.0924535.5%87 W · 158 L-13.9wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-19.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Yes24c100$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2478756.4%444 W · 343 L+23.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd325…8c5fbacked Yes47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$477241.7%30 W · 42 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf28e…0bb1backed Yes12c100$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126944.9%31 W · 38 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No75c94$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.51,42851.8%740 W · 688 L+22.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1985…51abbacked No46c93.14$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.294680.4%37 W · 9 L+14.0wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+114.5%equal weight72+0.20 edge/pick
0x619a…036abacked Yes63c79.37$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50650%3 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-26.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6701…d7d2backed Yes49c77$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.736744.8%30 W · 37 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7e8…b560backed Yes26c76.92$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201338.5%5 W · 8 L+2.3wins+0.18per pick21cpaid+79.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Yes46c72.95$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.6795155.8%531 W · 420 L+31.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1372…4ce0backed Yes73c68.49$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502572%18 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick66cpaid+20.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b78…473dbacked No73c64.51$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.6224665.9%162 W · 84 L+26.2wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+27.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Yes29c61$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.698252.4%43 W · 39 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37ed…6c1dbacked Yes48c51.63$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25650%3 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-21%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x089c…4dc4backed Yes32c51.52$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.2942946.2%198 W · 231 L-2.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed No80c50$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1011350.4%57 W · 56 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe29c…a31dbacked No49c47.15$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.1216845.2%76 W · 92 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4bfe…9257backed Yes29c46$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.341838.9%7 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid+14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed No54c45.4$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.0985220.7%176 W · 676 L-85.2wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-52.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xc8f4…6794backed Yes27c43$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.61450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac64…866ebacked No70c40.66$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.054755.3%26 W · 21 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0182…301cbacked Yes55c40.2$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222536%9 W · 16 L-3.3wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-42.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed No65c40$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.113451.5%69 W · 65 L+7.2wins+0.05per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2df7…7f76backed Yes25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10540%2 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick24cpaid+80%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc112…d1efbacked Yes25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105020%10 W · 40 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-15.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb64…3a96backed Yes45c40$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-41.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2cdb…bc1fbacked Yes25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10450%2 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+80.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed No76c39$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.4238233%126 W · 256 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No74c38.46$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Yes42c35.25$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.963061.3%386 W · 244 L+22.3wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7638…b60cbacked Yes45c33.11$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9520%1 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-53.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5fe0…cc67backed Yes49c31$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.194037.5%15 W · 25 L-4.5wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-29.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4732…f40dbacked No55c30.86$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.8315552.3%81 W · 74 L+9.7wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+0.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x19e5…dd71backed Yes49c30.01$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.713246.9%15 W · 17 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-12.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeda9…f624backed No76c30.01$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.0718557.8%107 W · 78 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf8c8…7c4cbacked No76c30$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.27950.6%40 W · 39 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked No76c29.99$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.214643.2%63 W · 83 L-9.8wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-12.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc6fd…53dfbacked Yes70c28.62$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x976e…8453backed Yes77c23.38$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1810365%67 W · 36 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick69cpaid-5.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d74…4944backed Yes71c23.15$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.44955.6%5 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.17per pick72cpaid-21.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed No64c22.72$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.123542.1%99 W · 136 L-13.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-14.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked No67c18$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.9444843.8%196 W · 252 L+11.4wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-12.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7dae…7199backed No75c13.98$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.499350.5%47 W · 46 L-4.6wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-5.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.