MLB · resolved market
Minnesota Twins vs. Kansas City Royals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xca8788f29aef5bf45042ae2567a20e4fef6494bac01ffdad9934a727b5784edc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kansas City Royalsof Minnesota Twins, Kansas City Royals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $242,983
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $235,869
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $242,983 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 255 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Kansas City Royals | 53c | 54,680$28,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,699.49 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Minnesota Twins | 47c | 45,000$21,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,150 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2805…76edbacked Kansas City Royals | 46c | 32,119$14,769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,350.66 | 212 | 42%89 W · 123 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x684b…8409backed Kansas City Royals | 53c | 25,000$13,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,749.97 | 260 | 54.2%141 W · 119 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Minnesota Twins | 37c | 22,468$8,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,320.12 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Minnesota Twins | 51c | 21,028$10,665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,664.63 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Minnesota Twins | 49c | 16,655$8,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,110 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Kansas City Royals | 55c | 12,687$6,921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,765.48 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6195…b9e3backed Minnesota Twins | 47c | 10,190$4,789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,789.3 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Minnesota Twins | 53c | 6,020$3,211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,211.05 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a55…5a54backed Minnesota Twins | 46c | 5,058$2,327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,326.67 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x418d…88a3backed Kansas City Royals | 59c | 4,500$2,655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,845 | 122 | 55.7%68 W · 54 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc08…a137backed Kansas City Royals | 54c | 4,484$2,424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,059.88 | 319 | 58.6%187 W · 132 L | +27.3wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Minnesota Twins | 46c | 3,394$1,561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,561.24 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Minnesota Twins | 56c | 3,111$1,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,750.01 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Minnesota Twins | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,410 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Kansas City Royals | 54c | 3,000$1,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,380 | 489 | 52.8%258 W · 231 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Minnesota Twins | 60c | 2,516$1,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,509.89 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Kansas City Royals | 62c | 2,479$1,531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$948.47 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…c9a7backed Minnesota Twins | 44c | 2,211$973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$972.76 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Minnesota Twins | 39c | 2,161$845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$844.71 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6451…b57abacked Minnesota Twins | 47c | 2,127$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.69 | 148 | 41.2%61 W · 87 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Kansas City Royals | 63c | 2,078$1,317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$761.7 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73f6…a10abacked Minnesota Twins | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920 | 171 | 50.3%86 W · 85 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Kansas City Royals | 54c | 1,862$1,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$856.36 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…b67ebacked Minnesota Twins | 45c | 1,820$819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$818.99 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…a814backed Kansas City Royals | 71c | 1,571$1,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.38 | 254 | 47.6%121 W · 133 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Kansas City Royals | 70c | 1,379$961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.54 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x689c…6b1ebacked Minnesota Twins | 47c | 1,332$626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625.88 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe8…72bcbacked Kansas City Royals | 69c | 1,294$890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.87 | 242 | 52.9%128 W · 114 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Kansas City Royals | 46c | 1,292$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.18 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea97…5ac0backed Kansas City Royals | 54c | 1,172$633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.27 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.20per pick | 56cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Minnesota Twins | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64ef…befcbacked Minnesota Twins | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 290 | 46.6%135 W · 155 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Minnesota Twins | 46c | 999.99$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.99 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Minnesota Twins | 42c | 870.57$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.29 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Minnesota Twins | 42c | 703.05$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.07 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Minnesota Twins | 38c | 610.36$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.65 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Minnesota Twins | 47c | 556.27$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.45 | 487 | 51.5%251 W · 236 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc22e…eab8backed Minnesota Twins | 47c | 531.9$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.99 | 488 | 51.6%252 W · 236 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Kansas City Royals | 76c | 504.91$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.18 | 826 | 36.6%302 W · 524 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Kansas City Royals | 49c | 471.45$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.33 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Minnesota Twins | 47c | 416.98$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.82 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Kansas City Royals | 53c | 390$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.3 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Kansas City Royals | 58c | 378.25$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.54 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Minnesota Twins | 47c | 351$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.97 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8987…44d6backed Minnesota Twins | 56c | 316.36$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.16 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | -5.0wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked Kansas City Royals | 61c | 284.56$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111 | 603 | 48.6%293 W · 310 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc8…e209backed Minnesota Twins | 47c | 282.56$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.8 | 461 | 52.1%240 W · 221 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92f3…b21cbacked Minnesota Twins | 56c | 259.21$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.16 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -5.9wins | -0.13per pick | 64cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Minnesota Twins | 61c | 251.65$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.4 | 1,205 | 58.8%708 W · 497 L | +31.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e68…3772backed Minnesota Twins | 32c | 250$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 249 | 47%117 W · 132 L | +15.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68cb…0000backed Kansas City Royals | 64c | 243.89$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.66 | 486 | 60.5%294 W · 192 L | +40.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4b22…9431backed Kansas City Royals | 53c | 240$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.8 | 73 | 60.3%44 W · 29 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9698…2504backed Kansas City Royals | 54c | 236.35$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.72 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d14…663fbacked Minnesota Twins | 47c | 235$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.45 | 168 | 56.5%95 W · 73 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…ed44backed Kansas City Royals | 39c | 234.53$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.06 | 158 | 51.9%82 W · 76 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Kansas City Royals | 56c | 231.65$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.33 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2465…5d84backed Kansas City Royals | 79c | 230$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.69 | 1,100 | 79.6%876 W · 224 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9021…0c62backed Minnesota Twins | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -3.7wins | -0.37per pick | 47cpaid | -82.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9278…9a1bbacked Minnesota Twins | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 130 | 57.7%75 W · 55 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd6…f3c8backed Minnesota Twins | 43c | 210.14$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.36 | 375 | 46.9%176 W · 199 L | -8.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Minnesota Twins | 47c | 210$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.7 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Minnesota Twins | 47c | 208.33$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.92 | 481 | 47%226 W · 255 L | -31.8wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked Kansas City Royals | 76c | 207.89$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.89 | 445 | 56.9%253 W · 192 L | +27.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Minnesota Twins | 40c | 205.01$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 370 | 32.7%121 W · 249 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Minnesota Twins | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…02ccbacked Minnesota Twins | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 242 | 46.7%113 W · 129 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Kansas City Royals | 58c | 192.33$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.92 | 252 | 48.8%123 W · 129 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9df3…ddfcbacked Kansas City Royals | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 113 | 54%61 W · 52 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Minnesota Twins | 47c | 191.49$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1,168 | 49%572 W · 596 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Kansas City Royals | 53c | 191.21$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa73a…656abacked Kansas City Royals | 53c | 184.13$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.42 | 577 | 58.1%335 W · 242 L | +28.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a89…bb33backed Kansas City Royals | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Kansas City Royals | 51c | 179.99$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.55 | 1,141 | 42.9%490 W · 651 L | -37.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Kansas City Royals | 59c | 150$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.19 | 587 | 46%270 W · 317 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94eb…fcdfbacked Kansas City Royals | 54c | 148.15$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.15 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Minnesota Twins | 46c | 138$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.48 | 546 | 42.5%232 W · 314 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Minnesota Twins | 57c | 134.19$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.51 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58d5…8898backed Minnesota Twins | 47c | 130$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.1 | 1,205 | 43%518 W · 687 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x212b…0ba5backed Minnesota Twins | 47c | 129.28$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.76 | 536 | 55.8%299 W · 237 L | +22.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce0…31fdbacked Minnesota Twins | 48c | 127.14$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.03 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +32%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cdf…58e1backed Minnesota Twins | 47c | 126.88$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.63 | 462 | 55.8%258 W · 204 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8e…b38fbacked Minnesota Twins | 60c | 125.83$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.5 | 406 | 58.4%237 W · 169 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29de…d9e6backed Minnesota Twins | 60c | 125.83$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.5 | 552 | 59.6%329 W · 223 L | +11.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47f6…b051backed Minnesota Twins | 47c | 125$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.75 | 173 | 46.2%80 W · 93 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcda3…36cfbacked Minnesota Twins | 47c | 120$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.4 | 1,310 | 43.6%571 W · 739 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Minnesota Twins | 40c | 114.53$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.35 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab61…fb2bbacked Minnesota Twins | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad54…006abacked Minnesota Twins | 46c | 111.98$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.51 | 580 | 60.5%351 W · 229 L | +30.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed Minnesota Twins | 42c | 110$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.2 | 1,299 | 50.9%661 W · 638 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5430…fbbbbacked Minnesota Twins | 47c | 109.57$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.5 | 808 | 55.3%447 W · 361 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Kansas City Royals | 76c | 107.82$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.72 | 801 | 59.2%474 W · 327 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed Kansas City Royals | 50c | 104.05$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.83 | 469 | 49.9%234 W · 235 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Kansas City Royals | 54c | 103$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.38 | 423 | 55.6%235 W · 188 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Minnesota Twins | 46c | 102.7$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.24 | 452 | 52.4%237 W · 215 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x833c…ac24backed Minnesota Twins | 47c | 100.48$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.75 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Minnesota Twins | 41c | 98.35$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.93 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x402a…624fbacked Kansas City Royals | 52c | 98.3$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.29 | 229 | 49.8%114 W · 115 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…3b32backed Kansas City Royals | 54c | 97.84$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.75 | 293 | 50.9%149 W · 144 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Minnesota Twins vs. Kansas City Royalsthis page
- Minnesota Twins vs. Kansas City Royals: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Under won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 10.5Under won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 4.5Under won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 5.5Under won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 6.5Under won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 8.5Under won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Kansas City Royals (-1.5)Minnesota Twins won
- Spread: Kansas City Royals (-2.5)Minnesota Twins won
- Spread: Minnesota Twins (-1.5)Kansas City Royals won
- Spread: Minnesota Twins (-2.5)Kansas City Royals won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.